CFL 2018 Week #17
Thanksgiving Weekend Game Picks
- 01Winnipeg Blue Bombers vs. Ottawa Redblacks
- 02Toronto Argonauts vs. BC Lions
- 03Calgary Stampeders vs. Montreal Alouettes
- 04Edmonton Eskimos vs. Saskatchewan Roughriders
Winnipeg Blue Bombers vs. Ottawa Redblacks
In a battle of offence versus defence, the Ottawa Redblacks open as a 1.5 point favourites on Bodog against the Winnipeg Blue Bombers. A win and a Toronto Argos loss this weekend guarantees Ottawa spot in the playoffs. The Blue Bombers are coming off arguably their most impressive win this season, a 30-3 shellacking of the Edmonton Eskimos.
Of course, their success against Ottawa this season is a different story. Ottawa lay a beat down on Winnipeg earlier in the season (44-21) in Winnipeg. The Redblacks are coming off their second bye week and, are well positioned for a successful showing at home against the Blue Bombers.
Pick: Ottawa Redblacks (-125)
Toronto Argonauts vs. BC Lions
The play of the Toronto Argonauts on the road this season is fringing into historically bad this season.
The Toronto Argonauts are 0-6 on the road this season.
Their luck should not change much against the BC Lions who are just half a game out of a playoff spot entering week 17.
While the Lions had a lousy showing in Week 16 (losing 40-10 to the Tiger-Cats), they have played well the last month, going 3-1 in September. The Argonauts have shown no resolve since they lost Ricky Ray to an injury. Even though to beat the Lions earlier in the season, the two teams have trended in opposite directions since. Look for the Lions to roar and sink the Argonauts on Saturday.
Pick: BC Lions -7.0 (-110)
Calgary Stampeders vs. Montreal Alouettes
Thanksgiving kicks off with a game between the best and worst teams in the CFL. The Calgary Stampeders, who flirted with perfection early in the season, open as a big favourite on the road against the lowly Montreal Alouettes.
The Stampeders are undefeated against the Eastern Conference this season, including a 25-8 win against the Alouettes in July. The Alouettes are the worst home team in the CFL this season, winning one game against the equally terrible Toronto Argonauts. Montreal is also 1-8 against the Western Conference this season as well as 4-6 against the Stampeders over their last ten meetings. Bet Calgary straight up as Montreal is 5-2 ATS over their last seven games.
Pick: Calgary Stampeders (-750)
You can parlay the Stampeders moneyline with any other bet this weekend to get a little extra juice on your payout
Edmonton Eskimos vs. Saskatchewan Roughriders
The last and most significant game of the weekend sees two Western teams duking it out with playoff positioning on the line. The Edmonton Eskimos are sitting in the crossover spot right now (meaning they play an East team in the playoffs), but a win against the Saskatchewan Roughriders would move them to just two points behind second in the West.
The Roughriders and Eskimos are about as even as any two teams. The Roughriders have a +6 point differential (367 for, 361 against), while Edmonton is at +1 (371 for, 370 against).
The biggest difference is Edmonton’s struggles on the road this season. Edmonton is only 2-5 on the road, with their last road win coming over two months ago against the Montreal Alouettes.
Saskatchewan’s home crowd should cause Mike Reilly and company more problems on the road, making the Roughriders the best straight-up pick in this game.
Pick: Saskatchewan Roughriders (-180)