Matthew Manouli | Thu 13/10/2016 - 04:06 EDT

NFL Week 6 Predictions

NFL Week 6 Predictions

It's time for NFL Week 6 and the season is shaping out quite nicely. Only the Minnesota Vikings have remained undefeated, but the Eagles and Broncos will look to bounce back. Tom Brady is having his homecoming at Gilette Stadium, but will the pressure be too much? And will San Diego find another way to lose, but still cover the spread? Find out, as we give our best picks for Week 6.

NFL Odds Week 6

Results / FixturesNFL

We tried to get back on track last week, but ultimately went 3-4 because of a few bad bounces. The Oakland Raiders didn't get it done for us, losing the -3.5 by 0.5, and the Chicago Bears failed to cover the spread by 1.5 points. The Eagles were doing well also, but couldn't close out the game, losing by 1 point. Our picks that did cash, the Cardinals, Falcons, and Cowboys, all did so with ease. Our record now stands at a break even 15-15, but this week that will change, as the bad bounces have to even out eventually.

Week 6 NFL Predictions

We have 8 picks for you this week: the winner of the AFC West matchup between the Broncos and Chargers, the Bengals visiting the Patriots, Dallas at Green Bay, the Eagles to get back on track against the Redskins in an NFC East brawl, two birds of prey face off with the Falcons and Seahawks, Oakland hosting Kansas City, Cleveland against Tennessee, and the Colts facing Houston in an AFC South extravaganza on Sunday Night Football. Let's get into it!

Cincinnati Bengals @ New England Patriots Prediction

BET NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS -8.5 AT SPORTSINTERACTIONWe predicted that Tom Brady would be back with a bang, and he didn't disappoint. The New England Patriots were never off track, but they are definitely more on track than ever now that Brady's back. Rested and fresh, look for Brady to continue his dominance in his first game back at home. In their Week 4 loss to the the Bills, Jimmy Garoppolo managed to convert a measly 8% of third downs. Last week, Brady helped to bring that number to 52.9% in the win, with 501 total yards for this team.

The Cincinnati Bengals will have limited options against this Patriots team. Not only have they NEVER won at Gilette Stadium, they have a poor running game, averaging only 83.6 yards per game rushing, and the Pats have pretty good run defense, only allowing 86.4 rushing yards per game. The Bengals will have to rely on AJ Green, but that's not necessarily a bad thing, as they won every time he had at least 100 yards. When he had under 100 yards in the game, they lost. With this one of their few options though, the Pats, and their reliable tight ends of Gronk and Bennett, will walk all over the Bengals. Add this to the fact that the Bengals are only 1-4 ATS in their last 5 against New England. The Pats have also been a covering machine at home, going 20-8-2 ATS in their last 30 games at Foxborough. Take the New England Patriots at -8.5.

Denver Broncos @ San Diego Chargers Prediction

BET SAN DIEGO CHARGERS +3.5 AT BODOGIn this AFC West matchup, we'll get to see if the San Diego Chargers can turn their season around, or if their bad beats get the best of them and leave them mentally drained. Off the heels of yet another close loss in which they found another way to lose, the Chargers are facing another tough challenge in the 4-1 Denver Broncos who suffered their first loss last week to the Falcons. Suffering 10 straight defeats to AFC West opponents, and with Denver looking to climb back to 1st place in the division, things aren't looking good for the Chargers. The Broncos have had at least 3 sacks in each of their wins, but they faltered last week, with only 2 in their loss. For the Chargers, they are still putting up tremendous offensive numbers, averaging 283.6 passing yards per game, and 8.2 yards per pass.

They are also only allowing a mere 83.4 rushing yards per game. What is hurting this team is the turnovers, having at least 3 in each of the last 3 games, with 11 total, effectively killing any progress down the field despite good offensive numbers. Although their pass defense isn't effective, this team is better than their 1-4 record.

