NFL 2018/19 Week 5
Best Bet on Week 5 of the 2018 NFL Season
- 01Best Over Bet: Atlanta Falcons vs. Pittsburgh Steeler 57.5 (-115)
- 02Best Under Bet: Denver Broncos vs. New York Jets 42.5 (-110)
- 03Best Moneyline Bet: Green Bay Packers (-120) over the Detroit Lions
- 04Best Point Spread Wager: Baltimore Ravens (-3.0) against the Cleveland Browns (-120)
Best Over Bet: Atlanta Falcons vs. Pittsburgh Steeler 57.5 (-115)
Typically you would not see someone advocating for an over wager on a line of 57.5, but after watching these two teams over the first four weeks of the NFL season, there is little reason to believe either team’s defence will do much on Sunday.
Atlanta allows teams to score on 47.7% of drives this season (second-most in the NFL), while Pittsburgh has allowed the second most passing touchdowns (12).
Both offences are good this season. Falcons’ receiver Julio Jones leads the NFL in receiving yards, while Roethlisberger sits atop the passing yardage leaderboard. Overall, this game should be one of, if not, the highest scoring games of Week 5.
Pick: Over 57.5 Points (-115)
Best Under Bet: Denver Broncos vs. New York Jets 42.5 (-110)
While both teams offences looked good in Week 1, their last three games have not been very impressive. Both the Denver Broncos and New York Jets have more interceptions than passing touchdowns and rank in the bottom five for passing yards per attempt.
Although the Broncos have made up for some of their offences inefficiencies through a better-than-expected rushing attack, the Jets allow the seventh-fewest yards per carry in the NFL this season. Overall, it is hard to trust both offences showing up on Sunday, and a low-scoring game is what NFL bettors should expect.
Pick: Over 42.5 Points (-110)
Best Moneyline Bet: Green Bay Packers (-120) over the Detroit Lions
Rodgers is 13-3 against Detroit in his career, owning a 34-6 TD to INT ratio.
Lions’ defence has not stopped many this season, especially on the ground. With Packers running back Aaron Jones looking quite strong over the last two weeks, the Packers should find success running the ball early. That will open up play action for Rodgers and help his receivers make big plays down the field.
Pick: Green Bay to Win Outright (-120)
Best Point Spread Wager: Baltimore Ravens (-3.0) against the Cleveland Browns (-120)
The Ravens defence allows the fewest yards per play in the NFL this season and has allowed only one team to score more than 14 points this season.
The Browns are only 3-7 ATS against Baltimore in their last ten games and 0-5 since November 2015. While the Browns should continue to improve over the season, we know the Ravens have improved since last year and should win and cover against the Browns.
Pick: Baltimore -3.0 over the Cleveland Browns (-120)
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