NFL Monday Night Predictions
Will Green Bay Miss The Playoffs Without Rodgers?
When Aaron Rodgers and his collarbone collapsed under the weight of the Vikings pass rush, so did their chances of making the post season. No quarterback embodies the spirit of their team like Rodgers, and his absence turns the Packers into a mediocre team – maybe even bad. Brett Hundley did his best to step in, but a backup QB can’t fill the shoes of a hall-of-famer.
The Detroit Lions have lost three in a row to push themselves to the periphery of the NFC playoff picture. Detroit started the season with a 3-1 record, including a win against the division-leading Minnesota Vikings. The Lions haven’t roared in a month, playing timid football instead of gutting out close matches against the Steelers and Panthers.
NFL Monday Night Picks
- Game: Detroit Lions at Green Bay Packers
- Pick: Lions Beat -2.5 Spread, Under 43.5
- NFL Odds Courtesy of Sports Interaction
Lions at Packers - Vital Trends
The Green Bay Packers haven’t scored a passing TD for six quarters. Backup pivots in the NFL usually don’t perform well, and replacing Aaron Rodgers is an impossible task. Since stepping in for Rodgers, Hundley has a 39.7 passer rating, including four interceptions, five sacks, and a paltry 4.21 yards per attempt. Last week, Hundley rushed half as far as he threw the ball, earning only 87 yards in the air compared to 44 yards gained on ground. Green Bay can’t put up big points without their superstar QB.
Lions Red Zone Misery
Last week, the Lions managed to earn 482 yards against the Steelers without scoring a TD, messing up a trio of opportunities within 10 yards of the end zone. Plenty criticize Matt Stafford’s difficulties in the red zone, but the Lions wouldn’t be able to progress deep into enemy territory without Matt’s cannon arm. Pittsburgh’s defense is ranked second in the NFL, while Green Bay’s 18th in the NFL, which means that Stafford and the Lions should improve their production in the red zone tonight.
Lions Underrated Defense
The Lions allow 24.1 points per game, which places them 23rd in the league for points conceded. However, the Lions feature one of the best run prevention schemes, giving up only 91.6 yards per game on 3.6 yards per carry. Despite snagging the third-most interceptions in the NFL, the pass defense still ranks in the bottom ten in the NFL, which suggests a propensity to give up big plays. If the Packers can’t put up yards in the air, Detroit won’t let Green Bay make progress via the rush.
Rookie RB Needs To Carry Packers Offense
Ty Montgomery was expected to add an extra dimension to Green Bay’s offense through steady rushing, but rookie running back Aaron Jones took over as the starter for Ty during week four. Jones has contributed steady, if not spectacular production since usurping the starting spot. Over his last three games, Jones has averaged 99 yards per game on 6.06 yards per attempt, earning a pair of TDs in the process.
Adam will have it rough against the Lions superb rush defense, but he’ll also have an opportunity to show Green Bay that he’s their running back of the future.
NFL X-Factors On Monday
The Packers backup pivot and rookie starting RB represent relatively unknown quantities in the NFL. Brett Hundley might be a good QB who hasn’t had enough reps in game time situations, and the Lions low-ranking pass defense could give Hundley enough space to prove his worth. RB Aaron Jones might be in the middle of a breakout season, with the Lions rush defense unable to handle the talented rookie. A superb performance from either greatly lifts Green Bay’s chances of winning.
Historically, Detroit has a difficult time playing against the Packers, winning only seven of their last 24 meetings. Green Bay has won seven of the last ten, but two of those losses happened when the Lions visited Lambeau Field. This implies that the Lions have a better shot of beating Green Bay on the road than expected, especially without Rodgers.
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