Three Tips To Cash In On The 2017 Rugby League World Cup Final
Stay Away From The Head-to-Head Market
Ten-time winners Australia face England in the fifteenth edition of the Rugby League World Cup and will once again be heavy favourites to lift the trophy. England are making their first appearance in the final since they finished runner-up in the 1995 tournament, although they haven't been far off since then, losing in the semi-finals in the last three events.
Australia have a considerable amount of depth in their ranks and usually dominate the game that they invented, although the English do boast the second biggest national competition in the world and will certainly be a chance to cause an upset against the home side.
England's hopes will rely heavily on their world-class pack, headed by Sam Burgess and James Graham. If they can win the battle of the forwards then the English will go a long way towards making it close. Mind you, the hot and humid conditions expected at kick off will make it extremely difficult for any of the big men to make an impact for too long, and even these two workhorses will struggle to play 80 mins.
They have also been dealt a blow in losing hooker Josh Hodgson who tore his ACL last week. Hodgson is a big out for the English who did not look as dominant in their game against Tonga after he left the field. Coach Wayne Bennett is up to his usual tricks in the media, publicly stating his side are not playing well enough to beat Australia. We think even at their best they wouldn't have a chance against the green and gold.
You just can't back against the Australian team here. The home side have already defeated England once in the tournament, back at the end of October, and have gone from strength to strength since then. In just five games, the Australians have put on 210 points, with Valentine Holmes scoring a mind-blowing eleven tries in the last two matches. They have quality all over the park and will send out an unchanged lineup full of Queenslanders at their home stadium.
If you're still willing to place a bet at such low odds, there's only one option in the head-to-head market: Go for Australia.
Pick From These Three Value Bets
As the head-to-head market is not offering much (unless you're willing to throw your money away and back the English), it's best to analyse the other options available. Bet365.com offers a number of alternatives, and below we list each of the options.Handicap - Australia -18.5 (+100) Bet365
Australia defeated England 18-4 in the first match of the tournament, and their fourteen point victory is the average margin in matches between the sides since 2010 (Australia have won all seven, part of a twelve game winning streak against the English).
The line has been set at 18.5 points for this match - Placing a wager on Australia at -18.5 means you need the home side to win by 19 points or more, while betting on England at +18.5 means you would win if England win or lose by less than 19.
18.5 is a well-placed line. Australia come into this match with an average winning margin of 47 points over their last two games, however, the opposition were never expected to get close. It remains to be seen whether Australia will overpower the English side and cruise to a big victory, or whether a combination of over-confidence and nerves culminates in a much closer game.
We are going to go with the former and predict that Australia will blow England away, particularly in the second half. With a spine consisting of solely Queensland State of Origin players known for their ruthlessness, we are picking a big score. Our tip is.Total Points - Under 40.5 (-122) Bet365
This market is based on the total points by both sides, and it is set fairly high at 40.5 points. If we take another look at the last seven matches between the two teams, the average amount of points scored per game is 42, so there is certainly a history of points scored. The tournament average is also well above the line here - only a handful of matches have featured fewer than 40 points.
We have tipped that Australia will win with the handicap of 18.5 points, yet we envision the final score won't be embarrassing for the English - perhaps something like 28-8. For this reason, we are forecasting a match that will feature less than the line here.Margin - Australia 13+ (-189) Bet365
All rugby league matches will offer a four-way margin selection, typically 1-12 and 13+ for each side, and this game is no exception. The benefit of this market is that you will normally receive far better odds than the head-to-head line, yet still have a decent chance of selecting the correct option.
As the above odds table shows, the sportsbook's number one option is for Australia to win by 13 points or more at -189. If you disagree and think the match will be closer than this, you can place a bet on Australia winning by 1-12 points at +275, while the English options aren't really relevant for this one.
Keep An Eye On All Betting Markets
Make sure you head to Bet365.com and have a look at the full list of markets available. As mentioned above, Australian winger Valentine Holmes has scored eleven tries in two matches and will surely be in the frame to score again in this game. You can obtain -228 for him to score at anytime, +500 to be the first or last tryscorer, and +200 to score 2 or more tries in the match.
Be sure to tune into the match - all the action kicks off at 4:00am EST, Saturday December 2nd. Stay tuned for more betting tips and tricks, and to join in the conversation make sure you follow us on Facebook.
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