MLB Picks: Can Cubs 'Dodge' Sweep?
Down 0-3 in the NLCS, the Cubs know they can't look ahead to the World Series unless they get their act together. They lost Game 3 by a score of 6-1, but have two more opportunities at home to make the series respectable again, and they might have an chance here against a Dodgers starter who hasn't exactly been the best in postseason play.
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This game opened with the Cubs as slight favorites, but the line moved a few cents and it now around even at most shops. There shouldn't be much more movement, but money might come in on the Dodgers around game time.
We're not gonna sugar coat it. This game could go either way. And don't take our word for it. The line confirms our opinion.
Rich Hill coming into this situation could be a bad move for Los Angeles, but they're bringing him in because they know they're pretty much guaranteed to get to the World Series. The deciding factor will be whether the Dodgers playing on the road, and mentally 80% there is still better than a Cubs team which will be playing over 100%.
A Cubs team with their backs to the wall can be vicious, and against a starter who isn't that great in the postseason, they do have a chance in this spot.
It is hard to go against how often teams that are up 3-0 go on to sweep, so if you can get the Cubs on RL later on during the day, you should take it.
Look for Chicago's offense to wake up tonight. It'll be too little too late though, as they'll drain themselves for the win tonight, and might not have much for the next games.
Pick: Chicago Cubs (-110) at Sports Interaction
Dodgers vs Cubs NLCS Game 4
The Los Angeles Dodgers are hoping to do some cleaning up in Chicago with their brooms on Wednesday night. And they just might do it. Out of the 36 teams in playoff history that got to 3-0 in a best of seven, 29 of them got the sweep. If they get this win, it'll be the first time the Dodgers went to the World Series since 1988, when they won it all against Oakland.
Their bullpen has been stellar in quelling the Cubs' big bats, and haven't allowed a run in their last 16.2 innings. Joe Maddon's bullpen should take notes.
Alex Wood (16-3, 2.72 ERA) gets his debut this postseason, and the first postseason start of his career on Wednesday. The lefty's first three postseason relief apperances didn't go as planned, where he allowed eight runs, four of them earned, in just 5.1 total innings.
Against the Cubs, Wood is 2-2 with a 2.93 ERA in eight appearances, five of which were starts.
The Chicago Cubs need to start hitting if they want to stand any type of chance. They were down 3-1 in last year's World Series, but came back to shock the country and take the series in seven games. This time though, it seems less likely they'll be copying 2016, and more likely 2015, where they were swept in the NLCS by the Mets. The NL Central champs scored first in the first three games of this series, but have gone 0 for 11 with RISP.
Jake Arrieta (0-1, 0.00 ERA) has been good in his career postseason starts. The 31-year-old has a 4-3 record with a 3.33 ERA in eight starts the last three years. The righty did lose his last game this postseason against the Nationals, but he only allowed an unearned run in four innings.
Arrieta's main problems come in the form of the Dodgers. In five starts against them, he's 1-3 with a 4.77 ERA. Wednesday might be different though, because it's potentially Arrieta's last game as a Cub, as he's becoming a free agent during the offseason.
Down 0-3, Arrieta and his team should lay it all on the line.
Do you agree with our pick? Will the Cubs dodge a sweep? Let us know what you think in the comment section below, and be sure to share and follow us for more MLB postseason picks!
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