MLB Picks Today: Diamondbacks at Dodgers NLDS Game 2
Turner Set To Give Dodgers 2-0 Lead In NLDS?
Friday night was what you'd expect from the Dodgers as a team, as they comfortably took Game 1 with a 9-5 win over the Diamondbacks. Justin Turner, on the other hand, far exceeded expectations. It's not all bad for the Snakes though. They've got a great season record against the Dodgers, Ray has been great against them, and Rich Hill has struggled versus Arizona. Despite that, Los Angeles is still a moderately high favorite in this spot because of a better offense and bullpen. The Arizona Diamondbacks have the edge in starting pitching in this Ray vs Hill matchup.
All common sense would suggest taking the Diamondbacks at plus money here. Robbie Ray has great season and career numbers against the Dodgers, plus their offense is clearly clicking, as evidenced by their 5 runs last night. Los Angeles' Rich Hill, by contrast, does not have great numbers against the Snakes. Both pitchers ended the season strong.
But despite Arizona's great numbers against the Dodgers, most of it came at Chase Field. At Dodger Stadium though, the D-Backs are 10-28 in their last 38 there.
We believe Hill's string end to the season will continue here, and while Ray might have a slight edge when it comes to that, the Los Angeles offense will continue their surge before going back on the road. Starting pitching isn't everything, especially when against a potent offense. There's a reason Los Angeles is priced where it is. The NL West champs will take a 2-0 lead back to Arizona.
Take the Los Angeles Dodgers at -142 at BODOG
Diamondbacks at Dodgers NLDS Game 2
If anyone can stifle this Dodgers team, it's Robbie Ray (15-5, 2.89 ERA).
The 26-year-old is 3-0 with a 2.27 ERA against the Dodgers this season, striking out 53 in a mere 31.2 innings over five starts. Not only that, but Ray won his last six contests of the season, and recorded 218 strikeouts, which is 3rd most in the NL.
The All Star was used during the NLWC against the Rockies, along with Zack Grienke, but Ray reassures manager Torey Lovullo that the 34 pitches over 2.1 innings won't affect him on Saturday.
And it's not just pitching that's a threat in this matchup. J.D. Martinez has been fire since coming over from the Tigers. In his 64 games with the D-Backs, he's homered 30 times, and had one in Game 1. If he doesn't get one in this game, he just might be due in the next one. And Paul Goldschmidt is always a threat, so that goes without saying.
The Los Angeles Dodgers' offense started off the postseason strong, and looks to continue that trend in Game 2. Justin Turner's postseason play has been excellent, as he went 3 for 4 with a home run and five RBIs on Friday. With a playoff batting average of .383 in 60 ABs, he's certainly one to look out for. Yaisiel Puig and Corey Seager also netted four total RBIs between them. What they lack in starting pitching on Saturday, they'll have to try to make up with in consistent offense.
Speaking of starting pitching, lefty Rich Hill (12-8, 3.32 ERA) takes the mound, and that might be worrying to some. His numbers against Arizona are... shall we say... pretty troublesome. In four starts this season, he's gone 0-3 against them with a 5.03 ERA.
Longterm isn't much better. The 37-year-old is only 1-4 with a 4.78 ERA against them in 9 starts. Manager Dave Roberts seems to have confidence in him though. Hill ended the season with three wins in a row, allowing only two runs while striking out 26 in 18 innings.
Agree with our pick? Will Arizona even out the series here behind Robbie Ray? Let us know what you think in the comment section below! And be sure to share!
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