MLB Picks Today: Indians at Yankees ALDS Game 3
Time For Indians To Get the Brooms Out In ALDS?
Cleveland visits New York on Sunday to try to wrap up the ALDS against the Yankees. With two home wins, they need to just win one of their next three to head to the ALCS against either Boston or Houston. It'll most likely be Houston, as we discuss here. We also correctly took the Yankees RL in Game 2 of this series.
After a devastating extra-innings loss in Game 2, the Yankees need to regroup and focus now that they're back home, but easier said than done. They do have the tools to make this an interesting series, but the Wild Card game might have taken too much out of their bullpens for them to truly compete with this offense.
The books had the Indians listed as a small favorite, but the line has moved slightly. Both teams are around even now, with a bit of money coming in on the home side.
After Friday night's debacle, Joe Girardi is surely livid. It's a game the Yankees were sure they'd win, but they let the Indians come back from a 5 run deficit to secure a franchise record and rally to win by a single run in a hard fought extra innings battle.
Coming back home was the best thing for the Yankees. Having a day off should help their tired bullpen a bit, and the Indians are 1-9 in their last 10 where Carrasco has 9 or more days of rest. Look for them to get to him early, and Judge to pull himself out of his slump.
Tanaka is 9-1 in his last 10 against the AL Central. Add that to a rested bullpen, lively manager, revitalized bats, and home field, and the Yankees should be able to avoid the sweep, or at least keep it close again.
Take the New York Yankees +1.5 at -160 at BODOG
Indians at Yankees ALDS Game 3
The Cleveland Indians had a decent homestand, even though that Game 2 win could be considered lucky. A win is a win though, and they'll need to prove themselves at Yankee Stadium to really cement their domainance over this New York squad. Joe Girardi will surely be furious for messing up his decision to not challenge a Lonnie Chisenhall HBP. Trailing by five runs and coming back to win 9-8 was the Indians biggest comeback in the postseason in franchise history.
Edwin Encarnacion left the last game with a ligament injury and won't be starting, but will be available on Sunday. Michael Brantley may replace him in the outfield.
They are 4-1 in their last 5 on the road against the Bronx Bombers.
Carlos Carrasco (18-6, 3.29 ERA) gets the start. He'll be excited to go in his first postseason appearance due to missing last year's Indians' World Series run with a broken hand. The Venezuelan is clearly the better pitcher in this specific matchup. He hasn't lost since Aug 22, and hasn't allowed more than one run in 6 of his last 7 starts.
Against the Yankees, he's 4-5 with a 4.12 ERA in 9 starts, 11 appearances total. In New York though, he ups the ante having gone 3-1 with a 1.40 ERA in four starts there. Tonight will be his fifth.
The righty's even better in road games, building a stunning 11-2 record with a 2.65 ERA in 17 road starts this season. His season ended even better, going 6-0 with a 0.85 ERA in his last six, allowing just seven earned runs in 49.2 innings pitched.
The New York Yankees need answers fast.
Their starting pitchers aren't as good as Cleveland's, their bullpen is tired, having thrown 12.1 innings in this series already, their big hitters aren't stepping up, as evidenced by Aaron Judge's 0 and 7 mark with 5 SO for the series, and even their manager Joe Girardi isn't making the right decisions, as we saw with the no-challenge call and pulling Sabathia.
Despite everything going wrong though, they almost won Friday's matchup, and maybe if just a few things went differently, they'd be in a better spot. They surely haven't been getting dominated by the Indians, like Boston has been with Houston.
Masahiro Tanaka (13-12, 4.74 ERA) ended the season with a magical 15 strikout performance in just 7 innings against the Blue Jays. The Japanese pitcher started the season fairly inconsistent, going 7-8 with a 5.47 ERA in his first 18, but ended the season stronger in his last 12 with a 6-4 record and 3.77 ERA.
His only postseason start was a loss in the 2015 ALWC against the Astros. He hasn't played the Indians this season, but in his four career starts against them, he's 1-2 with a 4.63 ERA.
Do you agree with our pick? Or will this be a Cleveland blowout? Let us know what you think in the comment section below, and be sure share and keep following us on what will continue to be a profitable postseason!
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