Brandon A. Quick | Thu 20/07/2017 - 07:58 EDT

Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe Horse Racing Longshot Picks

Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe Horse Racing Longshot Picks
Despite being run away from its traditional home at Longchamp for the second consecutive year due to renovations, the 2017 Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe, France's signature race, has made itself comfortable for the time being at Chantilly and will once again feature some of the world's best turf stars when the gates open Saturday September 30.

Prix de L’Arc de Triomphe – Odds To Win

The “Arc” as it is commonly known throughout the racing world, is the richest turf race in the world and one of the premier wagering events, with future bets a mainstay of just about every offshore racebook. Early favorite Almanzor is one serious horse, having defeated 2016 Arc winner Found twice before last year’s edition.

Found, of course, went on to win the Arc while Almanzor’s connections opted to skip the race. Trained by Jean-Claude Rouget, Almanzor seems patiently, but intently pointed towards the 2017 Arc. Bettors keeping an eye on the future wagers will certainly want to see how Almanzor comes off the layoff in the summer of 2017.

For those looking for a bigger price, there are plenty viable options available including the well-regarded Jack Hobbs who made his 2017 debut with a smashing win in the Dubai Sheema Classic.

Horse Odds 
 Almonzor 5/1
 Jack Hobbs 8/1
 Brametot 8/1
 Minding 10/1
 Kitasan Black 12/1
 Saotono Diamond 14/1
 Waldgeist 16/1
 Wings of Eagles 16/1
 Churchill 20/1
 Ulysses 20/1
 Cloth of Stars 25/1
 Seventh Heaven 25/1
 Recoletos 25/1
 Zhukova 25/1
 Highland Reel 25/1
 Cliffs of Moher 25/1
 Soul Stirring 25/1
 Journey 25/1
 Cracksman 25/1
 Akihiro 33/1
 Emotionless 33/1
 So Mi Dar 33/1
 Crimean Tatar 33/1
 Eminent 33/1
 Fan Dii Na 33/1
 Rey De Oro 33/1
 Senga 33/1
 Shutter Speed 33/1
 Thunder Snow 33/1
 One Foot In Heaven 50/1

As far as future wagers go, the concept of grabbing a big price is even more critical than it is on race day. With so many variables horses are wont to encounter, there are no guarantees a runner with previously excellent form will make it to the Arc in top condition. For this reason, the notion of betting an under-the-radar type of contender can be quite appealing. Certainly, the bettor should be intimately familiar with his selection’s trajectory in the months and weeks leading up to the race. 

Looking at runners with more generous prices attached to their names, Churchill (20/1) flashed brilliance while winning the English 2000 Guineas in May and repeated in the Irish version three weeks later. The Aidan O’Brien trainee looked rather pedestrain, however, while finishing fourth in the St. James Palace Stakes June 20 at Royal Ascot. 

A Japanese-trained horse has never won the Arc despite several notable attempts including superstar Deep Impact’s attempt in 2006. This year’s Japanese contingency doesn’t feature a horse near the caliber of that runner, but Kitasan Black (12/1) and Saotono Diamond (14/1) – the latter is actually a son of Deep Impact – represent a pair of capable runners with solid accomplishments. Japanese horse racing continues to improve, so it’s likely only a matter of time before the country is represented with an Arc winner. 

Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe 2017 Betting 

While early betting favorite Almanzor has yet to be seen in 2017, horses like Ulysses (20/1) and Cloth of Stars (25/1) are quietly developing resumes that suggest they may be able to contend at a big price. Highland Reel (25/1) has proven class winning the 2016 Breeders’ Cup Turf and got the better of Ulysses and Jack Hobbs in the Prince of Wales Stakes at ten furlongs. Highland Reel is always dangerous with his early speed and could be viewed as an appealing outsider for the Arc despite the questions about his staying power. 

Often, selecting a longshot in a big race like the Arc requires the ability to project a runner’s improvement or pick a runner that might be peaking at the right moment. The best trainers know how to map a horse’s course to the Arc, so handicappers with the ability to analyze patterns, workouts and subtle nuances are often well-equipped to take advantage with a winning bet. 

Getting down to the heart of the issue, it may not make a great deal of sense to take a short price on any horse in the 2017 renewal of the Arc. The field is full of parity and there’s no bona fide superstar like the Treve’s, Zarkava’s, and Sea the Stars of recent years. While there’s still plenty of sorting out yet to happen, this year’s Arc looks like one of the most contentious in the last decade. 

Category : Picks and Parlays

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