Lecomte Stakes 2019
The field of 15 includes the usual cast of early-Derby hopefuls, which is to say there are colts that have already proven their class in graded stakes competition, upstart maiden winners, and most things in between. Having a promising three year-old this time of year in horse racing certainly lends itself to Kentucky Derby aspirations, and the LeComte carries 10-4-2-1 qualifying points for the first four finishers.
The field at a glance
This is a fairly talented field where seemingly little separates several of the top contenders. Plus Que Parfait is the tepid 9/2 morning line choice after closing his 2018 campaign with a solid second-place finish in the Grade 2 Jockey Club Stakes at Churchill Downs.
Here's a look at the rest of the group:
- 1. Wicked Indeed 12/1
- 2. Malpais 12/1
- 3. Tackett 6/1
- 4. Mr. Money 5/1
- 5. Night Ops 30/1
- 6. Hog Creek Hustle 12/1
- 7. Roiland 12/1
- 8. War of Will 6/1
- 9. Mo Speed 20/1
- 10. Chase the Ghost 12/1
- 11. Tight Ten 8/1
- 12. Plus Que Parfait 9/2
- 13. Manny Wah 10/1
- 14. Admire 20/1
- 15. West Texas 20/1
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Analysis and insights
I'm very impressed with the race Plus Que Parfait ran in the aforementioned Jockey Club Stakes, closing strongly to lose by just a neck to the well-regarded Signalman, but he'll face several obstacles in the LeComte.
For starters, the Plus Que Parfait wasn't done any favors by his post position. The far wide draw inevitably means he'll lose ground into the first turn, and that may be enough to prevent this talented colt from finding the winner's circle in a race he's surely not fully cranked for.
Tackett is 2 for 2 over the local dirt and seems tactical and fast enough to get the job done. He's far from a cinch, though, and others may offer more betting value.
I''m intrigued by the value and promise of Malpais, who won a six furlong maiden event last-out in style. This son of 2007 Derby contender Hard Spun could improve with more ground and trainer Joe Sharp connects at a 20% clip when moving runners from sprint to route.
In the exacta I'll roll with the three runners I just mentioned, boxing them and hoping Malpais outruns his odds. No account? Sign up for one today and enjoy OTB benefits from the comfort of your own home.