Golovkin vs Alvarez 2: Odds Update
Golovkin vs Canelo Alvarez was last year's most anticipated boxing match that didn't involve any kind of circus freakshow element to it and that applies for this year's rematch. If there is any silver lining to the bogus decision, it's that we all get to enjoy another 12 rounds of the world's two finest middleweight boxers.
What we can expect, outside of more bogus judging, is that these two will throw down and combined for at least 300 punches landed like the initial bout. While talks make it close to being done, the fight isn't official yet and there are no hard details on where and when the fight will specifically be although May 5, 2018, is the targeted date.
Despite judge Adalaide Byrd's heinous scoring, the majority of the viewers scored the first bout heavily for Golovkin who out landed Canelo in 10 of the 12 rounds with a more active punch total of 218 landed to 703 thrown (31%) versus Canelo's 169 landed to 505 thrown (33%).
We examine how both boxers match-up in the rematch with all betting odds from SportsInteraction.
Golovkin vs Alvarez 2 Fight Breakdown and Betting Odds
Golovkin opened as a -170 favourite to Canelo's +130. This wasn't too different last year when Golovkin opened at -175 while Canelo was +138. Oddsmakers clearly believe the fight will largely remain the same and it's hard to see why not as not much has changed from both boxers.
If anything, this rematch favours Canelo a bit more and he has more value here as an underdog. Throughout most of their first fight, Golovkin seemingly dictated the fight. Canelo had his spurts within the first four rounds and last two rounds but it was the GGG show for the most part as the bigger and tougher Kazakh marched Canelo down for most of the fight.
The fight played out like how most felt: Golovkin used his size advantage to bully Canelo. Early in the fight, Golovkin established his jab early and pushed Canelo into the ropes repeatedly. He cut the ring off and made it as uncomfortable for the Mexican fighter. Canelo is usually not in these situations as he is usually the bigger and more powerful boxer.
But Canelo was dangerous throughout and utilized a lot of body shots that seemingly unfazed Golovkin. The two got into plenty of firefights with plenty of combos and haymakers thrown at each other. Both Golovkin and Canelo ate their fair share of power shots and their toughness shined through as there was not a single knockdown through all 12 rounds.
Golovkin was up seven rounds to three by the Lederman card and was en route to a victory until Canelo caught his second wind and began furious rally late that saw him win two of the last three rounds. It was likely this rally that saved Canelo from defeat although Golovkin did fire back resulting in an all-time classic.
If Golovkin is to change a few parts of his strategy, it is to finish stronger this time. Had he thoroughly pushed Canelo back until the final bell, he might be up 1-0 in this rivalry. He also absorbed too many body shots and this could have contributed to him slowing down a bit. As the older fighter, Golovkin might also be warier of his endurance.
For Canelo, he'll have to find ways to prevent Golovkin from cutting him off. It's not just movement or speed but also timing. Canelo was finding plenty of success finding gaps in between Golovkin's flurries but was absorbing too many shots. The Mexican has an iron chin but he was clearly being stung by Golovkin, which may have neutralized his offence for the most part.
In this rematch, the feeling out process could be shorter or longer. It could be shorter because both boxers are more familiar with each other but also longer because there is more at stake here especially for Golovkin.
As the champion, Golovkin may put an emphasis on "defending" and Canelo can't risk being too aggressive having tasted Golovkin's power. Regardless, we will be in for another boxing classic and a potential trilogy especially if Golovkin prevails.
Book May 5th off your calendars and put $60 aside as this is going to be another Fight of the Year you can't miss.
Betting on Boxing
Once this rematch becomes official, it will garner interest among boxing fans everywhere: casual or hardcore. Canadians turn to these online sportsbooks for all their wagering needs. Fights like this only happen once a year and draw plenty of scrutiny and money. Read our reviews before committing to any books.
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