MLB Picks Today: Dodgers at Diamondbacks NLDS Game 3
Grienke To Save D-Backs Postseason?
The Dodgers' offense was on fire this series. They scored won 9-5 in Game 1 and 8-5 in Game 2. Zack Grienke wasn't on the mound though. Because of their NLWC game, the Diamondbacks' ace was used early, so they had to go with Taijuan Walker and Robbie Ray for the first two games of the series. Not bad pitchers, but just not enough against the best team in baseball this year.
Los Angeles is looking for the sweep to advance to the NLCS for the second season straight.
Just like the Dodgers, we are also 2-0 in this series, after correctly capping Game 2 here, and our overall playoff record is 7-3 so far. Be sure to stick with us for even more winners.
Today's matchup saw the Dodgers open as small favorites, but the line has moved slightly. Some shops still have them as favored, and some at even.
You can be sure Zack Grienke is going to work his arm off tonight to makeup for falling apart in the NLWC. The D-Backs are 5-1 in his last six against division rivals, and having been on the Dodgers from 2013-15, should know how to deal with some hitters.
His home record is excellent, and Arizona has won 21 of their last 27 home games with Grienke starting.
Yu Darvish finished the season well, but his postseason numbers just don't amount to anything. The Dodgers' starting pitching in general hasn't been on par this postseason, and giving up five runs each game to your best starters at home doesn't bode well.
The Diamondbacks' starting pitching was worse, true, but they weren't using their ace and Robbie Ray was used prematurely against the Rockies. It's not like the Dodgers have much success at Chase Field either. Grienke at home at plus money is the play here. We will take the D-Backs RL for insurance.
Take the Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5 (-150) at Sports Interaction
Dodgers at Diamondbacks NLDS Game 3
The Los Angeles Dodgers' offense needs to produce more of the same if they want to close out the Diamondbacks here at Chase Field. They know fully well that if they falter here, the Snakes will smell blood and it could prove to be a momentum changer. With 17 runs off 24 hits in the first two games though, they aren't lacking in run production, but they haven't faced the D-Backs ace yet.
Despite great offensive numbers, the NL West champs have only hit one home run compared to the Diamondbacks' six, and rookie Cody Bellinger hasn't been contributing, going 1 for 10 in the series so far with six strikeouts.
Austin Barnes, Logan Forsythe, and Yasiel Puig went 8 for 12 in their last game, hitting in five runs. Puig himself has gone 5 for 9 with 4 RBIs in the series.
Since being acquired from the Rangers, Yu Darvish (10-12, 3.86 ERA) has gone 4-3 with a 3.44 ERA in nine starts with the Dodgers. The Japanese native ended the season especially well, going 2-0 in his last three starts, and only allowing a single earned run in 19.1 innings.
In three career starts against the D-Backs, one at Chase Field, Darvish is 2-0 with a 2.75 ERA. He struck out 10 in only five innings of work in his Phoenix victory on Aug. 10.
The 31-year-old's postseason numbers aren't as impressive. In his two starts, both with Texas, he went 0-2 with a 5.40 ERA. His first loss was to the Orioles in 2012 and his second just last year to the Blue Jays in the ALDS, the latter of which Darvish gave up five runs in five innings, including four home runs.
Back at Chase Field, the Arizona Diamondbacks are hoping to use some home field luck to earn their first win in this series. They are 7-3 in their last 10 against the Dodgers in Arizona. Their offense hasn't been lacking either, and that's against a team who led the National League in ERA. Blasting six home runs in just two games against LA isn't anything to sneeze at.
Well unless you're Paul Goldschmidt. While he contributed to one of those home runs, he's still just 1 for 7 in the series, and Arizona needs him to be much more consistent.
Zack Grienke (0-0, 9.82 ERA) makes his second start in the playoffs after a disastrous showing in the NLWC against the Rockies. The 33-year-old only managed to go 3.2 innings, which meant manager Torey Luvullo had to have Robbie Ray pitch in relief. It was an ineffectual move, and might have cost the D-Backs their series with the Dodgers, as Ray, usually great against them, had to be used on short rest leading to a loss.
Grienke had a great season, but is only mediocre in the postseason. In his 10 playoff appearances, six of those with the Dodgers, he's 3-3 with a 3.92 ERA.
The lefty is 13-1 at home this regular season, and looks to avenge his abysmal Wild Card start.
Do you agree with our pick? Or do you think Darvish will outduel Grienke?
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