British MotoGP 2017 Picks
Silverstone Grand Prix
The 2017 edition of the British MotoGP will mark forty years since the event was moved to the mainland from the Isle of Man. While the original race was regarded as one of the most prestigious on the calendar from its inauguration in 1946, it was eventually cut due to a boycott led by multiple world champion Giacomo Agostini. 1977 saw the race relocate to the north-west of London.
Silverstone will once again host the event in spite of the announcement that a new track in Wales will host the event in the future. The track has hosted MotoGP action on seventeen previous occasions, firstly between 1977 and 1986 and secondly from 2010 onwards. Donington Park was the interim home of the race between 1987 and 2009.
The 2016 race was won by Spaniard Maverick Viñales, who finished fourth in the Rider’s Championship last season and is again in the hunt in 2017, currently in third. He trails compatriot and 2016 overall winner Marc Marquez by just 24 points, and will be eager to make up ground at this event. Spaniards, including 2015 champion Jorge Lorenzo, make up 50% of the top eight in the pre-race standings. Valentino Rossi is the most successful rider at the British MotoGP; he has racked up eight wins (five at Donington and one at Silverstone), is two clear of his nearest rival and four clear of Jorge Lorenzo who is the next best out of the 2017 starters.
He will again start and will be among the top contenders to cross the finish line in first position. So who is most likely to win this year’s event? Who are the top contenders and who are an outside chance? We list the top picks (Bet365 odds) and who we believe will ride to victory at Silverstone.
The Top Contenders
Favouritism is evenly split between two fantastic riders according to the list above. Both defending champion Maverick Viñales and championship leader Marc Marquez are equally priced at +175 and it’s extremely tough to split the pair.
Marquez currently leads a congested race for the overall title on the back of the most consistent season in the championship to date. He has won three times and finished on the podium in seven out of eleven starts, including all of his last five. The recent run of form has also been matched by teammate Dani Pedrosa, and the duo have helped Honda climb to a share of the lead in the Manufacturer’s Championship. The three-time World Champion is just 24 years of age and is still the favourite to take out the outright victory in the 2017 championship. While his recent performances have powered him to top spot, he will be determined to extend the lead by continuing to perform. Expect a podium finish again here.
Viñales comes into the British MotoGP with just one podium finish in his last five starts, after winning three out of the first five races and taking an early championship lead. Both he and manufacturer Yamaha have seen their advantages compromised over the last few weeks, and it is crucial that the 22 year-old bounces back. Another missed podium could spell the end for his challenge with only five races to come after this one. Negativity aside, Viñales will take plenty of confidence out of last year’s performance at the same venue, where he won by more than three seconds over home favourite Cal Crutchlow. The win was the first in the young Spaniard’s career and will evoke some great memories. Could this be enough to see him win in 2017?
While the Spanish youngsters are the favourites to take out this year’s event, there is one wily old Italian fox who could certainly show them how it’s done. Valentino Rossi is one of the most successful riders of all time with nine world championships, six of those coming in the premier MotoGP division. This is his sixteenth season in the big time, and while he hasn’t won the title since 2009, he has managed consecutive second-place finishes in the last three seasons.
The 38 year-old veteran is currently 33 points off the lead in the championship standings, and has won just one race this season, however write the great man off at your peril. Valentino Rossi is a chance in every race he starts, and his eight British MotoGP victories are a pretty good reference point. At odds of +350 he represents decent value and is just as likely as the favourites to win here.
The Outside Chances
Cal Crutchlow appears in fourth position in the odds table above, which is purely down to his nationality and performance in front of his home crowd at the 2016 British GP. Cal has only made it to the podium once this season, finishing third at the Argentine event, and is ranked ninth overall in the championship. His odds of +800 are far too short, regardless of his past performances at the event, and it is hard to see him doing any more than reaching a minor podium position.
Dani Pedrosa is a much better chance of competing for the win in this race, and he presents incredibly good value at odds of +2000. Pedrosa is a man in form having finished on the podium in his last three outings, and he is level with championship leader Marquez with seven out of eleven appearances on the podium this season. He finished fifth in the corresponding race last season, and will be intent on improving this time out.
Andrea Dovizioso is currently ranked second on the overall championship ladder and is another that appears at very tempting odds. The Italian has finished first on three occasions so far in 2017, the same amount of wins as the leading Spaniards, and will be looking to make up ground on Marquez with his fourth win here. One of the more consistent riders this season, Dovizioso is a great chance for a podium finish here and could even jag the win. Jump on at +1200.
Jorge Lorenzo has been disappointing in 2017 thus far, and the 2015 world champion is currently 95 points off the lead in seventh place overall, only just ahead of Crutchlow and also with just one third-place finish all season. He is too good a rider to stay out of contention for this long, and has a great record at the British event, however his odds of +1200 are too short and don’t accurately portray his chances. Steer clear of Jorge.
2017 British Moto GP Prediction
We are going to throw in a curveball and go for Pedrosa in this race. He has been thereabouts all season and is due for a win, and his form is up there with the best on the grid at the moment. This could be a breakout performance for the consistent Spaniard.
What are your thoughts? Do you agree with our selection or would you go with one of the favourites? Do you think we’re correct in writing off Lorenzo and Crutchlow? Make sure you join the conversation on Facebook and have your say.
You can catch all the action from 3:30pm (GMT), Sunday August 27th. Don’t miss a moment!
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