MLB Picks and Parlays June 27
MLB Baseball Games Today
It’s time to continue the week with some Tuesday baseball! The season is almost halfway done, and some teams are playing as expected, while some are surprising. A surprise, albeit a disappointing one, is Canada’s Toronto Blue Jays, who just can’t seem to hit that .500 mark. The good news is they get to host their division rivals the Orioles. A few wins could see them leapfrog the O’s for 4th place in the AL East, and also finally get them to that even mark before the break.
Another series of note is the Cubs at Nationals. Tuesday night gives us Jake Arrieta agaisnt Max Scherzer, who will have a chip on his shoulder after pitching an almost complete game, and holding a no-hitter until the 8th, when 2 unearned runs, and a lack of run support saddled him with the L. The Angels at Dodgers also looks to be interesting after the Dodgers’ hickup on Monday.
Our picks last time sadly didn’t go as planned, and we went 0-3. This is of course not a sprint, but a marathon, especially in baseball. It just wasn’t San Francisco’s time to shine yet, and neither Boston nor Tampa Bay’s pitchers brought their A-games. It seems like they brought their AA-games.
For today, we’ll be going a bit more low key. These games are still pretty interesting and offer good prices on teams with some pretty great edges. We’ll be looking at the NL Central leading Brewers visiting the NL Central cellar dwelling Reds, the Cardinals as away favorites against the D-Backs, and the Padres hosting the Braves. Let’s get to it.
MLB Picks Today – June 27, 2017
- Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds: *Brewers (+115) at Sports Interaction
The Milwaukee Brewers look to continue their dominance over the Reds when they start a 3 game series on Tuesday. They are 4-1 in their last 5 in Cincy and look to improve that record. Eric Thames has been on a home run drought, and is 3 for 29 in his last 8 games batting, but in his 7 games against the Reds, is a surprising .440 batting, with 8 home runs, and a .800 slugging percentage. The Reds have lost 14 of their last 16, and their starting rotation is ranked last in the league with a 6.21 ERA.
Junior Guerra (1-1, 3.11 ERA) starts for the Brewers. He’s been playing well this season, allowing 3 or less runs in each of his starts. He’s had 2 career starts against the Reds, going 1-0 with a 3.00 ERA. In his road starts this season, he’s 1-1 with a 2.25 ERA. Opposing him is Tim Adleman (4-4, 4.30 ERA). In a relief appearance, the right hander allowed 1 run in 4 IP against the Brewers.
The line seems fishy, as the Reds have been bet down and are favorites here. A rule though is to not overthink the line. The Brewers are dogs, when the line should be around even. Guerra has been great, and Thames should find his stroke again. Take the Brew Crew at the nice dog price.
- St. Louis Cardinals at Arizona Diamondbacks: *D-Backs (+100) at Sports Interaction
This 3 game series opens up on Tuesday night, and the Diamondbacks hope to hit the 50 win mark when they host the Cardinals. The D-Backs look to take this because of their dominant home record of 29-10, while the Cards have faltered recently, who are 13-21 in their last 34. They are favorites here though on the road against Arizona.
Why? Most likely because they have been money against the Snakes, going 7-2 in their last 9 in Arizona, and are 39-19 in their last 58 against them overall.
The Cards are starting Carlos Martinez (6-6, 2.87 ERA) with 15 starts. With his low ERA, he’s only 3rd in the NL behind Clayton Kershaw and Max Scherzer. 10 of his last 11 appearances have been quality starts. Against Arizona, he’s 2-1 with a 2.86 ERA in 7 appearances, 4 of which were starts.
He’s only 2-5 with a 4.29 ERA in his 7 road starts this season, but is 2-0 with a 1.76 ERA at Chase Field. Opposing him is Taijuan Walker (6-3, 3.43 ERA), who has won his games since returning from a blister injury. Based on the pitchers, yes, Martinez is better, and has a great record at Chase Field, but it’s a small sample size.
The D-Backs have a better lineup, and Walker hasn’t been playing badly. It should be a low scoring game, but Arizona at home at even money against a sub .500 teams is too good to pass up.
- Atlanta Braves at San Diego Padres: *Braves (+115) at Sports Interaction
Matt Kemp returns to San Diego as a Brave on Tuesday night, as the Padres host Atlanta. While the Braves are 8-0 in the last 8 against the Pads, they are 5-16 in their last 21 at San Diego. The Padres have been playing pretty good home ball as of late too.
Sean Newcomb (0-2, 1.96 ERA) takes the mound for his first road start, his 4th start overall. He’s only pitched 18.1 innings, but he’s only allowed 5 runs, 4 of them earned, and is holding opponents to .185 batting. Jhoulys Chacin (6-6, 4.95 ERA) lost to the Braves earlier in the season in Atlanta, but looks to get revenge here. He’s lost 3 of his 4 against them with a 4.32 ERA. The right hander’s been stunning at home, with a 1.72 ERA, holding opponents to .161 batting.
This will be a tight game, but look for Newcomb to get his first win. The Atlanta Braves have been hitting righties well lately, and the Pads are only 2-9 in their last 11 against lefties. Atlanta’s got more raw power than San Diego, and are just a better team. Don’t let their record in San Diego deter you. The Braves at + money are the play.
For our parlay, we’ll be playing all 3 of our plays. This 3 teamer pays out +761 at Sports Interaction. If you want to play it a bit safer, only take the first 2 picks (Brewers and D-Backs) as a 2 teamer. This pays out +300.
- Milwaukee Brewers (+115)
- Arizona Diamondbacks (+100)
- Atlanta Braves (+115)
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