2018 Breeders Cup Mile

2018 Breeders Cup Mile

I'm a Breeders' Cup guy. Period.  But, if I had to single out one of my favorite races, the Turf Mile (not to be confused with the Dirt Mile) certainly holds its own with any of the spectacular events that occur over the best two-day stretch in racing.

Set this year for Nov.3 at Churchill Downs, the 2018 Breeders’ Cup Mile should once again offer the kind of quality, depth and wagering value that make it one of the most anticipated races of the season. The cast of North American and European-based runners should provide an eclectic mix.

Betting Tips

Odds and notes

In a departure from many Breeders’ Cup turf events where European runners have dominated, no Euro has won the Mile since Goldikova capped her unprecedented string of three straight BC Mile victories in 2010. Here’s a look at current Breeders’ Cup Mile futures as presented on Bodog:

  • Polydream +350
  • Expert Eye +550
  • Oscar Peformance +650
  • Recoletos +700
  • Yoshida +1100
  • Lightening Spear +1200
  • Gustav Klimt +1400
  • Lancaster Bomber +1200
  • Benbati +1000
  • Without Parole +1400
  • Catholic Boy +1800
  • Analyze It +1800
  • Delta Prince +1800
  • Lord Glitters +2000
  • Heart to Heart +3300
  • Vodoo Song +3300
  • Forge +5000
  • Frostmourne +5000
  • Hunt +4000
  • Om +6600

Polydream To Win the Breeders's Cup Mile Odds
+350

Picks and tosses

First of all, there are some clear toss-outs to be aware of. For starters, Catholic Boy(+1800) and Yoshida (+1100) are both near certainties to start in the Breeders’ Cup Classic instead of this race. Toss them. Ditto for Heart to Heart(+3300), whose trainer, Brian Lynch, is already on record as saying they will skip the Breeders’ Cup. Toss Heart to Heart unless you enjoy betting on non-starters.

Now for the issue of tackling the favorite. Polydream (+350) is a very nice European runner trained by Freddy Head, who knows a thing or two about winning this race, as he trained the aforementioned Goldikova, and won the race aboard Miesque in 1987 and 1988 as a jockey.

Still, Polydream is a three year-old filly tackling much tougher company in this race. She also finished in her final tuneup for the Breeders’ Cup. I’ll look elsewhere in the name of value and a more likely winner.

Give me Oscar Performance (+650), who looked extremely sharp winning the Woodbine Mile, one of the biggest Canadian horse races of the year, in late-September. Oscar Performance has the speed and class to get the job done under the Twin Spires at Churchll Downs and represents attractive wagering value at this price – $100 to win $650.

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