Falcons at Eagles: Odds, Picks, Live Score – 2018 NFL Playoffs
Falcons vs Eagles NFC Divisional Playoff Preview
Looking to get back to the Super Bowl, for a second straight season, Atlanta is in the NFL playoffs for the fifth time in eight years. On the other side, Philadelphia is making their second postseason appearance over a seven-year span. The Falcons (10-6) are in the second round thanks to a strong defensive effort during their 26-13 Wild Card win over the Los Angeles Rams last weekend. The Eagles (13-3) are hosting this match after finishing first in the NFC during the regular season.
Following their Super Bowl LI meltdown, Atlanta experienced an up and down regular season. The Falcons opened with three victories over the Bears, Packers and Lions, but then dropped three straight versus the Bills, Dolphins and Patriots. After a win versus the Jets and a loss to the Panthers, Atlanta won three straight vs the Cowboys, Seahawks and Bucs. The Falcons closed their season a loss to the Vikings, wins over the Saints and Bucs, a loss to New Orleans and win over Carolina.
Led by NFL MVP candidate QB Carson Wentz, Philadelphia stormed out of the starting gate with a 10-1 record. A sign of things to come, the Eagles whacked Washington 30-17 on the road in Week 1 before stumbling to a 27-20 loss in Kansas City. Righting the ship, the Eagles posted nine straight wins by a combined 301-147 final score. A loss on the road to the Seahawks was followed by wins over the Rams, Giants and Raiders before a 6-0 home loss in a meaningless match versus Dallas.
Please Note: Most of these Eagles numbers were with QB Carson Wentz. Lines were current at 7:00 PM ET on 09/01/18. For the sharpest odds our widget above updates in real time 24/7.
FINAL SCORE: Philadelphia Eagles 15-10 Betting Results: Eagles ATS & S/U & UNDER
Moneyline: Atlanta -160 ML @ Bodog
Atlanta finished the regular season 9-6 against the money line and then added another victory in their Wild Card game win versus the Los Angles Rams. As favorites, which they are in this match, the Falcons won nine times and lost on four occasions. The losses were home games against Buffalo, Miami and Minnesota and on the road at Carolina. Of their nine straight up wins, four were on the road against the Lions, Bears, Jets and Buccaneers by a combined 102-84 final count.
Not surprising, given their 13-3 overall record, Philadelphia was a solid bet straight up all season long. Chalk in 12 of 16 matches, Philadelphia went 11-1 as money line favorites with only loss coming on the road in Seattle. Of the 11 wins - seven were on their home turf at the Linc. In the four contests as underdogs, the Eagles went 2-2 with losses at Kansas City and when they rested their starters vs Dallas. The two wins as pups were on the road versus the Panthers and Chargers.
Point Spread: Atlanta -3 (-105) ATS @ Bet635
What a difference a week makes. Heading out on the road last weekend, Atlanta was +6 (-115) ATS pups on the Bodog betting board. Following their impressive performance on defense versus the Rams, the Falcons are -3 (-115) chalk in Philadelphia. This is the sixth time Atlanta has been against the spread chalk on the road this season. During the previous five contests, the Falcons failed to cover four times with the lone win coming against Detroit at Ford Field during Week 3.
It took a little time for bookmakers to buy into what the Eagles were selling as Philadelphia were pups during three of their first six games – although they were visitors in all of those games. Philly wasn’t given a dog tag the rest of the way – until their meaningless Week 17 match versus the Cowboys. Overall, Philadelphia covered five of seven matches as favorites at home – including a spread of -13 against San Francisco (33-10) and during a 31-3 win over Chicago as -14 chalk.
Totals: UNDER 41.5 (-105) O/U @ SportsInteraction
Expecting Atlanta would match their NFL 2016 scoring outbursts, the Falcons averaged 33.75 points per game last season, Matt Ryan & Crew had an average game total of 48.4 this season. With their production on offense falling to just 22 PPG this year – Atlanta matches exceeded the OVER line just five times with three of those being road contests. Falcons contests failed to reach the 41.5 game total placed on this match ten times and five didn’t top 36 points. The total was 39 last week.
Despite having QB Carson Wentz under center during 13 games, Philadelphia game totals were split at 8-8 this season. Five of those OVER were during the Eagles first seven games that averaged 49.2 PPG. With a combination of quarterbacks Nick Foles and Nate Sudfeld guiding the ship, over the final three games, two Eagles contests went under and the defense giving up 29 points versus the Giants helped fuel the lone OVER cover. The low total here has the markings of a trap all over it.
Philadelphia vs Atlanta NFL Playoff Prediction
Atlanta and Philadelphia did not meet this season but they did square off during each of the previous two years. During a down season in 2016, when the Eagles went 7-9 and missed the playoffs, a rare bright spot came during a 24-15 Week 10 home win over the Falcons. Defense led the way in that match as Philadelphia held Atlanta to the lowest point total during their high-flying season. At home in 2015, in the old Georgia Dome, Atlanta posted a season opening 28-24 win. Uncertainty surrounding backup QB Nick Foles makes this a very difficult match to handicap.
Philadelphia’s best path to victory is pounding the ball on the ground with Jay Ajayi and LeGarrette Blount while making safe throws to TE Zach Ertz and WR Alshon Jeffery. Atlanta needs production out of their passing attack that features WR Julio Jones, as the Eagles 79.2 rush YPG allowed was the lowest in the NFL. The Falcons are 11-0 so far this season when they score at least 20 points. Weather shouldn’t be a factor here as conditions are forecast to be cool – but not a deep freeze. We backed playoff battle tested Atlanta last week and we are doing so again in this contest.
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