Remember how the Chargers lost 10 straight to divisional rivals? Well they are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 against these same AFC West opponents, and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 against AFC teams. They show up on Thursday Night Football too, going 5-2 ATS in their last 7 under the TNF lights. And a great stat to end on, is that they are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall. This team is better than they seem and have a chance to win this straight up, especially with Denver's head coach not making the trip. Take the San Diego Chargers at +3.5.

Dallas Cowboys @ Green Bay Packers Prediction

BET GREEN BAY PACKERS -4 AT BODOGWhat will happen when an unstoppable force meets an immovable object? We might get our answer when these two teams face off on Sunday. Ezekial Elliot is a running beast helping to put the Dallas Cowboys in top position for rushing yards per game in the league, with 155.2. But will he be able to break through the 1st place rush defense of the Green Bay Packers, who are only allowing a paltry 42.8 rushing yards per game and only 2 yards per carry? Aaron Rodgers has been steadily impoving, posting a season best 259 yards last week against the Giants, and will look to improve on that. In 5 meetings against Dallas, he has 7 TD passes and zero interceptions. It's much more likely we see the Packers go 4-1 and Dallas go 4-2, instead of Green Bay at 3-2 and Dallas at 5-1.

Look for the Cowboys to falter, as they don't play that well against good teams, going 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 against teams above .500. They are also a terrible matchup for this hungry Green Bay team, as they are only 1-4 ATS in their last 5 against them, and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 at Green Bay. The home team has gone 10-3 ATS in the last 13 meetings between these two teams, so home field will be a huge advantage, and the favorite has gone 9-4 ATS in the last 13 matchups. Not to mention the Packers are 39-17-3 ATS in their last 59 after allowing less than 90 rushing yards in their last game. Look for the Pack to take this one by at least 6. Take the Green Bay Packers at -4.

Philadelphia Eagles @ Washington Redskins Prediction

BET PHILADELPHIA EAGLES -2 AT SPORTSINTERACTION.The 3-1 Philadelphia Eagles will want to pull ahead in the NFC East, the best division in the league at this point, with a win against their rivals on Sunday. They faltered last week and took their first loss against a focused Lions team, but only losing by 1 point meant that they didn't take full advantage of their chances. Carson Wentz inevitably threw his first interception in the loss, but will look to be more efficient this week. Speaking of efficiency, the Washington Redskins's QB Kirk Cousins has been playing much improved ball the past 3 weeks, all wins. He has a 100.7 rating in these games, but will he be able to sustain that? While the Redskins' passing game is on par with the Eagles, the major difference comes with defense. The Skins are being cut up on defense, allowing 130 rushing yards per game, with 5.1 yards per run, and 261.6 passing yards per game. As for injuries, a major loss will be tight end Jordan Reed.

The Skins are also 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games at home against a team with a winning road record, and don't stay consistent, sitting at 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 after allowing less than 15 points in their last game. The Eagles are on a mission this year, and will want to make up for last week's 1 point loss. DeSean Jackson won't be a factor today, although maybe if this game was played in Philly... Take the Philadelphia Eagles at -2.

Atlanta Falcons @ Seattle Seahawks Prediction

BET ATLANTA FALCONS +6.5 AT SPORTSINTERACTIONWe had the Atlanta Falcons last week as they won straight up, and we will ride them again this week against a rested Seattle Seahawks team. This team is the hottest offence in the league right now, with Matt Ryan totaling 1740 passing yards for an average of 10.4 yards per completion and just throwing 2 interceptions in 5 games. While Ryan gets praise for providing much of the offense, they have a decent rushing game as well, coming in at 6th in the NFL with 124 rushing yards per game.

This is an offence that can hit you with multiple weapons, but the Seahawks might be able to help with at least one, as they have a stellar pass defence. Allowing only 183.8 passing yards per game, they are ranked 2nd in the league. Their opposition so far haven't been anywhere close to the power the Falcons possess though, having faced the Dolphins, Rams, 49ers, and Jets so far, which are ranked 29th, 32nd, 31st, and 17th respectively in total offense.

