Breeders' Cup Juvenile Picks
Breeders' Cup Juvenile Picks 2016
The BC Juvenile is a race loaded with speed and many of the top contenders will be stretching out to two turns for the first time. That combination sets the stage for some interesting handicapping angles. Syndergaard (6/1), Theory (12/1), and Practical Joke (6/1) will are all untested at two turns. Klimt (6/1), Classic Empire (4/1), Three Rules (8/1), and Not This Time (7/2) have just a single two-turn race under their belts. More interestingly, however, is the early pace scenario. Sydergaard, Three Rules, Theory and Gormley figure to knock heads early. That could leave all three runners leg weary entering the final turn. Classic Empire and Not This Time both finished impressively in their last starts - both at the mile and one sixteenth distance.
- 1st: Classic Empire
- 2nd: Not This Time
- 3rd: Gormley
- 4th: Practical Joke
Favorites could be tough to topple
Classic Empire has been freaskish in his short career. The Marke Casse trainee is 3 for 4 with his only defeat coming in a race where he threw jockey Irad Ortiz shortly after the start. Regular jockey Julien Leparoux has been aboard for all three wins and retains the mount in the BC Juvenile. This colt is one of the few runners in the field classicly bred for a route of ground. His win last out in the Breeders' Futurity at Keeneland looked effortless and this guy is primed for another solid run. Not This Time has been equally impressive winning his last two starts by a combined 18 3/4-lengths. The Dale Romans trainee romped home in the mud September 17 at Churchill Downs in the Grade 3 Iroquois and has trained forwardly despite missing an anticipated start in the Breeders' Futurity where he would have met Classic Empire.
Three Rules is a bargain at his 8/1 morning line price and may well win the early speed duel. The Jose Pinchin trainee is a perfect 5 for 5 in his career, but has yet to race away from Gulfstream Park. If the speedy colt is able to relax early or catch a breather, he can take the field a long way. Gormley is another horse to keep an eye on. The John Shirreffs trainee is 2 for 2 and won the Grade 1 FrontRunner Stakes with aplomb last out. While he has raced on the lead in both starts, he may not require it to be effective. Regular jockey Victor Espinoza knows this colt and which buttons to push.
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