Boxing Odds: Danny Garcia vs Shawn Porter odds
The two best welterweights not named Errol Spence Jr. or Keith Thurman go at it for the vacant WBC welterweight title in this Saturday's boxing main event. Both boxers have only lost to the best and are looking for a marquee match with a big win here. Garcia is pegged as the slight favourite by bettors but Thurman himself picked Porter to win. It should be a close one.
Garcia Should Edge Porter in Razor-Close Bout
Boxing odds have Garcia (-176) as the decided favourite thanks to bettors betting him up. But don’t let the odds skew the story here. Porter (+138) is a live dog and has the speed and strength to give Garcia run for his money.
This is Garcia’s second straight fight as a favourite but his first time as a slight one in over two years. Porter is an underdog for the first time since he fought Thurman in 2016.
Garcia rebounded from his split decision loss to Thurman with a ninth-round TKO of Brandon Rios. The former WBC champion didn’t miss a beat showing his effective counter-punching and one-punch knockout power. Despite being called out by Thurman, the latter vacated his title forcing this bout to materialise.
Porter was the next best option to a Garcia-Thurman rematch. The WBC Silver champion also lost to Thurman but rattled off two straight victories including a knockout of Andre Berto. As one of the strongest welterweights, he has been known to wear out his opponents with his strength and toughness.
Garcia will have a technique and power advantage but Porter has the edge on speed and strength. Thurman broke it down himself and gave the edge to Porter but bettors see it the other way.
Boxing Odds: Garcia vs Porter Trends & Tidbits
Despite Thurman’s analysis, bettors have sided with Garcia almost one-sidedly. Money has come in on him in large amounts although if Porter keeps going down, expect more play for him as the fight gets nearer.
- Garcia opened at -130 and his line has been bet up by 10.7% since
- Porter opened at -110 and his line has been bet to down by 20.1% since
- Both boxers have won by knockout in three of their last five wins
- Both boxers have only lost to orthodox boxers
- Both boxers have never been knocked out
While taking a shot at Porter is highly tempting, Garcia is the rightful favourite here. He has only lost to Thurman for a reason: he is elusive and has solid footwork. Garcia will take Porter’s aggression and score points out of it. He will likely throw fewer punches but hit with more power and accuracy.
Prediction: Porter will be the one pushing the pace, especially early on. He is known to outwork his opponents but he’ll have a hard time doing that to Garcia who is too poised and crafty. Garcia will counterpunch Porter and out-point him en route to a close decision.
Our Record: 0-0
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