Matthew Manouli | Sun 29/04/2018 - 12:22 EDT

MLB Picks and Parlays Today

MLB Picks and Parlays Today

MLB Gameday Preview

Welcome to our MLB Gameday Picks for Sunday, April 29th! Time to keep padding that bankroll as we look for another winning day. We get it started right away with the first game of the afternoon when the Tigers look to win a series away at Baltimore at 1:05pm ET. During this contest, we'll have the Braves taking on the Phillies and finally as always, the late game where the Yankees, coming off a crushing victory, look to keep the hurt coming against the Angels.

We had another winning day last time as we went 2-1 on Wednesday. The Braves and Indians did us well. The Padres just couldn't cut it though with nearly no offense. We'll still take the winnings though. Time to sweep on Sunday, so let's get into it!

MLB Gameday Key Betting Trends 

  • Detroit is 6-2 in their last 8 after scoring at least 5 runs in their last game and is 5-2 in their last 7 after allowing at least 5 runs in their last game. They are 7-1 in Norris' last 8 road starts.
  • Baltimore is 5-25 in their last 30 when their opponent scores at least 5 runs in their last game and are 0-6 in Gausman's last 6 starts after having a quality start.
  • Atlanta is 10-3 in their last 13 games against a team over .500 and are 4-1 in McCarthy's last 5 starts.
  • Philadelphia is 15-5 in their last 20 home games, but is 4-11 in Velasquez's last 15 home starts. They are also 1-4 in Velasquez's last 5 starts against Atlanta.
  • New York has won their last 8 straight games and are 16-7 in the last 23 meetings with the Angels. They are 37-18 in Sabathia's last 55 starts against the AL West.
  • Los Angeles is 1-7 in their last 8 home games. While the team is 6-1 in Skaggs' last 7 starts, they are just 2-6 in his last 8 home starts against a team over .500.

MLB Gameday Picks and Parlays

The only reason the Orioles are favored by this much is because of Gausman. He's performed very well in his last three games, even though he took the loss against the Indians on Monday. It was a quality start nonetheless. Are we looking at four good starts in a row here? We think not. Look for Gausman to get rocked in this one. The Tigers offense is heating up behind Cabrera, so expect some more from his resurgence. The Orioles are just not a good team apart from Machado. Our main play will be for the to at least keep it close with the RL, but feel free to sprinkle a bit on the ML if you want.   

Detroit Tigers +1.5 (-150)

This line seems fishy, especially with the way the Braves have walked all over the Phillies this season. Not only that, but with McCarthy's perfect record against them this season and Velasquez failures against the Braves, we suspected this line wouldn't be offering so much value on the away side. The only thing going for the Phils is their home record. Freeman and Markakis should get to Velasquez tonight, but to be safe we'll take the RL again. 

Atlanta Braves +1.5 (-180)

The Yankees as dogs when they're on an eight game winnings streak? Yes please! We don't know what to expect from Sabathia or Skaggs in this one, but the factors we do know are that the Angels are failing miserably at home recently and the Yanks are on a roll, both offensively and with pitching. Just based on that, there's no reason not to take them as dogs here. We'll take them on the RL also to complete our dog day. Be sure to get it quick though, because the line seems to be moving down!

New York Yankees +1.5 (-205)

Detroit Tigers at Baltimore Orioles

Losers of 12 of their last 14, the Baltimore Orioles (7-20) don't have a lot of bright spots. Their pitching is mediocre at best, horrendous at worst, and their offense is pretty much stagnant save for Manny Machado. The former All-Star does have six home runs and 12 RBIs in his last nine games and is carrying the offense. The Detroit Tigers (11-14) aren't a good team by any means, but are getting their groove back behind Miguel Cabrera. The 35-year-old ended Saturday night's 9-5 win over the O's with a home run, double, and single to raise his BA to .333. Nick Castellanos is also contributing with 11 RBIs in his last seven.

Daniel Norris (0-1, 4.85 ERA) is getting just his second start of the season, but has had three appearances from the bullpen. His last start came at Kansas City, where the 25-year-old allowed one run on three hits in 4.1 frames. In 9.1 innings against Baltimore, all away games, the lefty has a 1.93 ERA. 

Opposing him is Kevin Gausman (1-2, 4.66 ERA), who holds a 1-1 record with 3.95 ERA against the Tigers. Victor Martinez is 0 for 19 against the 27-year-old. The right handed has been playing well recently too, coming off his third quality start in a row in a two run outing over a season high eight innings.   

Atlanta Braves at Philadelphia Phillies

The Atlanta Braves (15-11) are looking for a sixth win over their NL East rivals this season in just nine games. They brought an offense that leads the National League in hits, runs, doubles, BA, and slugging to beat the Philadelphia Phillies (16-10) by a score of 4-1 on Saturday, behind Freddie Freeman and Nick Markakis. Maikal Franco was the only positive for the Phils, belting a homer for the club's only run. 

No stranger to the Phillies, Brandon McCarthy (3-0, 3.38 ERA) will be making his third start against them this season. He went 2-0 with a 2.53 ERA in his last two starts against the rivals. The right hander's last start was a no decision against the Reds where he allowed five runs, three of which were earned, including two homers in five frames. 

Opposing McCarthy is Vince Velasquez (1-3, 4.50 ERA), who also has an opposing record. The 25-year-old is 0-2 against Atlanta this season so far, and holds a dismal 7.27 ERA against them in 8.2 innings. His last start saw him take another loss, this time at Arizona, where he allowed four runs, including two homers, on four hits in 4.2 innings.  

New York Yankees at Los Angeles Angels

The New York Yankees (17-9) look to win nine in a row and sweep a lackluster Los Angeles Angels (16-11) teams at home on Sunday. The Bronx Bombers haven't lost since an April 20 loss at Rogers Centre in Toronto. During their eight game win streak, they've outscored opponents 62-17. The Angels will try to avoid more humiliation at home, having lost seven of eight at Angel Stadium.

CC Sabathia (1-0, 1.86 ERA) got his first win of the season in his last start against the Twins on Tuesday. The 37-year-old only gave up an unearned run on two hits over six innings, his longest start this season. The lefty's been just fairly average against the Angels in his career, holding a 9-9 record and 3.91 ERA.

Tyler Skaggs (3-1, 2.96 ERA) has been performing well as of late. The 26-year-old allowed just four hits and no runs in seven innings against a stacked Houston offense at Minute Maid. His previous start wasn't as noteworthy though, as he got rocked for six runs on eight hits in just 4.1 innings. Skaggs has never faced the Yankees before.  

Do you agree with our picks? Let us know what you think in the comment section below and don't forget to like and share this article and be sure to join us next time for more picks!

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