Kent Tukeli | Mon 23/04/2018 - 12:34 EDT

Bruins vs Maple Leafs: Will Toronto Force Game Seven?

Bruins vs Maple Leafs: Will Toronto Force Game Seven?
Toronto survived a furious third period in game five from the Boston Bruins to extend this first round series back to the Air Canada Centre. Nazem Kadri was a difference maker at both ends, while Frederik Andersen shut the door with stellar goaltending. The Bruins will raise their desperation level in game six, attempting to avoid game seven at all costs. Toronto will respond in kind on April 23rd, requiring a win to stay in the playoffs.

Bruins vs Maple Leafs Game 6 Odds

My Team's Next MatchToronto Maple Leafs

Moneyline: Toronto (+105) :: Boston (-125)

Handicappers remain skeptical of the Toronto Maple Leafs ahead of another elimination match against the Bruins. Despite home advantage and a 4-3 victory a couple of days ago, Toronto’s considered an underdog for game six at the Air Canada Centre. Boston’s performance in game five was similar to the Leafs effort in game four – dominating the ice but not the scoresheet. As such, the line for a straight up win hovers around -125 for Boston.

Puckline: Toronto +1.5 (-250) :: Boston -1.5 (+205)

Three Boston victories have been by two or more goals during this series, while two Maple Leafs victories were the result of Andersen saving 40 or more shots. This suggests that Freddie’s the most significant factor standing between the Bruins and a puckline win, increasing the uncertainty of this outcome. A puckline win for the Maple Leafs will be one of the most expensive wagers of the evening, with the line hovering around -250. Boston’s puckline pays an outstanding +205, making it worth your consideration.

Over/Under: Over 6.0 (-105) :: Under 6.0 (-115)

The total rises to 6.0 again after dipping to 5.5 during the last match between the Leafs and Bruins. Four of the five games have totaled six or more goals, but the odds show that the under is a slight favorite at -115 tonight. The line for over 6.0 is -105, offering slightly better value than the under. Matches which take place in Toronto have been lower scoring than games at the TD Garden, part of the reason why the under will remain the favorite.

Bruins vs Maple Leafs Betting Trends

Toronto survived an onslaught from the Bruins to extend the series, relying on another lights-out performance from Freddie Andersen, who saved 42 of 45 shots to secure the road victory. The Maple Leafs spent most of the second period on the penalty kill, successfully avoiding a mid-game collapse. Boston rained 20 shots in the final frame to no avail, while leading scorer David Pastrnak threw ten pucks at net without creating a goal. Tuukka Rask had a mediocre outing, with the Bruins rallying after he was pulled from the game.


  • Nazem Kadri setup key Johnsson goal in return to lineup.
  • Freddie Andersen saved Leafs bacon, stopping 42-45 shots.
  • Maple Leafs killed five of six penalties, including three of four in second period.
  • Boston outshot Leafs 45-21, including 2-5 in third period.
  • Pastrnak held off score sheet despite 10 shots on goal.

Nazem Kadri had a noticeable impact on both ends of the ice, reducing the number of strong scoring chances for the Bruins while setting up a crucial strike by young speedster Andreas Johnsson mid-way through the first period. Marner enjoyed another solid outing, setting up what would be the eventual game winner by James Van Riemsdyk. Matthews managed to land on the scoresheet with an assist, but Toronto’s top forwards were limited in ice time because of a plethora of penalties.

During a Sunday presser, coach Mike Babcock stressed the need for discipline on behalf of his skaters. “Stay out of the penalty box,” Babcock answered when asked about the Leafs path to a series win. The stats reflect his assertion: Boston’s been on the power play for 27:25 in this series, while Toronto’s had the man advantage for only 15:11. Discipline reduces the number of scoring chances for the Bruins, while providing additional ice time for the Maple Leafs top forwards. 

Bruins vs Maple Leafs Game 6 Prediction

Toronto continues their regular season pattern of inconsistent defense throughout the 2018 NHL playoffs, requiring Andersen to steal games from strong opponents like Boston. When Freddie doesn’t play well, the Maple Leafs odds of winning plummet, regardless of circumstances. Coach Babcock knows this routine well, which is why he repeated a simple mantra of discipline on Sunday. When Toronto plays disciplined hockey, they’re able to skate with the best. The Leafs struggle to win when taking penalties and choosing ill-advised pinches at the blue line.

It’s difficult to envision the Maple Leafs committing to 60 minutes of discipline, even with the matchup advantage on home ice. Boston’s top line doesn’t care who they face, roasting their competition on most evenings. Comparatively, the Matthews line simply hasn’t been able to create much of an impact, with Nylander disappearing off he radar. Few expected Mitch Marner to emerge as the Leafs top playoff forward, another untenable trend for Toronto.

Expect another strong game from Boston along with a bounceback effort from Tuukka Rask. The Bruins desperation from the latter half of game five will resume tonight because they want to avoid a game seven scenario at all costs. Toronto will play well, but the Bruins should be able to clinch the series will a narrow victory. Only one game has resulted in less than six goals, so pick over on 6.0 goals, which offers a slightly superior payout.

Boston Bruins Win Straight Up (-125)

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