MLB Picks Today: Red Sox at Astros ALDS Game 2
Red Sox at Astros ALDS Game 2
Welcome to day two of the MLB Playoffs! We'll be looking at the early afternoon game here, but will have picks for you for the other games. Our picks did well yesterday, as both the Astros and Indians started their homestand in the series with wins. They were both moderate favorites. Today's game between the AL East and AL West champs prices the 'Stros a tad higher.
Will the increase still make a play on them worth it?
Trying to get back on track will be tough for the Boston Red Sox on the road. Eduardo Nunez sustained an injury, so Hanley Ramirez got a chance to get some hits.
Mookie Betts and Sandy Leon also pulled their weight, but Dustin Pedroia, who ended the season going 3 for 36, continued his slump with an 0 for 3 night. Jackie Bradley Jr. isn't faring any better, also going 0 for 3, and with a 1 for 16 and 9 strikeout postseason record, things aren't looking up for the 22-year-old. It seems like the only thing going for this team right now is their bullpen, which ended the year with the 2nd lowest ERA at 3.15.
Drew Pomeranz (17-6, 3.32 ERA) gets the start, coming in having won 3 of his last 4 starts. It's only the 3rd playoff appearance for the 28-year-old, having last appeared as a reliever in the 2016 ALDS. Apart from Carlos Correa though, who is 3 for 5 against him, and Jake Marisnick, who is 4 for 12 with 2 home runs, Pomeranz has pretty good numbers against this Astros squad, going 1-0 with a 1.46 ERA against them in two starts. Career wise against Houston, the lefty has 12 appearances, seven of which were starts, with a record of 2-2 with a 3.69 ERA. He's scary on the road also, having gone 7-3 with a 3.19 ERA away from Boston.
The Houston Astros did get a great performance out of former AL MVP and Cy Young winner Justin Verlander on Thursday, but Jose Altuve, the AL batting king for three of the past four years, took command and slugged three home runs in game one of the ALDS, leading his team to an 8-2 win. 'Gigante' is 12 for 24 in the regular season versus Boston, and 7 for 17 against their starter, Pomeranz. Bottom of the order Marwin Gonzalez and Brian McCann drove in 4 runs between them in game one as well.
Dallas Keuchel (14-5, 2.90 ERA) was moved to number two in the rotation after the Astros' acquisition of ace Verlander, so he gets the start on Friday.
It took him a while to fully recover from a neck injury, but he finished the season strong going 2-1 with a 2.00 ERA in his last three starts. It can't be stressed how much the 29-year-old loves Minute Maid Park, as he's 36-20 with a 2.94 ERA in his career at home, and went a flawless 15-0 with a 1.46 ERA there in 2015. The problem is against Boston, as the lefty is 0-1 with a 9.88 ERA against them in 3 apperances, 2 of which were starts.
Despite Pomeranz's excellent road record, this Astros team is simply too much for Boston at this point. Houston's offense is just unbeatable, and they will eventually get to the lefty.
Keuchel's tremendous home stats might be slightly negated because of his past records against Boston, but he's still a dominant force at home.
The 'Stros are 35-16 in Keuchel's last 51 home starts. Looking at the price, they are a bit too expensive now, but it might fall a bit before the game, so it could be a good idea to wait before you put this play in. This series is going back East with a two game lead for the Astros.
Take the Houston Astros at -164 at BODOG
Do you agree with our pick? Let us know if you think Boston will upset in the comment section below! Don't forget to share and stick around for more picks from the rest of the MLB Playoff games today!
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