MLB Predictions: Blue Jays at Cardinals
Blue Jays at Cardinals MLB Odds
Blue Jays at Cardinals Doubleheader Game 1
In the first game between these sides, Toronto came in as the underdog, with a 29th ranked offense in the league. Our pick on them was accurate though, as they eeked out a 6-5 win in extras. Marcus Stroman, while pinch-hitting, was the unlikely hero of the night, belting a double to break the tie. The Jays can now win their first back to back game all season.
As for the Cards, all eyes are on Jose Martinez, who’s batting .375 with 4 RBIs in 32 ABs. He hit his first major league home run on Tuesday, but ultimately a throwing error he felt he could have caught, cost them the game. Despite claiming to have focused on defense, they committed 4 errors against the Jays, and have 18 in 20 games. Only Pittsburgh has worse numbers.
It’s not set in stone, but right-hander Mat Latos (0-0, 7.20 ERA) will be starting for the Blue Birds in the early game. He is coming off a no-decision against the Angels on Friday night in his season debut. He gave up 4 runs on 6 hits and 3 walks in 5 innings. Against the Cards though, in 13 career starts, he’s only 5-6, with a 5.76 ERA. Yadier Molina is 12 for 34 against him, with a home run and 5 RBIs. Right-hander Carlos Martinez (0-3, 4.76 ERA) will most likely be his St. Louis counterpart.
Luckily, he hasn’t been stellar in his last few games, failing to get past the 6th inning for the 3rd straight time, his latest against Milwaukee. His home record isn’t anything special either, sitting at 15-14, with a 3.77 ERA in 74 appearances, 38 of which were starts. He’s only faced Toronto once, in 2014, and only retired 2 batters.
So what’s the pick here? Well, we predicted Toronto would start to get hot, and it seems they are regressing a bit more towards the mean. Sometimes getting on the road can help instead of hinder. Mat Latos isn’t anything special, but neither is Martinez at this point.
There’s no reason not to take the underdog in this new matchup.
The Jays’ interleague trends are really favorable, with them going 5-0 in their last 5 interleague road games, 9-1 in their last 10 interleague road games against a right-handed starter, and 16-7 in their last 23 interleague games against a right-handed starter.
The Cardinals are an abysmal 1-10 in their last 11 interleague home games, and 0-8 in their last 8 interleague games against a right-handed starter. Martinez himself is only 1-6 in his last 7 interleague starts. This line is about 20 cents too high.
Blue Jays at Cardinals Doubleheader Game 2
Right hander Casey Lawrence (0-2, 7.56 ERA) starts for the Jays, and looks to rectify a disappointing performance in his first major league start. The Los Angeles Angels got to the 29-year-old rookie for 5 runs off 8 hits in 6.1 innings, including an Andrelton Simmons grand slam in the 3rd.
He walked 3 in the loss.
The St. Louis Cardinals are starting right hander Adam Wainwright (1-3, 6.27 ERA). He got his first win of the season on Friday against Milwaukee, striking out a season high 9 in 5 innings. That’s not all he did in that game though to give himself the win. He hit a home run to the upper deck and drove in 4 runs. That’s one way to break your own losing streak.
Wainwright did well offensively and defensively in that game, improving tremendously over his 9-3 loss to the Yankees, where he gave up 2 home runs. Against Toronto, a team he’s only faced once (and 7 years ago), he gave up 3 home runs in just 4 innings in a loss.Toronto Blue Jays (+150) SportsInteraction
MLB Picks Today – April 27, 2017
We’ve listed some interleague trends for you guys in our last preview, which shows Toronto dominating the Cardinals, but here are some other trends which might be relevant. While they haven’t faced each other that often, the Blue Birds are 6-2 in the last 8 against the Cards, and 4-0 in their last 4 in St. Louis. Also of interest is that the road team is a perfect 6-0 in their last 6 with home plate umpire Brian O’Nora calling the game. The Cards are 1-4 in their last 5 Wainwright starts with O’Nora behind the plate.
The Cardinals do clearly have the better chance of winning this, but the Toronto bats are in the midst of waking up, and this would be a bad time to go against them. The trends are our friend here. We had the Jays for Game 1, and are going with them again for the night game. They won’t get swept, and at +170 and +150, we will make a profit regardless. Take the Toronto Blue Jays at +150 at Sports Interaction.
Agree with our pick? Let us know your opinion in the comments below!
Agree with our pick? Let us know your opinion in the comment section below!
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