NFL Preseason 2018: Strategies and Betting Tips
NFL Exhibition Games: Betting Strategies Change
Some sports bettors swear off NFL preseason betting - largely due to employing regular season strategies and losing a chunk of change in the process. Wildly different, compared to contests that actually count in the Super Bowl race, coaches navigate the four weeks of exhibition games with an altered mindset. Winning all 16 games is the sole goal during the regular season - organizing a defense and offense to pull it off is the primary focus of X-Games. That process begins with teams taking a look at up to 90 players prior to cutting down to their 53-man regular season roster.
While looking at that group, which includes 37 or so players who won't be around long, strategies change from week to week. Players who are already penciled into the starting roster - especially proven stars on offence, are used sparingly during X-Game action. Different by squad, most confirmed starters on offense play none to one series during Week 1, a few more series in Week 2, up to three quarters in Week 3 and then don't even dress for Week 4 contests. Projected second string players see similar action, while third and forth stringers play the majority of all matches.
Understanding which players will play, and for how long, is accomplished by following NFL team pages that are easily accessed on the web. Official social media sites are also helpful as illustrated by the info the New England Patriots twitter feed presented prior to NFL 2018 Week 2 X-Games. Showing QB Tom Brady coming out of the tunnel at Gillette Stadium, ready to roll, was a boost for those believing the Pats would earn a tiny measure of revenge for their Super Bowl 52 loss to Philadelphia. Brady played two quarters and New England had a comfortable 27-7 lead at halftime.
NFL Head Coaches: Some Always Play To Win
Many bench bosses take a "if it's worth playing - it's worth winning" philosophy. Those coaches may be veterans, who have a tried and true formula, or rookie sideline Generals who are looking to make a their mark and impress by rolling out a winning culture during the preseason. Entering his ninth season in Seattle, HC Pete Carroll is a classic example of the former as the Seahawks are 22-10 straight up during his first eight years in the Emerald City. Being as money lines stay fairly low in the preseason - that .687 win percentage is a bankroll booster heading into a new NFL season.
|Head Coach - Team||X-Game Record||Head Coach - Team||X-Game Record|
|Hue Jackson - Browns||5-8||Adam Gase - Dolphins||4-5|
|Dick Koetter - Buccaneers||4-4||Marvin Lewis - Bengals||31-31|
|Vance Joseph - Broncos||4-1||Jay Gruden - Redskins||12-6|
|Todd Bowles - Jets||7-7||Bill O'Brien - Texans||10-6|
|Jason Garrett - Cowboys||12-18||John Harbaugh - Ravens||30-12|
|Jon Gruden - Raiders||31-16||Pete Carroll - Seahawks||22-11|
|Frank Reich - Colts||1-0||Matt Nagy - Bears||0-2|
|Mike Vrabel - Titans||0-1||Anthony Lynn - Chargers||1-4|
|Dan Quinn - Falcons||5-8||Doug Marrone - Jaguars||5-9|
|Mike Tomlin - Steelers||26-22||Ron Rivera - Panthers||16-13|
|Sean McDermott- Bills||1-4||Andy Reid - Chiefs||36-41|
|Pat Shumer - Giants||3-6||Sean Payton - Saints||24-27|
|Steve Wilks - Cardinals||1-0||Matt Patricia - Lions||0-1|
|Mike McCarthy - Packers||28-21||Mike Zimmer - Vikings||15-3|
|Bill Belichick - Patriots||42-34||Kyle Shanahan - 49ers||3-2|
|Sean McVay – Rams||2-3||Doug Peterson – Eagles||6-4|
Please Note: Preseason individual coaching records are to date on August 16, 2018.
Several current NFL head coaches fit the bill of "wanting to win" as 15 of the 26 returning bench bosses have a career 256-177 straight up X-Game record as of 16/08/18. Led by Andy Reid (36-41) Sean Payton (24-27) and Jason Garrett (12-18) the other 11 returning coaches sport a 98-133 mark. With Jon Gruden as the most familiar name, sporting a sparkling 31-16 X-Game record, six new head coaches are 3-4 so far during the 2018 NFL preseason. Of those teams, expect the Lions and Titans to get a couple wins from their new leaders prior to Kick Off Night on September 6, 2018.
Preseason Where To Wager and What To Bet On
Always simple, safe, plus available online 24/7, answering the first part of the header above is easy. NFL action rules the roost at Canada facing sportsbooks as they offer odds shortly after each year's NFL Championship match. The first options on the board are Super Bowl futures prices which are updated continuously during the offseason, preseason and throughout the regular season. We are all over NFL title game odds with weekly reviews along with picks at various points during the year. Futures options also include season team win totals and player props like regular season MVP lines.
During the four full preseason weekends, bettors can jump in on standard against the spread, money line and game total options. Our preference is largely titled towards straight up wagers first with a rare mix of ATS and Over/Under bets sprinkled in. With 3.5 being a popular line - we tend to stick to that range if we take or lay points and we save game total betting for Week 3 contests. Of all the tips we offer - moderation is always the best mantra when it comes to NFL preseason betting. A long season awaits - be sure to get in on the action at these top ranked sportsbooks.
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