NHL: Predicting Star Players Points (Over/Under Props)
While watching the NHL in itself is fun, there is no doubt its handful of stars dominate the discussion. Hockey is a team sport but as Alex Ovechkin showed last season, star power accounts for something. Every season new stars are born and old stars resurface. Checking their projected point totals allows bettors to predict if a star will outperform their expectations or not. We look at the biggest stars.
NHL: Total Points in the 2018-19 Regular Season
- 01Is Sidney Crosby Slowing Down?
- 02How Much Hotter Can Connor McDavid Get?
- 03Does The Great 8 Break 80 Points?
- 04Is Auston Matthews Destined For a Breakout?
- 05NHL Futures: Quick Picks on Star Players’ Total Points
Is Sidney Crosby Slowing Down?
Even though he’s still considered by many as the best NHL player today, Crosby just hasn’t been the same offensive dynamo as he used to be. Fans agree as some have already bet that he’ll score fewer than 94 points (-120, odds via Bodog).
It’s a solid guess as Crosby, who has 1,116 career points in 864 games (1.29 a game) hasn’t broken 90 points since 2014! In the last four seasons, Crosby has only averaged 1.1 points per game. If he keeps this average and plays all 82 games, he’ll hit 90 points. But that’s still under his 93.5 betting line.
Still, Crosby is just 31-years-old and is at his prime. He’s been banged up throughout his career and he has more than made up for his lack of offensive production with better two-way play. It seems crazy to many but Crosby is actually better now than he was when he was scoring 100 points.
With that said, it seems unlikely Crosby picks up his production. He hasn’t played with an elite winger and is more focused on maintaining sound defensive play with Evgeni Malkin handling most of the scoring.
NHL Futures: Predicting the Total Points For the NHL’s Stars
Crosby may still be the NHL’s most popular star, but many would argue he isn’t the best one. Not anymore. There are a slew of other stars who could have that title beginning with…
How Much Hotter Can Connor McDavid Get?
McDavid is what Crosby was in the mid-2000’s: an unstoppable scoring machine. Except, McDavid stays healthy and plays for a less capable team. The 21-year-old improved on his 100-point campaign by eight points including scoring 41 goals, 11 more than 2017.
While his scoring hasn’t translated to wins for the Oilers, it bodes well for his stats (and fantasy owners) as he’ll continue to push harder and even eclipse his 108 points.
Ty Rattie and Ryan Nugent-Hopkins will be better this season and the resurgence of Oscar Klefbom after a trying season will help, especially by improving the league-worst power play.
Crosby’s career-high is 120. That’s within reach for McDavid, especially if several of his teammates improve.
Does The Great 8 Break 80 Points?
Ovechkin silence all the haters by putting together one of the greatest playoffs performances and winning his Capitals their first-ever Stanley Cup. The “Great 8” led the playoffs with 15 goals in 24 games winning the Conn Smythe as the playoffs’ most valuable player.
He also won his seventh Rocket Richard trophy as the league’s top goalscorer during the regular season, his fifth in the last six seasons. But although he’s a solid bet to win the goalscoring title, total points is another matter.
Ovechkin only averages 30 assists per season in the last five. He’ll need to score 50+ goals to break 80+ points and he has only broken that threshold in two his last six full NHL seasons.
Is Auston Matthews Destined For a Breakout?
Matthews is the biggest winner of the John Tavares deal. The arrival of fellow first-overall pick will bolster Matthews’ scoring output. Both are projected to score around 80 points and it’s possible both even hit 90 points scoring 40 goals apiece.
Matthews only scored five power play goals despite scoring 34 in total and the Leafs being the second-best power play unit. That is bound to change playing alongside Tavares. Averaging 1.01 points last season, Matthews is projected to score 83 points if he plays a full season.
At worse, Matthews will score 70 points with at least 60 per cent of that being goals. At best, a 90-point breakout season isn’t out of the discussion.
NHL Futures: Quick Picks on Star Players’ Total Points
Plenty of stars had big seasons last year and some moved to new teams. We take a glimpse of the biggest ones and project their total points:
Patrik Laine: the explosive Jets winger went on a scoring tear to end the regular season and finished with 70 points in 82 games. While he struggled in the playoffs, his scoring rampage is a preview of what he’s capable of. He’ll break 72 points easily.
Prediction: Over 71.5 (-130)
Erik Karlsson: he managed to score 62 points in a miserable Ottawa team and now that he’s in a loaded Sharks team with the likes of fellow Norris trophy winner, Brent Burns, the sky is the limit. Even if he misses a few games, Karlsson should eclipse 74 points.
Prediction: Over 74.5 (-115)
Brock Boeser: Vancouver’s rookie sensation scored 29 goals in just 62 games and was on pace for 72 points before he was injured. Maintaining that pace will be difficult and even if he plays close to 80 games, it’s more likely he falls just shy of his projected totals.
Prediction: Over 63.5 (-115)
John Tavares: his line quickly got juiced as 80 points feel disrespectfully low for a perennial point-per-game player. Playing with the prolific Leafs alongside Matthews can only benefit him and he should crush his projected point totals, barring a lengthy injury.
Prediction: Over 80.5 (-150)
Betting On NHL Hockey
Hockey isn’t just for watching or playing, it’s for betting. Canadians can’t get enough of the NHL they get into it so much they’d bet on all things like props and futures. Fortunately, online sportsbooks don’t just offer great promos but also all kinds of betting lines perfect for hockey addicts.