Matthew Manouli | Thu 10/11/2016 - 07:25 EST

NFL Week 10 Odds, Picks and Live Scores

NFL Week 10 Odds, Picks and Live Scores

Get ready for Week 10! We have some interesting games on the card including Houston trying to stay on top of the AFC South, and two teams with giant fanbases slugging it out when Dallas travels to Pittsburgh. TNF kicks off with Baltimore hosting the lowly Browns, who are still desperatly looking for their first win this season.

NFL Odds Week 10

Results / FixturesNFL

We broke even last week going 3-3-1. We told you Green Bay still hadn't proven themselves, and we saw it as they lost outright to our Indy pick as 7.5 point favorites. Oakland also hit for us, as Denver's defense wasn't as spot on as earlier weeks. Our third hit was on the Miami Dolphins which went back and forth and won by 0.5. We lost with the Steelers, as we didn't gauge Big Ben's recovery properly, and we pushed on the Carolina game, which was disappointing, as they were leading comfortably the entire game. We mostly had the same picks and numbers as the sharps, so we will still be on the winning side come season's end. On to this week. 

Week 10 NFL Predictions

We have another 7 picks for you this week, as Houston takes on Jacksonville in an AFC South matchup, the Packers face the Titans, Carolina hosts Kansas City, the Cowboys try to take down a lackluster Steelers team, Denver tries to get back on track against New Orleans, and two primetimes games kicking off with the winless Browns at Baltimore on Thursday night in AFC North clash, and the Bengals against the Giants on Monday night. Let's get into it!

Houston Texans @ Jacksonville Jaguars Prediction

BET HOUSTON TEXANS -1.5 AT SPORTSINTERACTIONAfter last week's humiliating turnover frenzy, the Jacksonville Jaguars, sitting at 2-6, are trying to keep their hopes alive, but this will be their last chance. A loss to their AFC South rivals will cement their failure this season. Turnovers will be the story in this one, as both the Jaguars and Houston Texans are playing horrendous in both causing and committing turnovers. The Texans hold a -7 turnover differential, tied for 29th in the league, and the Jaguars are ranked last with a -12 differential.

That being said, this game could be highly unpredictable. The Jaguars played some good ball last week, outgaining the Chiefs by 218 yards, but their 4 turnovers negated most of their plays and cost them the game. A shred of hope for them is that between these two teams, the underdog is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 meetings together.

Houston, on the other hand, is coming off of a bye week, and are much more fresh. They also play well against the Jags, going 4-1 ATS in their last 5 in Jacksonville. They need this to get their first road win. They also dominate their division, sitting in 1st place, and going 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 against AFC South teams, and situationally are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 after allowing less than 90 rushing yards in their last game. On paper, the Texans aren't that much better than the Jags, but they are still 5-3 and still top of their division. They will put the final nail in the coffin for Jacksonville on Sunday. Take the Houston Texans at -1.5.

Green Bay Packers @ Tennessee Titans Prediction

BET GREEN BAY PACKERS -2.5 AT SPORTSINTERACTIONThis Green Bay Packers team is nothing special this year, but this is a game they know they need to win. Mike McCarthy will have his team energized and ready as they travel to meet the Tennessee Titans. Both teams are coming off losses, and will be looking to get back on track. Mariota actually had a decent game, throwing for 313 yards and a TD run, but he also cost his team in the end with 3 turnovers. Aaron Rodgers, on the other hand, isn't plagued by any inconsistencies. He still has a 20 TDs to only 5 interceptions, and has thrown for 2039 yards at a 63 percent completion rate. His team's inconsistencies come from a lack of a running game, something which the Titans are definitely not familiar with.

Tennessee RB DeMarcus Murray is ranked 2nd in the league, with 807 rushing yards, but although Green Bay doesn't have a good run game, they have the stingiest run defense in the league, only allowing 75.8 rushing yards per game. Murray will most likely not be able to put up good numbers against this Packers' advantage. 

The Packers also bounce back well, going 4-0 ATS in their last 4 after an ATS loss, and are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games. Another interesting trend in their favor, is that they're 40-18-3 ATS in their last 61 games after allowing ;ess than 90 rushing yards in their last game. Tennessee is a terrible 12-36-3 ATS in their last 51 overall, and 15-34-3 ATS in their last 52 home games. This team isn't getting it done on the spread. It might be a tight contest, but if this spread was any higher, it would be a no-play. Getting it while below a field goal is key, so get on this while it's still available. Take the Green Bay Packers at -2.5.

Kansas City Chiefs @ Carolina Panthers Prediction

BET KANSAS CITY CHIEFS +3 AT SPORTSINTERACTIONThis will prove to be quite an interesting game, as the Carolina Panthers seem almost destined to get back to .500, but the Kansas City Chiefs are backed by coach Andy Reid's outstanding post-bye record. After using QB Nick Foles in their win over Jacksonville, the Chiefs will be getting Alex Smith back, and Spencer Ware might play as well after passing concussion protocol. This could prove to be a potent offense once again, and they will field a team that is much better than the one fielded for the tight game against the 2-6 Jags. Cam Newton will have to shine, but given what we've seen so far this season, it's best not to rely on him. Carolina's defense will be how they stay in the game. This is a matchup that could be low scoring, so taking the points might be the best move.

