Matthew Manouli | Thu 06/10/2016 - 04:17 EDT

NFL Week 5 Predictions

NFL Week 5 Predictions

Welcome to Week 5 of the NFL season! Get ready for some interesting matchups, as Tom Brady finally returns, rested and ready to go against no easier opponent than the Browns. Arizona looks to turn its season around, and the Colts try to save face and get a home win against the Bears. With 3 undefeated teams left in the league, will this be the week one gets disappointed? Keep reading to get the best value picks for NFL Week 5.

NFL Odds Week 5

Results / FixturesNFL

We had our first losing week in Week 4, going 3-5, which puts our record at 12-11 on the season. The Chargers gave up another lead late in the game, and Tennessee couldn't hold on for the cover. The Cleveland Browns came close and deserved the cover also, but ultimately there will be bad beats, but there will be good ones to even things out. The Raiders came from behind to beat the Ravens outright, and our two primetime games on Thursday and Monday cashed. 

Week 5 NFL Predictions

This week we have 7 games for you. The Thursday night game with the Cardinals facing the 49ers in an AFC West matchup, the Texans taking on the unbeaten Vikings, Atlanta trying to give Denver its first loss, the high-flying Eagles traveling to Detroit, the Bears vs Colts, the Dallas Cowboys hosting the Cincinnati Bengals, and the Chargers hoping to stop their back luck traveling to Oakland. Let's get in to it. 

Houston Texans @ Minnesota Vikings Prediction

BET HOUSTON TEXANS +6.5 AT SPORTINTERACTIONAfter such significant injuries, who thought we would be looking at an undefeated 4-0 Minnesota Vikings team, having lost their starting QB Teddy Bridgewater and star running back Adrian Peterson, hosting the J.J. Watt-less 3-1 Houston Texans? Both teams are atop their divisions, and are looking to build more momentum. This matchup seems to be favoring the Texans though if the spread is taken into account. 6.5 can be a lot to lay for the Vikings, who don't have the best of defenses.

Their yards per pass is above average, but their running game is in the gutter, averaging just 64.3 rushing yards per game, and 2.4 yards per run. Needless to say, they will have to rely on Sam Bradford to pass an average amount of points, and lock down on defense. Unfortunately for Bradford though, the Texans are 1st in the league in passing yards allowed, at 162.5 per game, so this leaves Minny in a predicament. With the Vikings prolific defense, especially on first down, allowing just 3.5 yards on average on first downs, this could be a low scoring affair, but Houston is great coming back from high offense games, going 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. If the Texans don't leave Minnesota in shock this week, offering them their first loss, they will at least cover the number. Take the Houston Texans at +6.5.

Atlanta Falcons @ Denver Broncos Prediction

BET ATLANTA FALCONS +3 AT BODOG.Currently sitting at the top of their division, the 3-1 Atlanta Falcons travel to Denver to try to stun the home crowd. The local thin air will help already monster offensive machine Matt Ryan make some truly phenomenal plays. This is an offense that is ranked 1st in the league at 38 points per game, 7 more points than the next best team, and is coming into this game after a record breaking week against the Panthers. Ryan threw for 503 yards and 4 TDs, while wide receiver Julio Jones had 300 yards, the first time a QB had over 500 yards and a receiver had 300 yards in the same game. This team is averaging 10.1 yards per pass and 354.3 yards per game. The undefeated Denver Broncos will have other things on their mind though, as their defense will surely give Ryan some problems.

They are ranked 2nd in pass defense, allowing only 169.5 pass yards per game, and 4.9 yards per pass. With 17 sacks, they also lead the NFL in that category. The Broncos offense though, hasn't made any heads turn yet, and with Trevor Siemian not confirmed to play, the Falcons could have the edge with the +3 point spread. They are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 after an ATS win, and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 overall. They are also 5-1 ATS in their last 6 after allowing at least 250 yards in their last game, and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 after allowing at least 30 points in their last game. The Broncos, on the other hand, played defensively well last week, but are only 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 15 points in their last game. With that thin Denver air, the Falcons will be able to make a couple of key big plays that will give them the cover. Take the Atlanta Falcons at +3.

Arizona Cardinals @ San Francisco 49ers Prediction

BET ARIZONA CARDINALS -3 AT SPORTSINTERACTIONKicking off Week 5 with Thursday Night Football, we have the match we've all been waiting for: Drew Stanton against Blaine Gabbert. End sarcasm. All joking aside, this NFC West game between two 1-3 teams won't be a marquee matchup, but will dictate whether the Arizona Cardinals can salvage their season. With Carson Palmer out, backup QB Drew Stanton will take the reins. Can he deliver? Well when Palmer was out in 2014 with a torn ACL, Stanton replaced him, going 5-3. With 9 takeaways so far, second only to the Chiefs' 10, the Cardinal defense is looking good too. They will need to work on their pass protection though , as they are tied for 27th place in the league in sacks allowed, with 12 so far.

On the other side, the San Francisco 49ers aren't any better off. Their pass offense is terrible, only averaging 178.8 yards per game, for last place in the league. Arizona is averaging over 100 yards more per game. Trends state that Arizona will bounce back, as they are 16-7 ATS in their last 23 games after an ATS loss. The 49ers are the opposite, going 1-4 ATS in their last 5 following a straight up and ATS loss, and are 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing over 350 yards in their previous game. If Arizona has any chance of catching Los Angeles or Seattle, they need to make their move here. With this loss, we might see Colin Kaepernick start next time. Take the Arizona Cardinals at  -3.

