NFL Week 13 Predictions
It’s Week 13 in the NFL and we have a large slate of games on tap. The Thursday night game kicks off with Dallas 3 point favorites at Minnesota, while undefeated at home Seattle hosts a reeling Carolina team in the Sunday night game. It comes to a close when the Colts could be with or without luck and the Jets stick with a lackluster Ryan Fitzpatrick on Monday night.
NFL Odds Week 13
Last week we crushed the books and went 6-2 ATS. Our two losses were Buffalo -7.5 and Miami -7.5. Both were widely available at 7, so if you waited, you could have pushed even. Our winners were with New Orleans, Washington, Pittsburgh, the New York Jets, Kansas City, and San Diego. All covered comfortably, making it a thankful Thanksgiving weekend. On to this week though.
Week 13 NFL Predictions
This week, we have 8 games for you: The Thursday night game with the Cowboys at Vikings, Tampa Bay on the road at San Diego, Cardinals against Redskins, Texans taking on the Packers, the Bills at Oakland, the Broncos as road favorites at Jacksonville, the Sunday night game with the Seahawks hosting the Panthers, and the Monday night game with the Colts and Jets.
Let’s get into it!
Dallas Cowboys @ Minnesota Vikings Prediction
BET DALLAS COWBOYS -3 AT BET365. Minnesota Vikings coach Mike Zimmer will be welcoming the team he used to work for on Thursday night in the primetime game. This game will be billed as offense vs defense, as we have the high flying Dallas Cowboys offense averaging 28.7 points per game and ranked 3rd in the league in points scored, and accumulating 407.6 yards per game, good for 5th in the league, facing the team that gives up the fewest number of points per game, with 17.5, and ranked third best in yards allowed with only 307 yards per game.
Something has to give.
It could come down to turnovers. Minny has caused 20 so far this season (12 interceptions, 8 recovered fumbles), and have a +12 turnover differential. The Cowboys though, are excellent at protecting the ball, only turning it over 7 times all season. Their problem is causing them for their opponent. They only have 10 takeaways, 5th worst in the league.
We usually take matchup trends into account, but this is an entirely new Dallas team. The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 between these two, and the Cowboys are generally terrible against the Vikings, going 1-8 ATS in the last 9 between them, and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 in Minnesota. We would be dumb to jump off the Dallas train though. Those trends aren’t as relevent as going 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games, 9-1 ATS in their last 10 overall, and 20-7 ATS in their last 27 after allowing more than 350 yards in their last game. The favorite is also 9-1 ATS in the last 10 when these two meet up. Take the Dallas Cowboys at -3.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ San Diego Chargers Prediction
BET TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS +3.5 AT SPORTSINTERACTION. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are coming into this game ready. They have won 3 in a row because of their stalwart defense, and are hoping to throw shade at the San Diego Chargers, who are ranked 4th in scoring and 5th in the league in passing yards behind Philip Rivers. Tampa wasn’t looking good at the beginning of the season with a 1-3 start, but their defense has come together to hold opposition to a league-best 10.7 points on average in their last 3 games, all wins. They are 5-2 since that lackluster start, improving to cause 18 turnovers, as opposed to their measly 2 in the first 4 games. They should be happy though, because the Chargers are turnover kings, leading the league with 23.
The Buccaneers are having their run now, and still able to make the playoffs. They are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 overall, and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games. The Chargers are pretty much out of luck. Their division will be too difficult to overcome, and those games they lost in the 4th quarter should have been wins. This is a game they could just lose outright, especially since they are only 5-13 ATS in their last 18 home games, and 2-8 ATS in their last 10 after a win. The Bucs continue their run here. Take the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at +3.5.
Washington Redskins @ Arizona Cardinals Prediction
BET ARIZONA CARDINALS -2.5 AT SPORTSINTERACTION. The Arizona Cardinals will be looking to win the rest of their games this season to try to maximize their chances of getting into the playoffs. As it stands now, it’s not looking good with their 4-6-1 record. They haven’t won 4 out of their last 5 games, and now host a hot Washington Redskins team, which is in much better shape playoff-wise, sitting at 6-4-1. Kirk Cousins is playing phenonmenally all year, but is exceptionally good in his last three games. He had 8 TDs and zero interceptions, hitting 72.4% of his passes, and gaining 362 yards per game.
This matchup seems to favor the Cardinals though. The Redskins are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 against them. This could be a letdown game for the Skins. They are overachieving, while the Cardinals are underachieving. This is the same Cards team that went 13-3 last season, and they know they need this win if there is any chance to get into the postseason. The Cardinals will take this one comfortably. Take the Arizona Cardinals at -2.5.
BET BUFFALO BILLS +3.5 AT SPORTSINTERACTION. The Buffalo Bills are heading into Oakland on Sunday, looking to finally win there on the road. Their last win there was in 1966. They even lost on the road two seasons ago to a bottom of the barrel 2-12 Raiders team. Problems will most likely arise, as the Oakland Raiders are no pushovers. Sitting at 9-2, a record only shared by the Patriots in the AFC, the Raiders are looking to get into the playoffs for the first time in 13 years, the second worst drought in the league. The Bills are getting healthy again, and it actually shows, having won 2 in a row, after losing 3 straight after injuries and suspensions got to them.
