Can Dodgers Triumph Over Verlander In Must Win Game 6?
Astros at Dodgers World Series Game 6
This could be it... After Sunday night's wild Game 5 (which came less than a week after a memorable Game 2), the Astros are poised to win the World Series, but Los Angeles still has their home field advantage. The NL Pennant winners had their chances, but kept blowing leads until the Astros broke through in the bottom of the 10th with a walkoff hit, leading to intense jubilation. And setting up a must-win situation for the Dodgers.
We knew the Dodgers were overpriced in that spot, and saw the Astros had value as moderate home dogs in a very close series, so we had them last game on the RL, which was cheaper than a straight up LA win. Our record now stands at 23-9, and we are still hoping to avoid double digit losses. Keep following us for more World Series winners!
The line opened with the Dodgers as slight favorites, but Houston became slight favorites for a short amount of time before the Dodgers were bet down to almost moderate favorites. We expect a bit more buyback on Houston, so if you're liking them here, it's best to get them early.
On paper, the Dodgers being down should be irrelevent, and they are 'supposed' to win their last two home games to take the series. Unfortunately for them, the psychological stress of being down 3-2 will work against them, while being up in the series will work for the Astros.
When it comes to starting pitchers, you can't do better then Verlander. Sure, his World Series record is 0-3, but it's a small sample size, and his last outing was a no-decision because of just two hits. He still hasn't lost a game since joining the Astros. And if he goes deep, we won't have to see much of that taxed and terrible Houston bullpen.
Rich Hill is great as well, but we can't expect the same consistency. Dave Roberts said he will leave him in longer this game, but that's not necessarily a good thing. With a combined 25 runs in Game 5, the second highest in World Series history, both offenses are in a groove right now. The longer Hill stays in, the worse it will get. And if he still gets pulled early, the Astros have a taxed LA bullpen to take advantage of.
We just don't see Houston losing by more than one in this spot, and have a good chance to take it all with Verlander. Houston RL won in Game 2 with these same pitchers, and it won in Game 5. Take it again here despite the high price.
Pick: Houston Astros +1.5 (-205) at Sports Interaction
Neither team is really looking ahead to Game 7, but the Houston Astros are especially not fans of the idea. They hope to close out a World Series that has given us two truly stunning games and a record setting 22 home runs on Tuesday night in Los Angeles, and they have the momentum to do it after Sunday night's epic 10th inning walkoff hit to steal the match 13-12.
Justin Verlander (4-0, 2.05 ERA) will aim to win the Astros their first World Series title in franchise history. In case you've forgotten, the righty is a perfect 9-0 with a 1.53 ERA in 10 appearances, 9 of which were starts, since donning an Astros jersey.
In Verlander's four career World Series starts, going back to his days with the Dodgers, the former All-Star is only 0-3 with a 6.43 ERA. His last outing in Game 2 was a no-decision, in which he allowed three runs in six innings, with only two hits. Unfortunately for him, those hits were Joc Pederson and Corey Seager homers.
The Los Angeles Dodgers might be behind in the series, but still have their two remaining home games to rally and seal the deal. Their offense finally picked up again the last couple of games. Cody Bellinger has picked himself up after beginning the series going 0 for 13, and is now 4 for 7, all extra base hits.
Manager Dave Roberts will probably leave Rich Hill (0-0, 2.77 ERA) in a bit longer on Tuesday, after pulling him after only four innings in Game 2 even though the lefty struck out seven and only allowed one run. The quick pull meant having to tax the bullpen more and eventually lose that crucial game at home. The 'Stros don't hit lefties as well, but they've definitely been picking up on offense, so don't be surprised if the 37-year-old Hill runs into some trouble because of how long he's left in the game.
Do you agree with our pick? Or will Hill dig deep and grace us with a Game 7? Let us know what you think in the comment section below, and be sure to share and follow us for more MLB postseason picks!
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