Yankees Only Down One After Monday's Offensive Surge
We knew it was only a matter of time, but the Yankees finally showed us what they're capable of offensively. CC Sabathia gave them a great game as usual, and luckily for him, the bats were out for the home side. Two three-run homers helped the Yankees get to eight runs within the first four innings, and they cruised for the 8-1 win. Those eight runs are almost double Houston's five for the series, yet the Yanks still trail.
Unfortunately, we called this game wrong, thinking the Yankees offense would still be kept under wraps, while the Astros would regain their form. It seemed to go the other way around, but we'll take the loss in stride. Our record still stands at 15-5.
The Yankees opened as small favorites, but money has come in on them driving the price up about 20 cents, leaving them at around moderate faves.
We shouldn't expect too much movement on top of this.
How quickly the tables can turn. We said yesterday that we weren't going to think about going with the Yankees until their offense woke up... Well, it has.
The Yankees were down 2-0 in their series against the Indians, but kept calm and composed, and came back to win their next two home games and eventually the series. After seeing their offense click last night, while the Astros' still struggle, there's not a reason not to take the Yankees here at this price.
The home side has a fantastic record at Yankee Stadium, and it's clear they play much better there. Their excellent home play is the reason they made it to the playoffs in the first place. Look for Judge to get another timely hit and blow the game open.
Gray isn't perfect here, but his long rest will be an asset.
Look for him to surprise in this spot.
Pick: New York Yankees (-150) at Sports Interaction
Astros vs Yankees ALCS Game 4
Despite averaging six runs and 12.3 hits in the ALDS, in the first three games of this series, the Houston Astros have only scored five runs and 15 hits total. Some of Houston's big guns are just not producing anymore. Yuri Gurriel was a great 9 for 17 in the ALDS, but is just 2 for 9.
Evan Gattis had to replace Brian McCann on Monday, after the catcher went 2 for 22 in six games. George Springer is 1 for 11 in the series, and Josh Reddick is 0 for 10. Apart from Jose Altuve and Carlos Correa, who are batting a combined 9 for 23 or .391, the rest of the team is 6 for 66, good for .090.
The team as a whole is still only hitting .169.
Lance McCullers Jr. (0-0, 6.00 ERA) hopes to perform better than Charlie Morton did in Game 3. His last outing was a relief appearance in the ALDS against the Red Sox, where he allowed two runs in three innings. Houston lost that game 10-4.
The 24-year-old is 2-0 with a 2.08 ERA in three outings against New York. McCullers' last time at Yankee Stadium on May 12 went quite well, as he threw six innings of no-run ball with seven strikeouts, only allowing four hits in the 5-1 win.
The righty did struggle mightily to end the regular season.
There's nothing like home cooking for the New York Yankees. They're still undefeated at Yankee Stadium, and is it even any surprise? The Bronx Bombers were 51-30 at home during the regular season, the best in the league. In their four postseason home games, they've scored 24 runs total.
Monday night was a much needed spur to their offense, as Todd Frazier, who was 2 for 15 in the five games leading up to Game 3, and Aaron Judge, who was 4 for 31 with 19 SO in the postseason, each blasted a three-run homer to cement a dominant win over the visiting side.
The team has improved from batting .159 to .183 in the series, but that's still not safe against an Astros team that can find their groove at any moment and put up 6+ runs easy.
Sonny Gray (0-1, 8.10 ERA) will look to rebound from his last outing where he allowed three runs and four walks in 3.1 innings in the ALDS against Cleveland. His career postseason record is only 0-2 with a 3.31 ERA in three starts, two of which were with Oakland in the 2013 postseason, where he postsed a 2.08 ERA.
The 27-year-old has actually struggled a lot since moving to the Yankees from out west. Gray has lost eight of 12, and is 2-4 with a 4.58 ERA in his last six regular season starts. At Yankee Stadium, the righty is only 2-3 with a 5.65 ERA in five starts.
Gray's had plenty of experience against the Astros though, facing them nine times in his career. He's 4-3 with a 3.09 ERA, but his last outing versus them was a loss, giving up five runs in five innings.
It'll be tough to know what to expect from Gray this time around.
Do you agree with our pick? Or will the Astros' bats finally come to life and take a page from the Yankees' Monday night playbook? Let us know what you think in the comment section below, and be sure to share and follow us for more MLB postseason picks!
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