Sweden vs South Korea Odds

Sweden vs South Korea

Sweden and South Korea will enter this match knowing that a loss will practically end their chances of progressing to the Round of 16. By sharing a group with defending champions Germany, you’re effectively fighting for second-place, and as Mexico are the other team in the group, it really is do or die for these two teams.

Both nations have experienced a degree of success at the World Cup. Sweden hosted the tournament back in 1958 and finished runner-up to Brazil, while South Korea have also held the world’s biggest sporting event, and shocked the globe with their run to the semi-finals in 2002. Yet this is 2018 and this is Russia, and both sides enter with few hopes of repeating history.

Sweden were solid if not spectacular throughout qualification. While they did see off four-time winners Italy in the playoff round, they finished with a record of six wins, one draw and three defeats during the first round, finishing just ahead of the Netherlands on goal difference. In truth, it was a tough group that also featured a talented French side, and they did complete the initial phase of qualification with the best goal-scoring record (26 from 10 matches).

South Korea meandered through what was definitely the easier of the two Asian qualification groups. They only won four of their ten matches in the third round, finishing above Syria, Uzbekistan, China and Qatar to qualify for their ninth consecutive tournament. 

So who wins this match? For us it has to be Sweden, for a couple of reasons. Firstly, Sweden have simply faced better opposition for the duration of their qualification campaign, which will have them playing at a much higher level than the Koreans, who haven't played against any teams of European quality in a competitive match.

Secondly, Sweden's record against Asian nations is emphatic - just 3 losses in 42 matches. On the other hand, Korea Republic have a poor record against European teams. Asian football has progressed considerably, but still has a long way to go to rival even teams like Sweden at the World Cup.

Sweden start as favourites here, and are incredibly good value considering the above. You can get nearly double your money back at odds of -103, while the draw is at +222 and the Koreans are at +310.

We're not sure why the odds are so close here - we are backing South Korea to go winless at this World Cup and we're tipping a comfortable victory to the Swedes in this match - 2-0 the final score.

Sweden vs South Korea Betting Tips

  • 1

    Over/Under - Under +2.5 @ -185

  • 2

    Sweden To Score In Both Halves - Yes @ +259

  • 3

    Correct Score - Sweden 2-0 @ +686

  • 4

    Which Teams Will Score? - Sweden only @ +189

Sweden vs South Korea Preview

Sweden's campaign was in danger of being overshadowed by the potential return of Zlatan Ibrahimovic to the national team, although that has been put to bed with the former Manchester United frontman left out of the 23-man squad.

Without the now LA Galaxy frontman, Emil Forsberg is the standout option for the first goal scorer or any time goal scorer markets.

Our tip is as always to wait for the final squad selection before making a wager on the player markets. This is also important for all bets as last minute lineup changes can drastically alter the outcome of matches.

While we have declared our love for Sweden in this match, we can't discount the threat that Korea possess, particularly up front. Heung Min Son is the clear standout - his performances for Tottenham in the English Premier League have been excellent, and he takes on the goal-scoring responsibilities in the absence of Harry Kane. He is quick and technically gifted, and is definitely the pick from the Korean side.

Head to Head Alternatives

The odds spread in this match is fantastic, meaning that the head to head bet is probably the best option if you believe Sweden will win the match. Obviously the top sportsbooks disagree and feel that a draw is perhaps the most likely result here, but we are convinced the Swedes will be too strong.

If you would prefer to steer clear of the head to head odds considering their relative parity, there are a number of alternatives. The 'draw no bet' market is great if you want to eliminate the possibility of a draw ruining your pay day. Although Sweden's odds are lower (-229), you can bet with confidence knowing that you'll have your bet refunded in the case of a draw (and Korea Republic won't win, trust us). 

If you think Sweden can keep up their trend of scoring goals before and after half-time (as they did in qualifying), you could place one of two bets. The 'home team to score in both halves' market is offering +259 for the 'yes' option, while you could also go with the 'Sweden - Sweden' pick in the 'half-time/full-time market (assuming Korea Republic don't also score in the first half).

Finally, it's never a bad idea to pick the correct score. Our prediction of 2-0 is paying +686, while the favoured results are the 1-1 draw (+473) and 1-0 win to Sweden (+446).

Group F Betting Odds