Fight Night Fresno: Swanson Will Leave His Mark
They call him "Killa Cub" or "Beautiful Destruction" but the way Swanson gets overlooked is like a guy always getting friend zoned. Swanson (-115) has consistently been a top guy but lost to Max Holloway and Frankie Edgar and was all but forgotten until his Fight of the Year against Doo Ho Choi in Toronto. On the last fight of his contract, Swanson is on his way out and gets a chance to spoil the UFC's latest prospect: Brian Ortega.
Ortega (-115) a.k.a. "T-City" is undefeated and the only blemish in his career was a "No Contest" following a positive test for drostanolone. He allegedly used it for weight cutting and his four straight third-round stoppage victories have more than proved he is a fighter whose abilities are the result of talent and not steroids. He's getting his biggest test against Swanson and a win here could vault him to a title shot.
Five of Swanson's seven defeats came via submission and it took wearing him out to do it. Swanson is a surgical striker as evidenced by his 50.14 per cent striking accuracy. If he has a flaw, it's his tendency to overthink and instead of pressing the attack, sits on his heels to either counter-punch or land a perfect shot. This is why Holloway and Edgar gave him problems as the two moved a lot and constantly peppered him.
Ortega is still developing his striking but can utilize footwork and movement to frustrate Swanson and tie him up. Ortega isn't just a Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu black belt but is under the renowned Gracie tutelage. However, he isn't known for his takedowns and even Swanson averages more takedown attempts. If Ortega can't find a way to use his BJJ on Swanson, he might be in for a painful night.
The hype train steamed Ortega to pick'em odds. This either ends with Ortega submitting Swanson or Swanson outstriking Ortega to a decision. Bank on the latter to happen as Swanson keeps this fight on its feet and pieces up the young lion as he hands him his first defeat.
Swanson will leave his mark on both the UFC and Ortega's face.
Our Record: 3-0
Betting Stats & Tidbits:
- 34%: the expected outcome for either a Swanson Decision or Ortega Finish; bettors are split between the two hence the pick'em odds
- -190: the line on Swanson the last time he lost when he opened as a favourite; he lost via third-round submission to now-featherweight champion Max Holloway.
- 4,300: the amount of US dollars a bettor would have had they bet on Ortega to win each of his last four fights in the third-round; he was +1400 to win in Round 3 in his most recent fight versus Renato Moicano
- 6/0: the over/under for Swanson's last six bouts; he won his last four all by decision and lost two via a late finish. The last time an under cashed for Swanson was back in 2013 versus Dennis Siver.
Fight Night 123 Predictions
All betting odds via Sports Interaction
Lock it Up! The lock of the night goes to Alex Perez (-400); a hefty price tag for a relative newcomer but Perez is just a significantly better than the scrappy Carls John De Tomas (+280). Perez is a better striker and a better grappler and has a path to victory wherever the fight goes.
Our Record: 1-2
Who's A Good Dog? Poor Alexis Davis (+155) always gets ignored and it's irresponsible she's this big of an underdog against a fighter she already beat, Liz Carmouche (-200). Davis recently became a mom and hasn't looked that motivated but even past her prime, she's already read the book on beating Carmouche.
Our Record: 1-2
Just Say No: to Alejandro Perez (+175) vs Iuri Alcantara (-235); this is a fun exciting fight between two well-versed MMA fighters and one the higher-level Alcantara should win. However, Alcantara has a tendency to fight down to his competition and +175 is not enough for the outmatched Mexican. Pass!
Main Card (TSN 5, 10:00 PM ET)
- Featherweight (145 lbs): #4 Cub Swanson (-115) vs #6 Brian Ortega (-115)
- Featherweight (145 lbs): #15 Jason Knight (-310) vs Gabriel Benitez (+225)
- Bantamweight (135 lbs): #7 Marlon Moraes (-135) vs #8 Aljamain Sterling (+105)
- Lightweight (155 lbs): Scott Holtzman (-130) vs Darrell Horcher (+100)
- Middleweight (185 lbs): Eryk Anders (-345) vs Markus Perez (+245)
- Bantamweight (135 lbs): Albert Morales (-110) vs Benito Lopez (-120)
Prelims (Fight Network, 8:00 PM ET)
- Women's Flyweight (125 lbs): Alexis Davis (+155) Liz Carmouche (-200)
- Bantamweight (135 lbs): Luke Sanders(-270) vs Andre Soukhamthath (+195)
- Flyweight (125 lbs): Carls John De Tomas (+280) vs Alex Perez (-400)
- Bantamweight (135 lbs): Frankie Saenz (+135) vs Merab Dvalishvili (-175)
Early Prelims (UFC Fight Pass, 6:30 PM ET)
- Bantamweight (135 lbs): Alejandro Perez (+175) vs Iuri Alcantara (-235)
- Lightweight (155 lbs): Chris Gruetzemacher (+295) vs Davi Ramos (-425)
- Middleweight (185 lbs): Antonio Braga Neto (+210) vs Trevin Giles (-290)
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Category : NFL News
Coming soon, the 2022 NFL Super Bowl will be here and folks can't wait for the action to arrive. With that said, Super Bowl Commercials 2022 is already a trending topic and people are just as excited for the advertisements than the game. Each year, people not only enjoy watching things but also betting on prop bets too. What can people expect from the Super Bowl commercials this time around?
In a brilliant turn of events for Sin City, some big news is in for the state as a whole to be honest. Indeed, Las Vegas expected to host Super Bowl LVIII in 2024 is something that folks had been hoping for ever since Allegiant Stadium was built as the new home of the Las Vegas Raiders. While this game is still two years away, people are counting down the days for this to arrive. NFL fans will be taking over Las Vegas.
Details on the 2022 Super Bowl halftime show are emerging – and from what we can tell, it is going to be quite the performance.
When you turn on the Super Bowl on February 13 – expect to see something new – at least one cryptocurrency commercial.