Yankees On Brink Of World Series Berth
The Astros left Minute Maid Park with a 2-0 lead in the ALCS. On Friday, they return down 3-2 and one game away from elimination. If the pressure doesn't get to them, they could still be in control here, as the home side has won every matchup so far. If that trend continues, the Astros will win the next two straight and head to the World Series to face off against the Dodgers.
Our last ALCS pick cashed, seen here, as we had the Yankees on the RL for good measure. We of course didn't need the extra run, but this team has either won or come within one run for all five games this series and 10 of their 11 this postseason.
The last time they failed to cover was on Oct. 5.
We won Thursday night's NLCS game with the Dodgers in Game 5, so our new record stands at 20-5. Do yourself a favor if you aren't following, and jump onboard because the winners keep on coming! This line opened having the Astros as moderate favorite. It hasn't moved much yet.
After the first two games, we stated that we would ride with the team who got their offense clicking first. And we were right to do so. Despite starting the series 0-2, the Yankees have found their groove and should be more competitive on the road back in Houston this time. They lost both Game 1 and 2 by a mere single run.
Verlander has been playing out of his mind in Houston, but he of course has to regress, and we shouldn't expect another complete game from him. Severino hasn't been bad and wants to go deep in this game because of his last outing. The team is also 6-1 in his last 7 road starts and 15-3 in his last 18 starts.
The value and momentum is clearly with the Yankees here, but in case the result is similar to Game 2, we'll take the same pick we had then on the RL.
Pick: New York Yankees +1.5 (-170) at Sports Interaction
Yankees vs Astros ALCS Game 5
With momentum firmly on their side, the New York Yankees visit Houston to end the ALCS. Taking advantage of their three home games to the fullest, Joe Girardi's club took a 3-2 lead in the series after being down a familiar 0-2. They faced three elimination games against the Indians and came out on top, so pressure doesn't bog them down, it fuels them.
We had been on the Yankees' case about their poor offense this postseason, but they finally found their groove at home, with Aaron Judge going 4 for 9 with two home runs and six RBIs in thir three game homestand, and Gary Sanchez getting five RBIs in this last two. Even Chase Headley has picked it up, going 5 for 8 at home after starting the postseason going 0 for 15.
After Luis Severino's abysmal ALWC outing, the lefty had a strong outing in the ALDS against the Indians, allowing three runs in seven innings. His last start was also against Verlander, and hopes to go deeper into the game against him, after being pulled after the fourth inning when he was struck on the wrist by the ball.
The Houston Astros need more timely hits. They are a horrible 4 for 27 with RISP in the ALCS. After leading the MLB in runs with 896, batting average (.282), OBP (.346), SLG (.478), and coming second in home runs, it's incredible how much their offense has just shut off. Even their wins in Game 1 and 2 were slim victories.
Brian McCann is 0 for 10 in the ALCS, and 2 for 26 in the whole playoffs. Josh Reddick is 0 for 17 in the series, and George Springer is just 2 for 18. Altuve and Correa can't be the only offense.
To make matters worse, their bullpen hasn't been on point either, further pushing momentum the Yankees' way. Starting pitching hasn't been a big problem though... yet.
Justin Verlander (3-0, 2.04 ERA) hopes to keep his team alive to force a Game 7. With a struggling Astro offense, the former AL MVP will have to play almost immaculatly. And trends favor that.
Verlander's last start in Game 2 saw him pitch a complete game with 124 pitches, allowing just one run and striking out 13. Since joining the Astros from the Tigers in late August, the All-Star is a perfect 8-0 with a 1.39 ERA in eight appearances.
A loss for him here means elimination for the whole team.
Do you agree with our pick? Or will Verlander get yet another postseason win? Let us know what you think in the comment section below, and be sure to share and follow us for more MLB postseason picks!
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