Cincinnati Bengals @ Dallas Cowboys Prediction

BET DALLAS COWBOYS +1.5 AT BODOGDon't let the records fool you. The Cincinnati Bengals are at 2-2, not because of injustice, but because they are an average team. The Dallas Cowboys are at 3-1, and playing at home. With their injuries, they are probably just as good at home as the Bengals are on the road. They are just not an elite team and do not deserve to be road favorites. QB Andy Dalton has been sacked 13 times already. They are relying on him too much because of a poor running game. Averaging just 80.8 rushing yards per game, and 3.1 yards per run, they are ranked 28th in the league in rushing offense. They just cannot convert redzone possession into TDs either, kicking the FG 8 out of 13 possessions inside the opponent's 20.

A.J. Green could be a wild card in this, as he has ben averaging 176.5 yards in Cincy's 2 wins, but just 57.7 yards in their 2 losses. Look for the Cowboys to contain him and snuff out one of their only weapons. If Ezekiel Elliot keeps running like he does, then the Cowboys will not only win this game, but can make a nice playoff run. Dallas has 8 rushing TDs, for 1st in the league, and averages a whopping 149 rushing yards per game. Their defense is weak against the run, but Cincinnati doesn't have any real rushing weapons. On the road, look to see a lethargic Bengals team in a low scoring affair. Take the Dallas Cowboys +1.5.

San Diego Chargers @ Oakland Raiders Prediction

BET OAKLAND RAIDERS -3.5 AT SPORTSINTERACTIONThe AFC West heats up as the San Diego Chargers try to claw their way back to .500. The 1-3 Chargers could easily have been 4-0 if not for squandering their leads in the last 5 minutes of the game on three separate occasions. On the other side of the coin, the Oakland Raiders are just coming off a come from behind victory against the Ravens, behind a strong performance from Derek Carr. He has passed for 1066 yards so far, with 9 TDs and 1 INT, while Michael Crabtree had 3 TDs just last week, a career best. Raiders' rushing is also above par, averaging 5.3 yards per run, but this comes secondary to Carr's pass offense. The reason it is so potent is because of the pass protection.

The Raiders have only allowed 2 sacks this entire season, the best in the league. Unfortunately, theis defense needs some work, as they are allowing 460 yards per game. On the bright side for them, the Chargers are on a nine game losing streak to AFC West rivals, the last time they won being in November 2014 against the Raiders. Matchups between these two favor Oakland however, as San Diego has only won ATS 4 times out of the last 14 times these two teams met. Oakland will buckle down at home and get the win without any come from behind antics necessary. Take the Oakland Raiders -3.5.

Chicago Bears @ Indianapolis Colts Prediction

BET CHICAGO BEARS +4.5 AT SPORTSINTERACTIONThe 1-3 Chicago Bears will try to get a road win in Indy, as they try to turn their season around. While they are struggling mightily with offense, averaging only 15.5 points per game, tied them with the Titans for most anemic offense in the league, their defense is what they are relying on. Their third down defense was crucial in last week's win over the Lions, holding them to 4 out of 12 on third down conversions. They are allowing 24.3. points per game, which is average at 19th in the NFL. QB Brian Hoyer is likely to make the start over injured Jay Cutler.

For the Indianapolis Colts, Andrew Luck is performing well, but he doesn't have the support he needs. They average 27 points per game, which is ranked 7th in the league, but allow a gigantic 31.3 points per game, which places them in the bottom 3. This game could well be Chuck Pagano's last, as Indianapolis won't settle for seeing their team defeated at home by the Bears. With Indy's weak defense, this is a team the Bears can open up on, while their defense can hold Luck to a low score. Giving the Bears 4.5 points also makes this a play. Take the Chicago Bears +4.5.

Philadelphia Eagles @ Detroit Lions Prediction

BET PHILADELPHIA EAGLES -3 AT SPORTSINTERACTIONComing off their bye week, the 3-0 Philadelphia Eagles are rested and ready to dispatch of their next victim. Coach Doug Pederson won't let this team take their foot off the gas. Rookie QB Carson Wentz is also playing well above what was expected, becoming the first rookie QB in the current league to go 3-0 in his first 3 starts without throwing an interception. The Eagles will want to stay undefeated, and stay among the ranks of the Broncos and Vikings. Luckily, they are facing a reeling Detroit Lions team that has lost 3 straight games. After their initial win against the Colts, they fell to NFC North rivals the Packers and Bears, with the Vikings still undefeated.

Matthew Stafford is generating enough offense himself, with Detroit getting 283.8 passing yards per game, and 7.3 yards per pass, and their rushing game is just average, with 4.2 yards per run. The problem is the lack of balance, as the Lions just rushed 16 times last week, for 49 yards. Averaging 22 runs per game, they are ranked 27th in the league. The Eagles prove to be good on the road, going 4-1 ATS in their last 5 away from Philly.  They are also 4-1 ATS in their last 5 following a straight up and ATS win. The Lions are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games. Philly keeps the pressure on and takes this one. Take the Philadelphia Eagles -3.

Category : NFL

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