The Falcons are a covering machine, as they're not only 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall, but 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games. They keep that momentum going too, going 4-1 ATS in their last 5 after an ATS win. The Seahawks aren't anything special ATS, only 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 against a team over .500, and 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 home games against a team with a winning road record. Until they can prove to be worthy of covering against good teams, we have to take the Falcons plus the strangely high number of points. Take the Atlanta Falcons at +6.5.

Kansas City Chiefs @ Oakland Raiders Prediction

BET KANSAS CITY CHIEFS +1.5 AT SPORTSINTERACTIONThe last time the Oakland Raiders were 4-1 was back in 2002. Though they are much improved this year, they will not go 5-1. They are the type of team to take the gas off the pedal and come down to Earth, but still be at a respectable 4-2. The Kansas City Chiefs, on the other hand, are coming off a 43-14 thrashing to the Steelers, and having had their bye week, that loss has been on their minds all this time. Coach Andy Reid will have his team fired up for this matchup. He is 6-3 against the Raiders all time, and his numbers are astounding after a bye week, coming in at 15-2. They were sacked 4 times last week against Pittsburgh, so expect better pass protection this time. Oakland hasn't impressed yet, only winning their games by small margins. Their only high point is their +7 turnover differential this season, recovering 2 fumbles and getting 2 interceptions in last week's game.

Almost every trend favors the Chiefs here as well. The road team is 20-6 ATS in the last 26 meetings between these two, Kansas City specifically, is 10-3 ATS in the last 13 at Oakland, and the underdog is 13-5 ATS in the last 18 matchups. The Chiefs are also chief at bouncing back, going a perfect 8-0 ATS in their last 8 after scoring less than 15 in their last game. With Oakland's 0.5 loss to the spread last week at home, they are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games. This line will probably close at a PK. Take the Kansas City Chiefs at +1.5 while you can still get it.

Cleveland Browns @ Tennessee Titans Prediction

BET TENNESSEE TITANS -6.5 AT SPORTSINTERACTIONIs there any hope for the Cleveland Browns? They are 0-5 and a slew of injuries is preventing them from even being mediocre. They are reeling and don't even have a reliable option for a QB, let alone a competitive one. They could call McCown or Kessler for the start, but neither will make a big difference. While the Tennessee Titans are no elite team, they are still 2-3 this season, and going 3-3 is a good possibility against the Browns. It shouldn't be hard to get points as the Browns are the only team allowing at least 25 points in each of their games. The Titans come into this game after having sacked Ryan Tannehill a devastating 6 times last week, but on the other side, their pass protection is top notch. 

In the last 5 meetings between these teams, the favorite is 3-1-1 ATS, and the home team has the same record. By contrast, the Browns are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games, and 5-11 ATS in their last 16 following a double digit home loss. The antithesis of the Patriots, if this was any other team, we could give them a chance, but they are the Browns and they will disappoint once again. Take the Tennessee Titans at -6.5.

Indianapolis Colts @ Houston Texans Prediction

BET INDIANAPOLIS COLTS +3 AT SPORTSINTERACTIONThis AFC South matchup will be quite interesting. Under the primetime lights, the Indianapolis Colts will try to take 1st place in the division by kicking down an already falling Houston Texans team. QB Brock Osweiler is underperforming, as is the entire Texan offense, as they are among the bottom feeders in the league in terms of point production. With a passer rating of 70.6, he ranks 30th in the league, and their passing yard average is 208.6, good for 29th in the league. To turn attention away from Osweiler, the team isn't doing much better either, with 310.4 total yards per game, good for 27th in the NFL, 4.7 yards per play, for 31st, and only averaging 16.4 points, for 30th in the league. This team has no business having a winning record. Andrew Luck, on the other hand, is producing yardage when he's asked, with 10 touchdown passes, tied for 5th, and 1469 total yards, for 4th in the league.

The Colts are also 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 matchups with the Texans, and the road team is 3-0-1 ATS in the last 4. They crush divisional foes, going 17-6-1 ATS in their last 24 against AFC South opponents. With this divisional primetime game, the Colts will be hungrier and are heading in the right direction. This game should be a PK, but we are getting points here. Take the Indianapolis Colts at +3.

Category : NFL

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