Emmys Awards Odds 2017
Emmy Awards – Outstanding Comedy Series
A staple category in the Emmys, this was first awarded in 1952 and was dominated by cultural phenomena like Modern Family and Cheers. HBO’s Veep, entering its sixth season has won the award the past two years while FX’s new dramedy, Atlanta gets a nom in only its first season. Netflix’s Master of None starring Aziz Ansari is the darkhorse while five-time winner Modern Family makes its eighth straight appearance.
Veep is again expected to claim this award. Julia Louis-Dreyfus is also a big favourite (see below) and is beloved by critics. Donald Glover’s Atlanta comes in at second and might be worth a shot for a slight upset. Glover is expected to win his own award and anchors what is quickly becoming a popular show with its complex characters and witty humour.
Emmy Awards – Outstanding Drama Series
Along with Outstanding Comedy Series, this is a main event award that has been given since 1951. GoT has won the award back-to-back but is noticeably absent due to airing too late. As a result, it’s a free-for-all this year with an array of new shows like Netflix’s Stranger Things and The Crown, NBC’s This is Us, HBO’s Westworld, and Hulu’s The Handsmaid’s Tale gunning for the award.
This is anyone’s guess. Stranger Things swept audiences off their feet and could easily become the new cultural phenomenon. If the academy is looking to make a political statement, The Handmaid’s Tale might just be receiving the award. Westworld might be the best value bet thanks to its topnotch production values including fantastic effects and solid acting from a who’s who among Hollywood’s best.
Emmy Awards – Outstanding Lead Actor – Comedy
First awarded in 1953, television icons Michael J. Fox (of Family Ties) and Kelsey Grammer (of Frasier) have won the award numerous times. This year, Donald Glover is looking to break out as the leading man behind FX’s charming dramedy, Atlanta. Jeffrey Tambor of Amazon’s Transparent is noticeably its only nominee and has won two consecutive times. Beloved William H. Macy gets a nod as Frank Gallagher in Showtime’s Shameless.
Glover at -135 is a steal. The multi-talented actor is likely going to unseat Tambor for his first Emmy. Tambor is looking to be the first man to win this award three straight times since Fox did it from 1986 to 1988. Aziz Ansari and William H. Macy are noteworthy underdogs but Glover already winning awards leading up to this is a foreshadowing.
Emmy Awards – Outstanding Lead Actor – Drama
A major award since 1954, there has not been a repeat winner since Bryan Cranston won three straight times for Breaking Bad between 2008 to 2010. NBC’s first-season heavy hitter This is Us has two nominees in Sterlking K. Brown and Milo Ventimiglia while Bob Odenkirk gets a third straight nom for AMC’s Better Call Saul. The most nominated show, HBO’s Westworld has Anthony Hopkins as their contender.
While Brown is garnering major acclaim for his role, having to do it against co-star Ventimiglia might work against him. Instead, Odenkirk (+273), Matthew Rhys (+527), Anthony Hopkins (+727), and even Kevin Spacey (+1100) are better bets at far more lucrative odds. The Americans’s Rhys is a critical darling and is every bit as deserving as Brown but lacks the popularity.
Emmy Awards – Outstanding Lead Actor – Limited Series
Awarded since 1952, this is a category the great Sir Laurence Olivier made a name out of. This year, house hold names like Robert DeNiro (portraying Bernie Madoff in HBO’s The Wizard of Lies) and Ewan McGregor (doing double duty as twin brothers Ray and Emmit Stussy in FX’s Fargo) lead the nominees as HBO dominates the category with three of the seven nominees from the network.
It’s a sweet narrative for DeNiro, the two-time Academy Award winner to win his first Emmy and McGregor delivers a fine performance as well but their shows didn’t earn nearly the same acclaim as Riz Ahmed’s The Night Of. The British Pakistani actor is the rightful and likely winner with his portrayal of a Shia Muslim college student accused of murder. His performance is gripping and has earned him universal acclaim.
Emmy Awards – Outstanding Lead Actress – Comedy
A major award since 1954, Julia Louis-Dreyfus has ruled this category with an iron fist. The New Yorker has been nominated a record 11 times and has won six times with five consecutive in the last five years for her role as Selina Meyer in HBO’s Veep. There are a few new faces in the mix led by Tracee Ellis-Ross of ABC’s Black-ish and Allison Janney switching to comedy in CBS’s Mom.
It’s hard to bet against Louis-Dreyfus especially when she is approaching a new record: the most Emmy wins by a single performer in the same role. She’d also tie Cloris Leachman for the most Emmys won by a female performer with eight overall. Allison Janney also has seven Emmys so if she somehow pulls off this upset after switching roles, it’d be her tying the record but it’s a longshot.
Emmy Awards – Outstanding Lead Actress – Drama
Like it’s comedy counterpart, this has been an award since 1954. Unlike comedy, however, this category has been more competitive especially in recent years with new winners. There is a chance it happens again as seven-time nominee Elisabeth Moss returns in a new role in Hulu’s The Handmaid’s Tale. New faces Claire Foy of Netflix’s The Crown and Evan Rachel Wood of HBO’s Westworld join the fray.
This is Moss’s award to lose.
Not only is the actress the anchor of the universally acclaimed show and its parallels with the current state of American politics only help her cause. If the critics veer the other way, Foy is a fine choice as well, especially as a first-timer. House of Card’s Robin Wright could finally make this her year as she’s still just as passionate as her previous losing performances.
Emmy Awards – Outstanding Lead Actress – Limited Series
Since Judith Anderson won the inaugural award in 1955, a total of 52 actresses have won. This year is more star-studded than usual with five of the six nominees having an Academy Award nomination. Four of the actresses will be competing against fellow co-stars as Big Little Lies’s Nicole Kidman and Reese Witherspoon and Feud: Bette and Joan’s Susan Sarandon and Jessica Lange all go head-to-head.
The sentimental pick here is Fargo’s Carrie Coon who was also marvelous for The Leftovers. While she may be the people’s choice, it seems overdue for Kidman to win her first Emmy. The Australian actress has seemingly won everything but an Emmy and it’s hard to believe this is only her second nomination. Same can be said for Susan Sarandon who has gone zero for five.
Emmy Awards – Outstanding Limited Series
Limited series has quickly become a popular format in television. This was first awarded in 1973 and prior to this were entered in the same category as Outstanding Series – Drama. This year pits a battle between HBO (Big Little Lies and The Night Of) and FX (Fargo and Feud: Bette and Joan) Nat Geo’s Genius, the story of Albert Einstein is the outlier.
Despite how favoured Big Little Lies is, this category is tough to pick.
It could come down to the HBO shows as both Big Little Lies and The Night Of garnered high praise. The latter was a smash hit during the summer and has a lead actor favoured to bring home the acting category but the former has more nominations and is fresher in voters’ minds. Recency bias is why Big Little Lies is trending to winning.
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