| Fri 08/12/2017 - 20:12 EST

Fight Night 123: Swanson vs Ortega Fight Card, Odds, Predictions

Fight Night 123: Swanson vs Ortega Fight Card, Odds, Predictions

Fight Night Fresno: Swanson Will Leave His Mark

They call him "Killa Cub" or "Beautiful Destruction" but the way Swanson gets overlooked is like a guy always getting friend zoned. Swanson (-115) has consistently been a top guy but lost to Max Holloway and Frankie Edgar and was all but forgotten until his Fight of the Year against Doo Ho Choi in Toronto. On the last fight of his contract, Swanson is on his way out and gets a chance to spoil the UFC's latest prospect: Brian Ortega.

Ortega (-115) a.k.a. "T-City" is undefeated and the only blemish in his career was a "No Contest" following a positive test for drostanolone. He allegedly used it for weight cutting and his four straight third-round stoppage victories have more than proved he is a fighter whose abilities are the result of talent and not steroids. He's getting his biggest test against Swanson and a win here could vault him to a title shot.

UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs Ortega

Five of Swanson's seven defeats came via submission and it took wearing him out to do it. Swanson is a surgical striker as evidenced by his 50.14 per cent striking accuracy. If he has a flaw, it's his tendency to overthink and instead of pressing the attack, sits on his heels to either counter-punch or land a perfect shot. This is why Holloway and Edgar gave him problems as the two moved a lot and constantly peppered him.

Ortega is still developing his striking but can utilize footwork and movement to frustrate Swanson and tie him up. Ortega isn't just a Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu black belt but is under the renowned Gracie tutelage. However, he isn't known for his takedowns and even Swanson averages more takedown attempts. If Ortega can't find a way to use his BJJ on Swanson, he might be in for a painful night.

The hype train steamed Ortega to pick'em odds. This either ends with Ortega submitting Swanson or Swanson outstriking Ortega to a decision. Bank on the latter to happen as Swanson keeps this fight on its feet and pieces up the young lion as he hands him his first defeat.

Swanson will leave his mark on both the UFC and Ortega's face.

Our Record: 3-0

Betting Stats & Tidbits:

  • 34%: the expected outcome for either a Swanson Decision or Ortega Finish; bettors are split between the two hence the pick'em odds
  • -190: the line on Swanson the last time he lost when he opened as a favourite; he lost via third-round submission to now-featherweight champion Max Holloway. 
  • 4,300: the amount of US dollars a bettor would have had they bet on Ortega to win each of his last four fights in the third-round; he was +1400 to win in Round 3 in his most recent fight versus Renato Moicano
  • 6/0: the over/under for Swanson's last six bouts; he won his last four all by decision and lost two via a late finish. The last time an under cashed for Swanson was back in 2013 versus Dennis Siver. 

    Fight Night 123 Predictions

    All betting odds via Sports Interaction

    Lock it Up! The lock of the night goes to Alex Perez (-400); a hefty price tag for a relative newcomer but Perez is just a significantly better than the scrappy Carls John De Tomas (+280). Perez is a better striker and a better grappler and has a path to victory wherever the fight goes.  

    Our Record: 1-2

    Who's A Good Dog? Poor Alexis Davis (+155) always gets ignored and it's irresponsible she's this big of an underdog against a fighter she already beat, Liz Carmouche (-200). Davis recently became a mom and hasn't looked that motivated but even past her prime, she's already read the book on beating Carmouche.

    Our Record: 1-2

    Just Say No: to Alejandro Perez (+175) vs Iuri Alcantara (-235); this is a fun exciting fight between two well-versed MMA fighters and one the higher-level Alcantara should win. However, Alcantara has a tendency to fight down to his competition and +175 is not enough for the outmatched Mexican. Pass!

    Main Card (TSN 5, 10:00 PM ET)

    • Featherweight (145 lbs): #4 Cub Swanson (-115) vs #6 Brian Ortega (-115)
    • Featherweight (145 lbs): #15 Jason Knight (-310) vs Gabriel Benitez (+225)
    • Bantamweight (135 lbs): #7 Marlon Moraes (-135) vs #8 Aljamain Sterling (+105)
    • Lightweight (155 lbs): Scott Holtzman (-130) vs Darrell Horcher (+100)
    • Middleweight (185 lbs): Eryk Anders (-345) vs Markus Perez (+245)
    • Bantamweight (135 lbs): Albert Morales (-110) vs Benito Lopez (-120)

    Prelims (Fight Network, 8:00 PM ET)

    • Women's Flyweight (125 lbs): Alexis Davis (+155) Liz Carmouche (-200)
    • Bantamweight (135 lbs): Luke Sanders(-270) vs Andre Soukhamthath (+195)
    • Flyweight (125 lbs): Carls John De Tomas (+280) vs Alex Perez (-400)
    • Bantamweight (135 lbs): Frankie Saenz (+135) vs Merab Dvalishvili (-175)

    Early Prelims (UFC Fight Pass, 6:30 PM ET)

    • Bantamweight (135 lbs): Alejandro Perez (+175) vs Iuri Alcantara (-235)
    • Lightweight (155 lbs): Chris Gruetzemacher (+295) vs Davi Ramos (-425)
    • Middleweight (185 lbs): Antonio Braga Neto (+210) vs Trevin Giles (-290)

    Canadian UFC/MMA fans should visit these sportsbooks and take advantage of their sign-up bonuses. These books offer so many ways to bet and depositing money is easy making it welcoming for new players who just want to to get in on the action immediately.

      Category : NFL News

      More articles...
      NFL News - 05/02/21
      How Much Money to Bet on Super Bowl 

      The NFL is the biggest league among the major North American leagues, as such, it garners more bets than any other. This means that the Super Bowl is one of the most bet on sporting events in the world - and it all takes place within 4 hours!

      The amount of money bet on the Super Bowl is outrageous. With so many bettors playing the odds there was over $154 million spent at the Super Bowl LIV, making it the second-most all-time amount wagered.

      NFL News - 05/02/21
      Worst Super Bowl Commercials 

      The Super Bowl commercial breaks are always much-anticipated aspects of the whole spectacle, with some memorable ads that will stick with football fans for life. Though, sometimes, these ads stick with viewers for the wrong reasons.

      With the average cost of a 30-second in-game ad estimated to be $5.25 million, it’s something these advertising companies need to be getting right. But, for those that do get it wrong, it’s fun to chuckle at just how bad these things have been.

      Within this article we’ll take a look at some of the worst Super Bowl commercials of all time, addressing the finer details of what really didn’t click. Stay tuned for the very worst top-10!

      NFL News - 05/02/21
      Latest Super Bowl LVI news with picks and odds 

      While NFL fans are focused on the 2020 season, it's never too early to start looking ahead to 2021. And as you might imagine, the hard work continues for next year, with the big game headed to Inglewood, Calif.In this piece, we offer up the latest Super Bowl LVI news with odds and picks for fans to enjoy. Who is the early favourite to win it all in February of 2022?

      NFL News - 22/01/21
      Worst Super Bowl Half-time Shows 

      The Super Bowl halftime shows are manic, yet awe-inspiring. Often featuring the most prominent figures in pop culture, the half-time show aims to please well over 100 million viewers every year. But, how do they keep the audience happy?

      Given that there are hundreds of millions of people watching the event, getting it right is critical. More often than not, things come off and the audience gleefully cheers the spectacle. However, on occasion, things really don’t go to plan.

      We will highlight those years when things turned sour, with our list of the 10 worst Super Bowl halftime shows of all time - in no particular order. So, without further adieu, let’s get down to it.