CCL Final: Chivas vs. Toronto Second Leg Odds, Prediction
CCL Final Second Leg Preview
Toronto FC have travelled to Mexico twice already during this season's Champions League, and on both occasions, they picked up the required result to progress to the next round. This time around though, they will travel south of the border requiring a win, something they are yet to achieve, and they will also need to score at least two goals to entertain thoughts of a first continental trophy.
Guadalajara Chivas are aiming for their first international cup since they won the original CONCACAF Champions Cup back in 1962, and they will be supremely confident given that they managed two away goals in Toronto, have yet to concede at home in the competition, and will be welcoming back some of their suspended stars. Starting number one Rodolfo Cota, centre back Jair Pereira and left back Edwin Hernandez will further bolster a very strong lineup.
There's no question that the Reds face an uphill battle, although thankfully they have no suspended players and almost a full roster to choose from leading into this match. Goalkeeper Alex Bono will be looking to make amends for uncharacteristic errors in the first leg, although the reality is that the damage needs to be done up front, and Victor Vazquez's continued absence is really hurting the Canadians.
Much will rest on the shoulders of Jonathan Osorio, the leading goalscorer for the tournament, Jozy Altidore (who is still not 100% thanks to a foot injury), and Sebastian Giovinco, whose excellent free kick helped Toronto FC overcome Tigres in their quarter final match. Toronto FC need goals, and Chivas rarely concede. It's going to be tough.
It's no surprise that Chivas enter the match as the favourites. They will start at +108, while the draw is available at +243 and Toronto FC are outsiders at +206. The draw is perhaps the pick here, with Chivas likely to be content on defending and Toronto at long odds to break them down twice without conceding themselves.
Chivas vs. Toronto Odds, Prediction
The second leg of the CONCACAF Champions League final kicks off at 9:30pm on Wednesday, April 25th, not long after the Raptors and Maple Leafs commence their crucial playoff matches in the NBA and NHL respectively. It's a huge night for sport in Canada's biggest city.
Toronto FC and Guadalajara Chivas have only met on one prior occasion, the first leg at BMO Field where Chivas stole a 2-1 victory. The return leg will be played at Estadio Jalisco, Mexico, a ground that holds just over 55,000 at full capacity.
- Chivas have not conceded any goals at home during the 2018 CONCACAF CL.
- TFC boast the top two goal-scorers - Jonathan Osorio and Sebastian Giovinco.
- Chivas have only conceded two goals from seven games so far in this tournament.
- TFC have not kept a clean sheet against a Mexican team in five attempts this season.
- Chivas have outscored MLS opponents 7-1 in this tournament.
- TFC are the only team to have scored against Guadalajara.
Toronto FC have managed to score necessary goals in Mexico twice already during the 2018 Champions League, and we're tipping them to score in this match. Conversely, we can't see the home team failing to score in front of their home fans, and are sure that once again we will see both teams hit the back of the net. A 1-1 draw seems to be the likeliest result, with Toronto coming agonisingly close but unable to get the second that would send the game into extra time.
This prediction opens up several avenues in terms of alternative markets. The "both teams to score" market is offering -137 for "yes", and we feel as though that's a great option. Chivas have been miserly at home, yet Toronto have always got a goal in them, and Greg Vanney will have plenty of tricks up his sleeve if the Reds are struggling to find that crucial strike.
If you would like to go along with our tip for the score, you will get plenty of value in the "correct score" market. The 1-1 draw is the favourite, paying +436, while the 1-0 win to Guadalajara appears as the next best option according to Sports Interaction, paying +561.
Don't forget that you are betting on the result of this match, not the aggregate winner. Toronto FC may win this game 1-0, although they will lose the tie overall due to the "away goals rule". All bets on offer will be based on the score at the end of regulation time, even if Toronto FC win this match 2-1 and we move into extra time and potential penalties.
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