College Football Bowl Season Has Finally Arrived
2017 College Football Bowl Preview
Saturday's action brings bettors five games to sink their teeth into to open things up as we head towards the CFB Playoffs, and now that it's Bowl Season there is one important factor (among many to be fair) that you should always keep in mind.
College Football Bowls tend to be more about motivation - especially the ones in December in regards to schools "really" wanting to be in the Bowl game they are in or not. These early December Bowls are often regarded as the "weaker" Bowls and if you are a school that had a highly successful year by your standards, chances are being involved in one of these games isn't ideal.
For these Saturday games, there are two teams that potentially fit that mold as both the Troy Trojans and Boise State Broncos either won or earned a share of their respective Conference titles and typically when you are a team accomplishing that, you usually don't see the football field again until after Christmas.
Troy is about a TD favourite in the New Orleans Bowl, while Boise State is getting a TD as underdogs in the Las Vegas Bowl. It will be interesting to see just how motivated both sides are early on, but with the potential risk of disinterested squads showing up, they aren't particularly the best sides to consider backing on Saturday.
CFB Bowl Betting Picks
With five games in total on the betting board there is a lot to get to, but I'm not going to look to have action on all of these contests. Spreading yourself thin like that can lead to forcing plays and taking action on inadequately researched contests and that typically ends in pain for your betting bankroll. However, there is one contest that I do really like from a betting perspective on opening day of CFB Bowl games, so let's get right to the pick.
Boise State vs Oregon (-7) - Total: 61 | Las Vegas Bowl - 3:30 pm EST
I touched on the idea of the Boise State Broncos not exactly being too thrilled about playing on opening day after winning the Mountain West Conference this season.
The 10-3 SU Broncos are coming off consecutive games against a tough Fresno State team (one to end regular season and a rematch the following week in Conference Championship) and beat them in the 2nd contest to claim the conference crown. Yet, it's Boise who plays on the opening Saturday while Fresno gets a trip to Hawaii to play in the Hawaii Bowl on Christmas Eve.
I'm sure that had to rub at least a few guys involved in this Boise State program the wrong way and it will be interesting to see if they use it as motivation to try and make a statement or simply fold up shop and get to their holiday break as quickly as they can. If it's the latter, there is a good chance the Broncos will get taken behind the woodshed by this explosive Oregon Ducks team that routinely puts up points with QB Justin Herbert under center.
Herbert missed five games during the middle of the year for Oregon due to injury, but in the seven games he did start the Ducks averaged more than 50 points per contest.
He was able to return to play the final two games of the year so there are no lingering injury concerns there, and even if this Boise State team does decide to play their best, chances are the Ducks will still light up the scoreboard. And for a team that averaged 50+ points per game with their starting QB, a total of 61 is really quite low.
Boise State's offense should be able to score some points against a suspect Oregon defense no matter what level of energy they have, and this game could end up being one of those classic shootouts we can get early on in the Bowl season where the team with the ball last wins.
Oddsmakers have already realised that their opening number of 59.5 was a little too low from the get-go, as significant 'over' action has already pushed this total up to it's current number. I agree with the move and the support for the 'over' in this game and still think that even at 61 there is plenty of value at playing the 'over' at this number.Bet Over 61 points Sports Interaction
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