Don't forget about Andy Reid's record after bye-weeks. And not only that, the Chiefs are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games, and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 after an ATS loss. The Panthers are situationally not in a good position, only going 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 overall, 1-6 ATS in their last 7 after running less than 90 rushing yards in their last game, 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 after getting less than 250 yards of offense, and finally 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 after a straight up win. This team will surpass the .500 mark, but this week won't help them. They could still win, but not cover, but Kansas is the side nonetheless. Take the Kansas City Chiefs at +3.   

Dallas Cowboys @ Pittsburgh Steelers Prediction

BET DALLAS COWBOYS +2.5 AT SPORTSINTERACTION.. Romo who? The 7-1 Dallas Cowboys are flying high now under Dak Prescott, and are surprising the league and their division, with a first place showing atop the NFC East. Prescott at the helm has thrown for 2020 yards and 12 TDs with only 2 interceptions. Fellow rookie Ezekiel Elliot leads the entire league in rushing. It's no wonder this team has won their last 7 straight games. As for the Pittsburgh Steelers, Big Ben will try to clean off last week's rust from Pittsburgh's loss to the rival Ravens.

He improved towards the end of the game to bring the score within respectable range, but his knee surgery clearly affected his performance near the start of the game. The team's 13 penalties didn't help either. At home, this team has been pretty good though, averaging 32.6 points per game in the three that Big Ben has started.

This might be a trap, but there is no reason to take the Steelers until they prove themselves, and no reason to fade the Cowboys until they show they are vulnerable. They are a cool 6-0 ATS in their last 6 after both an ATS and straight up win, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games, and 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games overall. Both teams are some of the most popular in the league, and this will prove to be an entertaining game, no matter the result. This line might fall further, so it's best to get on this sooner rather than later. Take the Dallas Cowboys at +2.5.

Cleveland Browns @ Baltimore Ravens Prediction

BET BALTIMORE RAVENS -9.5 AT SPORTSINTERACTIONThe Cleveland Browns are 0-9. 'Nuff said... They are even only 2-7 ATS. Unless they either turn things around, or are given a larger number of points, there is no reason to take this team. We took a shot on them last week and they let us down. But each week sharps seem to think they have a chance. Early money has already poured in on them, but we aren't buying it. The Baltimore Ravens are their AFC North rivals and can further maintain their lead of the division with a win. If they were any other team, this could either be an upset or backdoor cover kind of situation, as the Browns could easily be overlooked, especially on a short week. But as they're division rivals, coach John Harbaugh is taking this game just as seriously as any other. The Browns are the opposite of the Pats. When they seem due to win, they will still lose, ATS included.

Recent matchups are favoring the Browns here, but as is the case with Cleveland, it doesn't matter. Baltimore does dominate AFC North teams though, as they've gone 5-0 ATS in their last 5 against division rivals, while the Browns are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 against them. Baltimore isn't an elite team themselves, but fading the Browns, especially in a situation like this is the play. They are only getting 9 points and Baltimore is hungrier. Look for them to give Cleveland their first 0-10 start in franchise history. Take the Baltimore Ravens at -9.5.

Denver Broncos @ New Orleans Saints Prediction

BET NEW ORLEANS SAINTS -2.5 AT SPORTSINTERACTIONHop on this one quick as it might cross 3 soon. The New Orleans Saints are hoping to crack their opponent's incredible pass defense, and get Drew Brees, who is averaging 336.1 passing yards per game, picking off his targets. If the Denver Broncos tighten up though, it could be hard, but the Saints can just rush. The Super Bowl champions are not very proficient defending against the rush, allowing 218 yards last week against the Raiders, and 128.6 rushing yards on average per game, the fourth worst in the league. If the Saints can keep their defense tired with a pass-run balance, this could be a long day for the Broncos. Brees might be able to crack this defense open himself.

Even though Denver only allows 183.3 passing yards per game, the best in the league, Brees has two 400 yard games, and 3 of at least 323 yards. He also has 21 TD passes to just 5 interceptions, and completes 72.1% of his third down passes. Trevor Siemian won't be a factor in this one, even though the Saints' defense is porous.

This team has turned it around, while the Broncos are in decline. New Orleans is a perfect 4-0 ATS in their last 4 after both winning straight up and winning ATS, are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 overall, 6-0 ATS in their last 6 after scoring more than 30 points in their last game. These teams are heading in opposite directions, and the Saints will send the Broncos even further back to Earth. Take the New Orleans Saints at -2.5.

Cincinnati Bengals @ New York Giants Prediction

BET CINCINNATI BENGALS +2.5 AT SPORTSINTERACTIONComing off a bye week, the Cincinnati Bengals will look to get the upset as they travel to New York. In what promises to be a high scoring prime time game on Monday night, these top 6 offenses face off against bottom tier defenses. The Bengals come into this matchup ranked 4th in the league in passing offense, while the New York Giants are ranked 6th. But... the Bengals defense is ranked 25th in the NFL, giving up 264.2 passing yards per game, while the Giants are ranked 23rd. Cincinnati has the edge though in rushing offense, as the Giants haven't had a reliable rusher this season, and only average 68.2 running yards per game, dead last in the league. This might explain why the total isn't set higher and why we aren't touching that. With Cincy's edge in offense, they should be able to win against this one dimensional New York team.

Cincinnati is also an impressive 12-3-2 ATS in their last 17 after getting over 250 pass yards in their last game, and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 road games. The Giants don't shine well on Monday night prime time, as they are only 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Monday night games, and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games against a team below .500. The Bengals will correct that record this week though. Reverse line movement also seems to be in effect, as most of the public is on the Giants, but the line seems to be moving towards the Bengals. Take the Cincinnati Bengals at +2.5.

Category : NFL

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