How to understand the Expert Picks for the NHL?

The NHL Season is just around the corner and every year the popular sport attracts new fans and a new population of sports wagerers. Like any industry sports gambling has a specific language, or nomenclature, if you will; the understanding of which will be crucial to thriving within said industry. So let’s dive in and grasp all the things you will need to know.

If you have never wagered before and are looking to understand some basic sports gambling terms, a good place to start is FAVORITE and UNDERDOG. The Favorite is the team that is favored by those who set betting lines, also known as Oddsmakers, to win the game in question.

The Underdog is the team that is determined to have a less favorable shot at winning.

The Favorite’s betting line or price will usually be indicated with a “-” or minus sign, where as the Underdog will be given a “+” or plus sign.

So when you come to get our expert picks, let’s say you click on an article for a game between the:

Toronto Maple Leafs (-150) vs Montreal Canadiens (+130)

Seeing the line you are already be well aware that the “-” symbol indacates that the Maple Leafs are the Favorite and the “+” symbol indacates that the Canadiens are Underdogs.

leafs v habs

And let’s say for example our expert predicts that the Toronto Maple Leafs will win and he selects them at -150 odds, you may very well ask yourself what does -150?

One site reads Toronto Maple Leafs -150 and another site reads Toronto Maple Leafs 1.67.

What’s the difference? What do all these variations mean and most importantly…

How much do I have to bet to win $100?

There will be 2 common ways that betting site express Odds; American or Decimal

Anytime they use the “+/-” symbols those are American and anytime they use a “.” those are Decimal odds.

Anytime you have to pay more than even money the “-” symbol is used in American and the number 1 is the the number before the “.” in decimal.

SO the easiest way to understand American odds are as such:

*Divide the odd by 100 and use the -/+ accordingly

(-150) means that I have to put down $1.50 to net a gain of $1 on my money – so to win $100 I need to wager $150

and 

(+130) means that for every dollar I wager I can net a return of $1.30 – so to win $100 I need to wager approximately $77

And the easiest way to understand Decimal odds are as such:

*subtract the number 1 from every decimal odd to know your potential ROI (return of investment)

(1.67) means that for every dollar I wager I will make $0.67 – so to win $100 I need to wager $150

and 

(2.30) means that for every dollar I wager I will make $1.30 – so to win $100 I need to wager $77 

Betting Trends

There’s an old stock market saying that goes, “make the trend your friend ” and with good reason. That logic can apply to the NHL as well. 

If you, or a handicapper, spot a pattern in results over a sample of time that gives you an added level of secure feeling than you should not hesitate to invest in such a prediction.

For instance, if the Montreal Canadiens are playing on back-to-back nights and the research shows that their performance on the second night of back to back games suffers, perhaps you may take a more keen interest in such information.

Hypothetically speaking, there is a team with a record of 30 wins-30 losses, or a .500 record. They average 3 goals per game and give up 3 goals per game.

Yet this same team has a 2-8 (2 wins and 8 losses) on the second night of a back to back, and they have a 4.00 GAA (goals against average) and only score an average of 2 GPG (goals per game) in those games 10 games. Spotting such a trend could wind up being very profitable.

So…what happens if they Tie?

This was a common question pre NHL lockout but after they returned to workout, the post overtime shootout ensured that every game had a winner or loser.

However there are still 3 way lines that apply to ONLY 60 minutes or Regulation.

And the 3 way moneyline offers Win, Lose and Draw options with increased returns for each bet as the individual bettor is incurring more risk by having his wager only applicable after 60 minutes.

Betting the spread

In the NHL, the spread mostly expresses itself as +/- 1.5 goals and it’s meant to be added or subtracted from that team’s final score.

The betting favorite will be given a line of -1.5, meaning that they have to win by 2 goals or more.

The betting underdog will be given an option of +1.5 meaning that any result other than a 2+ goal loss equals a win.  

You can follow me on twitter @zahir_gilani

13/12/2018 07:30 PM
Ice Hockey
NHL
Toronto Maple Leafs To Win
Based on Odds44.4
Based on History44.4

  • Leafs are 6-4 S/U in their last ten games
  • Leafs are 3-2 S/U in their last five road games
  • Leafs are 2-3 ATS in their last five road games
  • The team totals went OVER in 4 of the Leafs' last 5 games
  • Lightning are 9-1 S/U in their last ten games
  • Lightning are 6-1 S/U in their last seven home games
  • Lightning are 4-3 ATS in their last seven home games
  • The team totals went OVER in 4 of the Lightning's last 5 games
  • 09/12/2018 05:00 PM
    Ice Hockey
    NHL
    Boston Bruins to Win
    Based on Odds50%
    Based on History47.5%

