Brandon A. Quick | Sat 19/08/2017 - 12:05 EDT

2017 TVG Pacific Classic Picks

2017 TVG Pacific Classic Picks
Can the best racehorse in training redeem himself? That is the question surrounding the 27th running of the Grade 1 Pacific Classic Saturday, August 19 at Del Mar when the gates open at 8:45 PM EST.

Aberration or no?

Arrogate is one of the most freakish talents to grace a racetrack in a long time and his impressive credentials speak for themselves, making the four year-old’s disinterested fourth-place finish in the San Diego Handicap July 22 all the more puzzling. In short, he looked unbeatable – until he was beaten convincingly by Accelarate and two other horses who had no business beating him.

Now, the Big A finds himself in an unexpected role and a precarious situation. Win impressively and all is forgotten and it’s on to the Breeders’ Cup Classic where he’ll be the heavy favorite, but another head-scratching defeat could well signal the beginning of the end of the four year-old’s meteoric rise and perhaps his career. Such are the sudden crossroads in thoroughbred racing. Arrogate has trained impressively at Del Mar since the loss, but great horses generally do train in such a manner. The racing world won’t know for sure until the gates spring open and the field completes its mile and a quarter journey around seaside oval. 

Accelerate Loves Del Mar

Awaiting Arrogate are seven rivals, including Accelarate who has actually finished ahead of Arrogate in each of the big horse’s two career losses. To be clear, Accelerate probably doesn’t breathe the same air as Arrogate when each is in top form, and neither does the rest of this field. That said though, Accelerate is a nice horse finding his best stride six races into his four year-old year. He’s 3 for 3 at Del Mar and that may be the most important handicapping factor to consider as Arrogate has shown dominance everywhere but Del Mar.

There was the recent loss obviously, but also a workman like win last June where the big gray won by a length and three quarters – the shortest margin of victory in his career other than the half-length victory in the 2016 Breeeders’ Cup Classic over the great California Chrome.   

The Skinny

From a handicapping perspective, Arrogate (1/1 ML) can only be viewed as a single or play-against. Those willing to take a swing against the champ are no doubt buoyed by his last race and once again stand to make a handsome profit if he fails to fire. Trainer Bob Baffert has voiced recent confidence in Arrogate, but will also saddle Collected (5/2 ML), who is coming off three straight wins at Santa Anita including a pair of graded stakes scores.

Bettors will likely send Arrogate to post much lower than his even-money morning line – probably somewhere in the neighborhood of 2/5. Collected and Accelerate are talented runners and both show tremendous recent form. Bettors willing to lay down win money on either – or key on top of the exacta are in a position to make some coin. The race will almost assuredly be won by one of the big three and it would be no surprise to see them run 1-2-3.  

TGV Classic Picks

  • 1st: #8 Arrogate
  • 2nd: #2 Collected
  • 3rd: #3 Accelerate

Category : Picks and Parlays

Tag : Horse Racing

More articles...
Picks and Parlays - 19/11/18
2022 Beijing Winter Olympics – Will Canada Top Gold Medal Standings? 
A disappointing vote will prevent Calgary from hosting the winter Olympics in 2026, so Canada will now focus on beating the world at the 2022 Olympics in Beijing. The Canadians dominated the 2010 winter games in Vancouver, finishing on top of the gold medal and overall medal count for the first time in the nation's history. Early odds from sports betting sites list Canada as one of the favorites to emerge on top of the world in 2022 in Beijing.
Picks and Parlays - 15/11/18
Bob Hope Stakes 
If there is a two year-old stakes race on the west coast, it's a safe assumption Bob Baffert will be training a top contender. This is certainly the case Sat, Nov.17 at Del Mar as the white-haired wizard will send a pair of live shots to post in the Grade 3 Bob Hope Stakes.
Picks and Parlays - 14/11/18
Deontay Wilder vs. Tyson Fury Odds 
It's the biggest heavyweight fight of the year as Deontay Wilder and Tyson Fury put their unbeaten boxing records on the line. The winner could fight Anthony Joshua next year in what could be the biggest "superfight" in recent memory. Wilder is coming off a comeback victory over Luis Ortiz while Fury quietly won two straight this year following his career-making win over Wladimir Klitschko. We break down this pay-per-view bout.
Picks and Parlays - 14/11/18
2018-19 NCAA Basketball Futures – Who Will Win March Madness? 
The 2018-19 NCAA basketball season features a clear narrative - Duke vs the world. R.J. Barrett and Zion Williamson - two of the best NBA prospects in college basketball - decided to join the Blue Devils to unite for a one-and-done championship in 2019. The overwhelming talent of Duke will likely clash with the elite programs of Kentucky and Kansas to determine the 2019 March Madness champion.