Bellator 185 Predictions
Mousasi vs Shlemenko Fight Card
Bellator 185 features the hotly-anticipated debut of UFC contender Gegard Mousasi. The former four-time world champion will be met by another former champion in Alexander Shlemenko. Both fighters have over 50 pro fights and are on five-fight winning streaks with a combined 75 finishes. This fight should end in devastating fashion.
Mousasi opened as a -445 favourite but has been bet down to -635 while the comeback on Shlemenko is currently at +435. This is the first time Shlemenko is an underdog since 2010 when he fought then-champion Hector Lombard for the belt (unanimous decision loss). Mousasi has been this big of a fave against the likes of Uriah Hall (twice) and Costas Philippou, both UFC journeymen.
If the fight stays standing, Mousasi also has the advantage. The Dutch fighter has rarely ever been outstruck in his career and outside the freakish TKO he suffered at Hall's hands, which he avenged, he has never been finished by way of strikes. Shlemenko has KO power but Mousasi's chin will hold.
This isn't even considering Mousasi is the faster and smarter fighter who has faced significantly tougher competition. This matchup grossly favours Mousasi as lines indicate.
Bellator President Scott Coker seems to be doing his former Strikeforce fighter a great service by giving him a relatively big name opponent who he should beat handily. Shlemenko has disciplines in both striking and grappling but is primarily a striker.
His kryptonite has always been wrestling, which Mousasi can resort to if needed. Mousasi should finish Shlemenko in whichever way he feels like within the first two rounds. Book it.
Bellator 185 Predictions - October 20, 2017
What was once a stacked Bellator card got whittled down thanks to injuries but on the bright side, Bellator gets to showcase some of their hidden gems and it starts with Neiman Gracie (-465). True to his family's name, Gracie is a Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu specialist and has won five of his six bouts via submission. He'll take on Zak Bucia (+340), a journeyman who is primarily a striker but has some grappling chops.
True to his family's name, Gracie is a Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu specialist and has won five of his six bouts via submission. He'll take on Zak Bucia (+340), a journeyman who is primarily a striker but has some grappling chops.
Bucia is deadly on his feet and has gone on a three-fight winning streak since moving back to welterweight. But he is susceptible to strong grappling, which happens to be Gracie's specialty. Gracie should get Bucia down and should take control with a submission finish likely. Betting on Gracie and Mousasi separately has no value but a parlay between the two is at -245, a better value.
Alternatively, betting on the total rounds or the over/under holds profitability.
The under 1.5 rounds for Mousasi vs Shlemenko is +130. Mousasi has finished three of his last five wins under 1.5 and Shlemenko has likewise been finished within 1.5 rounds. This is worth a look especially with the plus money.
Looking at multiple books like Bodog and Sports Interaction is advised to benefit from their promos like their signup bonus, which yields up to $250 in cash. MMA betting can be treacherous but with research and gut instinct, any average joe can turn in a nice profit.
Main Card (Spike TV, 9 PM ET)
- Light Heavyweight (185 lbs): Gegard Mousasi (-635) vs Alexander Shlemenko (+435)
- Welterweight (170 lbs): Neiman Gracie (-465) vs Zak Bucia (+340)
- Women's Flyweight (125 lbs): Heather Hardy (-350) vs Kristina Williams (+260)
- Women's Flyweight (125 lbs): Ana Julaton (-145) vs Lisa Blaine (+115)
- Lightweight (155 lbs): Ryan Quinn (-115) vs Marcus Surin (-115)
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