  • Boston 1-1-2 on the road this season
  • Boston outscored 9-17 on the road this season
  • Boston opened as the favourite in their first eight games this season
  • O/U 4-4 for Boston this season
  • 2-0 against Atlantic Division this season
  • Ottawa 3-1-1 at home this season
  • Ottawa outscoring opponents 16-13 at home
  • Ottawa leads the NHL with a 14.4% shooting percentage
  • Ottawa scored at least three goals in all seven games this season
  • Ottawa allowed three or more goals in five of their seven games
  • 07/12/2018 08:00 PM
    Ice Hockey
    NHL
    Jets Beat Puckline Against Blues
    Based on Odds70
    Based on History67.74

  • Blues enter tough matchup with serious injuries.
  • St. Louis has lost two in a row.
  • Blues 3-6-1 over last ten games.
  • St. Louis resides at the bottom of Central Division.
  • St. Louis lost four in a row against Jets.
  • Jets beat puckline against Blues in 7 of last 10.
  • Winnipeg has won four games in a row.
  • Jets 6-3-1 in their last ten.
  • Jets haven't lost to Blues at home since 2015.
  • Jets won 11 of last 13 against St. Louis.
  • 13/11/2018 10:30 PM
    Ice Hockey
    NHL
    Toronto Maple Leafs
    Based on Odds50%
    Based on History51.5%

  • Leafs are 5-5 S/U in their last ten games
  • Leafs are 6-1 S/U on the road this season
  • Leafs were 4-6 ATS this season
  • The team totals went UNDER in 8 of the Leafs' last 10 games
  • Kings are 3-7 S/U in their last ten games
  • Kings are 4-5-1 S/U at home this season
  • Kings are 2-8 ATS this season
  • The team totals went OVER in 5 of the Kings' last 10 games
  • 09/11/2018 07:00 PM
    Ice Hockey
    NHL
    Toronto Maple Leafs win
    Based on Odds50%
    Based on History60.61%

  • New Jersey 3-1-1 O/U on the road to start the season
  • New Jersey started the season 6-6 ATS
  • New Jersey third-ranked power play on the road
  • New Jersey only averages 2.60 goals on the road
  • Leafs lost five of their first eight home games
  • Went 1-7 ATS against the spread at home to start the season
  • 4-10 O/U through first 14 games
  • Five straight unders at home (not including results from Vegas game)
  • 01/11/2018 07:00 PM
    Ice Hockey
    NHL
    Toronto Maple Leafs win Outright
    Based on Odds80%
    Based on History60.78%

  • Dallas 4-4-2 O/U this season
  • Dallas 0-1 as the underdog this season
  • Dallas lost first three road games of the season
  • Dallas entered Tuesday with the worst road offence in NHL
  • Dallas lost first four games against the Eastern Conference
  • Toronto Maple Leafs second worst home moneyline team in the NHL
  • Toronto seven straight unders
  • Toronto 6-4 as the favourite this season
  • Toronto second on the power play this season
  • Toronto 4-1 against Central Division
  • 10/10/2018 08:00 PM
    Ice Hockey
    NHL
    Bet Vegas Golden Knights Moneyline
    Based on Odds-
    Based on History-

  • Capitals dominated faceoffs in game 3, winning 63%.
  • Washington blocked 26 shots, allowed only 22 shots on goal.
  • Capitals outhit Vegas 38-31.
  • Kuznetsov scored GWG, assisted on opening Ovechkin strike.
  • Holtby stopped 21-22 shots, allowed only one suspect goal.
  • Neal, Haula & Perron each -3 in game three.
  • Marchessault, Karlsson & Smith scoreless in game three.
  • Tough night for Fleury, who stopped 23 of 26 shots.
  • Vegas showed lack of discipline, allowing four power plays.
  • Golden Knights unable to score on two power play attempts.
  • 10/10/2018 08:00 PM
    Ice Hockey
    NHL
    Golden Knights Break Puckline
    Based on Odds-
    Based on History-

  • Marchessault hasn't scored in six games.
  • Marc-Andre Fleury allows four goals per game during finals.
  • Vegas hasn't scored on six straight power plays.
  • Golden Knights gave up three power play goals in game four.
  • Shea Theodore has -6 rating in past three games.
  • Capitals power play 4-11 over last three games.
  • Braden Holtby allowed two goals or less in five of last six games.
  • Alex Ovechkin has five-game point streak.
  • Devante Smith-Pelly scored in two consecutive games.
  • John Carlson leads defensive scoring with 5 goals, 19 points.