NFL Picks: Steelers at Chiefs Point Spread
Pittsburgh Steelers at Kansas City Chiefs Odds
Fortunes can change in the blink of an eye. Just ask the Miami Dolphins who lost starting QB Ryan Tannehill to injury in Week 14 and were then sent to the offseason following our predicted 30-12 blowout loss at Heinz Field last weekend. Kansas City is trying to turn around their fortunes versus the Steelers after the Chiefs were crushed 43-14 in Pittsburgh during NFL 2016 Week 4 action.
Quarterback Ben Roethlisberger, in his comfort zone at the Ketchup Bottle, tossed five TD passes in that contest. Kansas City has played better since that bruising as the Chiefs went on to win ten of their next twelve games. The rematch being played at Arrowhead Stadium in Missouri has definitely affected the Pittsburgh Steelers at Kansas City Chiefs odds at the William Hill online sportsbook.
A couple blinks of an eye was all took for Pittsburgh to put away Miami as WR Antonio Brown and Roethlisberger hooked up for two long TD passed (50 & 60 yards) during the first 9:10 minutes of the game. Heavy doses of RB Le’Veon Bell, who had 167 rushing yards and two TD, was served up to the Dolphins from there. The Steelers defense chipped in with two forced fumbles and one INT to seal the deal. Pittsburgh has won eight straight games and they are explosive as a team can be.
Thanks in part to their 37-27 win in San Diego, plus the Oakland Raiders 24-6 loss in Denver to the Broncos during Week 17 action, the Chiefs enjoyed a bye as the #2 seed in the AFC last weekend. Defeating the Raiders twice, during a 10-2 season ending run, also helped Kansas City earn home field advantage for this crucial contest. The Chiefs posted a 6-2 home record this season with the losses coming against Tampa Bay and Tennessee by an identical 19-17 score – that is weird stuff.
Steelers at Chiefs Prediction
BET PITTSBURGH STEELERS +1.5 (-110) ATS AT WILLIAM HILL (Pittsburgh 18-16 Final)
Following their win over Miami, Pittsburgh was posted as a 1.5 favourite for this contest. However, when Roethlisberger showed up at the postgame press conference wearing a walking boot, the number was flipped and Kansas City became -1.5 point chalk. Despite Big Ben practicing full out all week, the William Hill bookmakers have held the ATS price steady. Part of the reason for that is the fact that Big Ben was more productive at home (20 TD 5 INT) than on the road (9 TD 8 INT) this season. The Steelers defense, which gave up 20.4 PPG, needs to contain Chiefs TE Travis Kelce.
As a textbook “game manager” Chiefs QB Alex Smith passed for 3,502 yards 15 TD and 8 INT during the regular season. Inclement weather passing through Kansas City has moved this game from 1:05 PM ET to 6:20 PM ET and even then Mother Nature could have an impact on this match. After watching Le’Veon Bell slice and dice Buffalo (236 YD 3 TD) on a slick surface back in Week 14 a dicey field at Arrowhead Stadium is the last thing the Chiefs want or need. That is because the KC defense allowed 121.1 rush yards per game, which was the 26th worst mark in the league.
NFL Playoffs 2017 Betting Tips
Within many of our predictions, one our primary NFL 2017 playoffs betting tips has been to look to the two defenses first and the offenses second. We flipped that thinking here though. While our eyeball test gives the Chiefs an edge over the Steelers defense, on paper Kansas City allowed 19.4 points per game while Pittsburgh wasn’t far back allowing 20.4 PPG. Looking at these teams on offense, we like the Steelers fearsome threesome of Roethlisberger, Bell and Brown who posted 48 scores over the Chiefs pedestrian trio of Alex Smith, Spencer Ware and Jeremy Maclin and their 20 TD’s. Along with our tips for the Seahawks vs Falcons and Texans vs Patriots games, we called the Packers vs Cowboys clash that precedes this contest at 2:40 PM ET on Sunday, January 15, 2017.
Super Bowl 2017 Outright Odds
Seemingly in perpetual motion, the Super Bowl 2017 outright odds have fluctuated throughout the season, and even during the past three days, especially at the William Hill sportsbook. As the table above illustrates, New England and Dallas are still the top two Super Bowl LI favorites but, over the last 48 hours, the Patriots price has fell (-168 to -150) while the Cowboys odds (+450 to +500) keep gaining value. There is also a four-way fight for the third favorite perch now as the Falcons, Packers, Steelers and Chiefs are all tied with a +800 money line price – it’s math worth discovering.
Atlanta’s odds remained unchanged but Green Bay (+600) and Pittsburgh (+700) prices got bigger while the Chiefs (+900) line got smaller. Seattle (+900 to +1000) and Houston (+5000 to +8000) round out the Elite Eight futures odds table. While the adjusted lines are reflective of how bettors are wagering – they could also be indicative of the bookmakers levelling the field as they may not be sold on three of the four matches this weekend. View our playoff predictions via the “Quick Access” links at the top of this page. Once your wagers are placed, at CSB top rated sportsbooks, follow the action with our LIVE scoreboard as it updates continuously during the 2017 NFL Playoffs.
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