Astros With All The Momentum Going Into Game 4
Astros at Dodgers World Series Game 4
The Dodgers know that if they lose this game, they’ll be backed into a corner and might not get a chance to get back to Los Angeles. Unfortunately, the way Game 3 went, it’ll take a lot in order for them to overcome their series deficit and Houston’s home field advantage for the next two games. There’s concerns on pretty much every aspect of their game right now.
Friday didn’t work out too well for us. We had the Dodgers to either win or keep it close, but they ended up losing by two to say goodbye to the runline. Our record is now 22-8 because of that, and we do recognize the juice involved with that play. There’s still at least two more games, and we are still up a ton overall, so keep on following us for some more winners!
Most shops had the Astros open up as either even or slight favorites, but the line has shot up to almost -150. If it goes up anymore, we should see some buyback on the Dodgers.
Game 3 was a turning point for the World Series. Starting pitching was abysmal and their offense was frustratingly lacking, headed by Cody Bellinger’s four consecutive strikeouts. Not only that, but baserunning and defense was horrendous as well.
Their bullpen was decent, but after exhausting so many relievers in the last two games, we can’t expect them to be at 100% for this game. It’s possible to fix one or two of these factors in a day, but not every single one, and they’ll need improvement in each one to stand a chance against the Astros at home.
The only way the Dodgers stand a chance here is if Wood pitches deep enough to avoid bullpen use, but even then, the Astros will probably have put some runs up. The Astros bullpen, by contrast, should be fine as they were barely used in Game 3. Giles, Devenski, and Musgrove don’t even need to be used, but even if they are, they should be able to deal with LA’s slumping hitters.
Pick: Houston Astros (-145) at Sports Interaction
The Los Angeles Dodgers are in freefall right now. Yu Darvish’s mere five outs, not even getting out of the 2nd inning, was the shortest outing of his career. Their hitting wasn’t timely either, as they clearly had chances to score, but squandered opportunities with RISP.
Above all though, is their bullpen issues. Don’t get us wrong, the Dodgers have one of the best bullpens in the league, but using eight relievers in that wild Game 2, and another five in Game 3 puts a ton of pressure on starting pitchers to go deep.
Case in point, Alex Wood (0-1, 5.79 ERA), who has already lost his only start this postseason to the Cubs in the NLCS. The lefty allowed three runs, all solo homers, on four hits with 7 SO in 4.2 innings in the 3-2 loss. It was the club’s first loss this postseason.
During the regular season, Wood was dominant, going 16-3 with a 2.72 ERA, the best of his career.
The Houston Astros have been significantly better recently, padding their postseason home record to 7-0 with Friday night’s win. They’ve only allowed 10 runs at Minute Maid over that span. Manager A.J. Hinch went with the same pitching strategy as he did for Game 7 of the ALCS, where Charlie Morton went deep and Lance McCullers handled the rest. Hinch stuck with that system in Game 3, with McCullers starting and Peacock in long relief and closing.
If Charlie Morton (1-1, 6.23 ERA) goes deep, we might see the same move tonight with Colin McHugh entering in the middle innings until the end. He hasn’t pitched more than five innings in his 13 total innings in three postseason starts though.
After a career high 14 win season, the 33-year-old will be making his first World Series start. He should go deep enough to avoid too much of usage of the ‘Stros’ bullpen.
Do you agree with our pick? Or will the Dodgers surprise and even up the series? Let us know what you think in the comment section below, and be sure to share and follow us for more MLB World Series picks!
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