Malik Tz | Fri 19/05/2017 - 14:48 EDT

2017 Preakness Predictions: Current Odds, Picks, Betting Sites

2017 Preakness Predictions: Current Odds, Picks, Betting Sites

2017 Preakness Stakes Odds

Even the most contrarian bettors looking to find chinks in Always Dreaming’s armor will have difficulty finding any rational reason to dismiss the colt’s chances in the Preakness. Unbeaten in four starts this year, Always Dreaming has been nothing short of sensational in his last two, easily dispatching his Florida and Kentucky Derby foes with a high cruising speed and ample acceleration in the stretch. Now the Todd Pletcher trainee must prove he’s capable of firing another big effort on short rest to become the 24th horse to win both the Kentucky Derby and Preakness.

 
Always Dreaming -122 -110  -138 
Classic Empire +364 +375 +450
Looking At Lee +1100 +1100  +1000
Conquest Mo Money +1100 +1200  +1000
Gunnevera +1200 +1200  +1200 
Hence +1200 +1600 +1200
Cloud Computing +1900 +2000 +2000 
Multiplier +2000 +2000 +2000
Senior Investment +2500 +2500 +2500
Term of Art +2500 +2500 +3300 
 
2017 Preakness Stakes Best Bets
2017 Preakness Stakes Best Bets 2017 Preakness Stakes Best Bets

Always Dreaming, listed at 4/5 on the morning line, should get an excellent trip breaking from post 4 under jockey John Velazquez given the colt’s tactical speed. With so little speed in the race other than the widely-drawn Conquest Mo Money (15/1) from post 10, it’s quite conceivable that Always Dreaming will inherit an easy early lead. The enigmatic Classic Empire (3/1) might be the only horse in the field with talent approaching the level of Always Dreaming. Suffering a bad trip in the Kentucky Derby, Classic Empire is capable of being much closer to the early pace than he was in winning the Arkansas Derby or in his fourth-place effort in the Kentucky Derby. 

The early pace scenario seems relatively straight-forward with Always Dreaming and Conquest Mo Money likely comprising the top two through the opening quarter and half mile splits. That should leave Classic Empire, Cloud Computing (12/1), and  Multiplier (30/1) among the second tier, with deep closers Hence (20/1), Gunnevera (15/1), Term of Art (30/1), Senior Investment (30/1), and Lookin at Lee (10/1) well off the pace. 

With an utter lack of pace, basic handicapping principles suggest that the deep closers will be bad bets in the Preakness. Lookin at Lee ran on well to be second in the Kentucky Derby and will likley be overbet in the Preakness based on the merit of that race. From our vantage point, we would not use Lookin at Lee in the top two spots – especially at an unappealing price. 

Preakness Stakes Predictions

  • 1st: Always Dreaming
  • 2nd: Conquest Mo Money
  • 3rd: Classic Empire
  • 4th: Multiplier

As much as we hate to take a short price, we see this race unfolding perfectly for Always Dreaming. While wheeling back just two weeks after the Derby is a major concern for any horse, Always Dreaming seems to be maintaining good energy levels at Pimlico and may not even have to be at the top of his game to find the winner’s circle. 

If Always Dreaming is to get upset, it makes sense that Classic Empire would be the horse to do it. The problem is that it’s difficult to know exactly where Classic Empire is physically at this point in his development. In three races this year, Classic Empire hasn’t come close to running as fast as he did while winning the 2016 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile.

We will stop short of saying the Classic Empire has a big chance to win, but we will also stop short of denying his chances of victory. Tough call for those backing this guy. 

Outside of Conquest Mo Money and potentially Cloud Computing, most of the runners in the field figure to be at a signficant disadvantage given their natural running styles. This field is heavy with late-closing horses who need plenty of pace in front of them to deliver their best efforts. Quite simply, we don’t see enough pace in this race to make them effective. From our handicapping chair, we like an exacta using Always Dreaming on top of two runners who figure to be closer to the pace. We’ll also throw in Gunnevera as the late runner with the best shot of crashing the exacta. 

Suggested Preakness Exactas

$10 Straight Exacta ($10 total)
Always Dreaming with Classic Empire

$5 Exacta Wheel ($15 total) 
Always Dreaming with Multiplier, Gunnevera and Conquest Mo Money

Category : Picks and Parlays

Tag : Horse Racing , Preakness Stakes , triple crown

More articles...
Picks and Parlays - 18/07/18
British Open Odds: Best Four Europeans To Watch Out For 
Golf's oldest major championship returns. The Open Championship a.k.a. the British Open is set for its 147th iteration. The Carnoustie Golf Links in Angus, Scotland will be hosting for the eighth time and the first time in over a decade. The last two tournaments saw Europeans emerge victorious. As the best golfers converge, we look at the top Europeans bets to continue the trend.
Picks and Parlays - 13/07/18
FIFA World Cup Final Odds: 3 Props Worth Betting 
The 2018 FIFA World Cup is quickly coming to a close. After 62 hard-fought matches, there remains only two: France and Croatia. Both teams ready to bring the trophy back. The match begins 11:00 AM ET on Sunday, July 15 and will be the most watched and bet game this year. With all the action, we take a look at three props that could yield plenty of profit.
Picks and Parlays - 13/07/18
MLB Home Run Derby Best Bets 
The most fun event in baseball returns as the 2018 Home Run Derby blasts off. Both casual and die-hard MLB fan tune in to see the likes of Bryce Harper and Javier Baez slug off in what is a National League-heavy iteration to the annual classic. The Derby airs on Rogers Sportsnet at 8:00 PM ET this Monday, July 16 from Washington D.C.'s Nationals Park.
Picks and Parlays - 11/07/18
Stanley Cup 2019 Odds: Tavares & Toronto Favorites? 
Toronto will remember July 1st, 2018 not as Canada Day, but Tavares Day, after the pride of Mississauga was liberated from the New York Islanders. This stunning coup solidifies the Leafs top-line talent for the next half-decade, creating a long window of opportunity for Toronto’s long-suffering franchise. The Maple Leafs odds to win the Stanley Cup in 2019 jumped to +700 after the announcement, better than the Lightning, Bruins and Golden Knights. Toronto’s finally positioned as favorites to win their first ring since 1967, despite questions surrounding their blueline and goaltending.