Between these two teams, the road team usually fares better, at 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings. The underdog is also 4-1 ATS in the last 5. The Raiders don’t exactly have any home cooking going on either, only going 2-8 ATS in their last 10 at home. There is also a bit of reverse line movement going on, which tells us the sharp play here could be Buffalo. Take the Buffalo Bills at +3.5.
Houston Texans @ Green Bay Packers Prediction
BET GREEN BAY PACKERS -6.5 AT SPORTSINTERACTION. All the Green Bay Packers had to do was win one game. They snapped their 4 game losing streak, and will now start to click and make their playoff run. They are still behind Detroit and Minnesota, but both of them might easily lose their matches on Sunday. There are reports about Aaron Rodgers’ hamstring injury, but as of now, the market says that won’t be a factor. Clay Matthews is also dealing with an injury. Before Monday’s game against the Eagles, the Packers were allowing at least 30 points per game during their 4 game losing streak. They showed good defense on Monday night though, and will carry that over. Situationally, they are an astounding 40-19-3 ATS in their last 62 games after allowing less than 90 rushing yards in their last game.
The Houston Texans, on the other hand are not going anywhere fast. They are ranking 29th in the league in scoring, with 17.6 points per game, and QB Brock Osweiler is quickly showing he’s not worth his $72 million contract. With 13 interceptions, tied for worst in the league, he is also ranked 31st in QB rating. They are also only 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games. Sure, at 6-5 they have a better record than Green Bay at the moment, but that will change come Sunday. Take the Green Bay Packers at -6.5.
Indianapolis Colts @ New York Jets Prediction
BET INDIANAPOLIS COLTS -1.5 AT SPORSTINTERACTION. Luck is on the Indianapolis Colts‘ side… literally. QB Andrew Luck is looking good to return for this Monday Night Football game. He missed last week’s Thanksgiving Day game because of the concussion protocol, but practiced this week and feels up to starting on Monday. The Colts will need him if they are to make a playoff push in their division. Sitting at 5-6, they are behind both the 6-6 Titans, and the 6-5 Texans. If Luck can’t play, the ball will most likely go back to Scott Tolzien, but only amassing 205 yards, and scoring 7 points as a team, isn’t anything spectacular.
The New York Jets have troubles of their own, and it’s a good thing for the Colts. Ryan Fitzpatrick will be getting the start again, holding a 3-8 record. There is a ton of curfuffle about Bryce Petty starting, but he hasn’t been that great either, only passing for 163 yards on Nov. 13th. They have success against the Colts, but the main trends here are bounce back. The Jets are only 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 after a win, and 5-14-2 ATS in their last 21 after getting over 250 passing yards in their last game. The Colts, on the other hand, are 25-9 ATS in their last 34 after a loss. The Jets could play more lethargic after that hard fought cover against the Pats last week, and the Colts could bounce back, as they are so prone to do. Take the Indianapolis Colts at -1.5.
Denver Broncos @ Jacksonville Jaguars Prediction
BET JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS +4.5 AT SPORTSINTERACTION. At 2-9, what in the world could the Jacksonville Jaguars give us? Well they are at home and looking for their first home win of the season. They have lost six straight and are effectively, but not mathematically, out of the playoffs. They actually haven’t been playing that badly, and definitely do not deserve their abysmal record. They have a decent offensive line, which has only let their QB get sacked 23 times, while being near the top of the league in pass attempts. The Denver Broncos though, have a notable pass rush with 35 sacks, the best in the league. Sitting at 7-4, the Broncos are still only third place in the AFC West, behind the Raiders and Chiefs. QB Trevor Siemian played a great game last week, but it was fruitless, and he got himself injured for it. He missed practice this week, so he might not even start.
The Broncos don’t fare well against the Jaguars, going 0-4 ATS in their last 4 against them. The underdog is also 6-1 ATS in the last 7 between the two. Look for a low scoring game, with or without Siemian, and Jacksonville potentially getting their first home win. This could easily be a 13-10 game, and getting 4.5 points is way too much in this spot, taking into account Siemian and the trends. Take the Jacksonville Jaguars at +4.5.
Carolina Panthers @ Seattle Seahawks Prediction
BET SEATTLE SEAHAWKS -6.5 AT SPORTSINTERACTION. As stated before, the Carolina Panthers‘ season is basically over. They had an opportunity to turn it around, but couldn’t make it to .500. They needed to get there on their run, but failed. They won’t hit .500 now and will continue to spiral, already sitting in the basement of their division with a 4-7 record. After their loss to Oakland last week, the Panthers didn’t travel back home, and stayed on the West Coast. The Seattle Seahawks will be a tough challenge for them. Look for this team to disappoint though, as they have all season. They might keep it close at first, but the final score will barely have Seattle covering, maybe by 8 or 9 points. The Hawks are coming off a loss, but are 5-0 at home this season. Their wins there haven’t been that convincing though, but this Panthers team is just what the Seattle specialists ordered.
Carolina is 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 road games, 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 overall, and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 after a loss. The Seahawks, by contrast, are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 after a loss. This Sunday night primetime game could go under or over the total, but look for Seattle to barely cover. The line is sharp on this, so do not take it if it goes higher than 7.
Take the Seattle Seahawks at -6.5.
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