Brandon A. Quick |  Sat 12/08/2017 - 15:17 EDT

2017 Beverly D. Stakes Picks

2017 Beverly D. Stakes Picks
The 28th running of the Grade 1 Beverly D assumes its usual place on Arlington Million day, immediately preceding the featured event at 6:35 EST August 12 at Arlington Park. The field of ten features a diverse cast of domestic and international turf fillies and mares and adds another interesting wagering opportunity to the stellar card.

Hawksmoor and Don Bruja look strong

The Beverly D appears to run through a pair of improving horses, both of which are stepping up in class. Dona Bruja (7/2) and Hawksmoor (9/2) have each won their previous two starts impressively with the former overpowering grade 3 company and the latter scoring a grade 3 and grade 2 win.

Dona Bruja, trained by Ignacio Correas, has won 10 of 12 career starts and has never finished outside the exacta. The Argentenian-bred mare competed in her native country in her first ten starts before making her North American debut June 10 at Churchill where she easily bested the Grade 3 Mint Julep field. The five year-old mare followed that performance with another visually impressive win in the Grade 3 Modesty – the local prep for the Beverly D. Earning Beyer Speed Figures of 103 and 99 for those efforts, Dona Bruja appears poised to make a big impact on this race and may even improve while making the third start of her current form cycle. 

Hawksmoor went gate to wire in each of her last two starts and should be able to assume early command in the Beverly D. Trained by Arnaud Delacour, Hawksmoor will be making her fifith start in North America after a nine-race campaign in her native Ireland. Hawksmoor has done some nice work in the U.S., winning two of four starts and earning impressive Beyer Speed Figures of 100 and 102 in her last two. If left unpressured on the front, Hawksmoor will be extremely dangerous. 

Other Horses To Consider

Dacita (4/1 ML) – The six year-old Chad Brown trainee is one classy individual, but not entering the Beverly D in peak form. She could get no closer than three and a half lengths of Hawksmoor in the Grade 2 New York last time out, but feel just a head short of that rival two starts back in the Grade 3 Beaugay. At a short price, we have reservations about taking Dacita, who’s late-running style may be compromised by a modest early pace.

Rainha Da Bateria (6/1 ML) – Another Chad Brown entry, this five year-old mare may be ready to peak after winning the Grade 2 Dance Smartly at Woodbine last out. The Beverly D will mark Rainha Da Bateria’s third start of 2017 and Brown notably connects at a 27% clip with runners making their second start off a layoff of 45-180 days. Rainha Da Bateria was just a length off Hawksmoor in the Beaugay and that was her first start off nearly a seven-month layoff. There’s plenty appeal in taking Rainha Da Bateria in this spot – especially if the odds drift up from the morning line price of 6/1. 

Rain Goddess (10/1 ML) – This Euro shipper makes her first start in North America. Trained by Aidan O’Brien, Rain Goddess will receive Lasix for the first time and does offer some intrigue despite winning just 1 of 7 career starts so far. The daughter of Galileo has acquitted herself well against top-class competition in Ireland, finishing second in a pair of Group 1 races in her last two starts. The Beverly D is a difficult race to win as a three year-old, so we prefer to take this runner underneath in the exotic wagers. 

The Picks

The bottom line here is that Don Bruja and Hawksmoor check all the boxes. Dacita will take enough money in this race to keep the odds relatively appealing. We’ll give Don Bruja a slight edge, but as previously stated, a soft, early pace swings the advantage back in favor of Hawksmoor. Looking forward to this one and the rest of the Arlington Million day card. 

  • 1st: Don Bruja
  • 2nd: Hawksmoor
  • 3rd: Rainha Da Bateria
  • 4th: Rain Goddess

Category : Betting Picks

Tag : Horse Racing

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