Matthew Manouli | Mon 09/10/2017 - 18:12 EDT

MLB Picks Today: Indians at Yankees ALDS Game 4

MLB Picks Today: Indians at Yankees ALDS Game 4

Down 2-1, Yankees In Another Must Win Situation 

The Yankees needed a win on Sunday, and they sure got it thanks to Greg Bird's solo homer, leading to a stingy 1-0 win. Masahiro Tanaka did the rest pitching seven innings of no-run ball. They still can't breathe easy yet, as a loss in their next two would still see them eliminated.

If you were following us, apart from predicting a better New York offense, we nailed this game. We still went 1-1 on the day, with the Astros faltering to Boston, but our overall record this postseason is 7-3. And we've been perfect in this series.

New York comes into this matchup as a moderately priced favorite. Severino is sure to be looking for some vindication after his horrible ALWC start, and Bauer might be coming back out a bit too early to be optimal in this game, especially considering his superb start in Game 1.

Results / FixturesMLB

The Indians do not have value in this spot. Trevor Bauer might claim pitching on three days of rest is enough, but in his last postseason appearance on three days of rest was Game 5 of the World Series last year. He gave up three runs in four innings in a 3-2 loss against the Cubs. The books don't seem to have confidence in him either. The Indians are 19-39 in their last 58 against the Bronx Bombers, so that doesn't bode well either.

Luis Severino is surely rested for this game and will want to be lights out. Apart from a few blips, his second half has been stellar and he needs to carry his weight in this one. The Yankees are 14-2 in Severino's last 16 starts, and 5-0 in his last 5 home starts.

Take the New York Yankees at -150 at Sports Interaction

Indians at Yankees ALDS Game 4

The Cleveland Indians couldn't get their offense going on Sunday, and they learned the hard way that it's still possible to win with just one run, but quite impossible with zero. Edwin Encarnacion was surely missed, after suffering an ankle sprain in Game 2, but even their small bats couldn't produce. They did have four singles and a double, but failed to make any of them count.

Trevor Bauer (1-0, 0.00 ERA) will be making his second start in this series. The 26-year-old will be heading out after just three days rest. In the regular season, he went 17-9 with a 4.19 ERA, and including his Game 1 start, has only allowed two runs in his last 19.2 innings.

He smothered the Yankee offense in Game 1, striking out Aaron Judge in each of his three times to the plate. Bauer struck out eight total, and carried a no-hitter into the 6th inning, before being pulled after 6.2 IP. 

Bauer's road numbers aren't that impressive, posting a 4.54 ERA this season, but holds a 2.87 ERA at Yankee Stadium in three career starts there. 

Despite the New York Yankees' win on Sunday, they are still one loss away from being eliminated, and still have to deal with offensive issues. A Greg Bird solo blast shouldn't be the only way to win a game. If Tanaka hadn't been on point, with the rested bullpen holding it down the rest of the way, the Yankees would be back home now ready for the offseason, not Game 4 of the postseason. 

In a disappointing display, Aaron Judge is 0 for 10 in this series with eight strikeouts. With such close games though, a Judge homer or double could potentially mean the game for the Yanks, so there's no reason to sit him. The aforementioned bird has picked up a bit of the slack though, homering in his last two games, slamming in 4 RBIs and walking three times.

Luis Severino (0-0, 81.00 ERA) has got much more rest than Bauer. He pitched a day earlier in the ALWC, but was wrecked so hard he left the game after only 29 pitches. In fact, in 23 days, he's only pitched 9.1 innings. In that Wild Card game, he allowed three runs after only getting a single out.

The righty looks to right the ship here, but he's struggled against the Indians lately. He's got a tendency to give up homers at home, giving up three to Cleveland the last time he faced them at Yankee Stadium on Aug. 28. His career record against them is promising though, standing at 2-1 with a 2.49 ERA. 

The 23-year-old ended the season superbly, going 9-2 with a 2.28 ERA in 14 starts. He looks to forget his latest outing, and get back to the form he's known for.

Do you agree with our pick? Or will Bauer shut down the Yankees again? Let us know what you think in the comment section below and be sure to share and follow us for more winning picks! 

Category : MLB

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