Poland vs Senegal Odds

Poland vs Senegal World Cup 2018

Poland returned to the World Cup with relative ease, breezing through European qualifying with eight wins from their ten matches. It's hard to believe that the Poles only won three games in each of their last two World Cup qualification campaigns, especially now that they are eighth in the FIFA rankings, but the reality is that Poland spent the best part of that eight year period ranked 34th or lower (and below 70th at certain stages).

Much of their recent progress is due to their captain and leading goal-scorer Robert Lewandowski. The Bayern Munich frontman is up there with the best strikers in the world, and has already notched up over 50 goals for his country. During qualifying, he managed 16 of his side's 28 goals and broke the record for most goals during a European qualification campaign.

Senegal have also improved to one of their best world rankings in the last few years; their current mark of 27th makes them the second-best African nation at the World Cup behind Tunisia. They too were rarely troubled throughout qualification, going undefeated (5 wins, 3 draws) to book just their second berth at the world's biggest sporting event.

The current Senegalese squad is packed full of talented players who are based throughout Europe, most notably Sadio Mane (Liverpool), Kalidou Koulibaly (Napoli) and captain Cheikhou Kouyate (West Ham United). The pace of the side is perhaps their biggest strength, while they also boast excellence in the centre of the park and are competent at breaking down attacks. 

Poland too are blessed across the park and boast considerable talent coming through the system. Koulibaly's Napoli teammates Arkadiusz Milik and Piotr Zielinski are two of Poland's younger generation that are already excelling at national level. Their pace and creativity will cause problems for the Senegalese defenders.

This match is tough to pick, not least because the teams are yet to come up against each other. Both sides are capable of winning this match, and it may come down to the final team selection or tactics that the managers utilise on the day. We can't split them, and despite the early favouritism for Poland among the top online sportsbooks, we rate the draw as the best chance here.

Poland start at +125, which indicates that the leading sportsbooks believe this will be a tight contest as well. The draw is available at +219, while Senegal start at +229. There is value across the board here, particularly if you think Poland will get the job done.

We're not so sure that they will though, and actually think Senegal are a good chance to qualify from this very interesting group. We are predicting a draw, perhaps 1-1, with the score to be 0-0 at half-time.

Poland vs Senegal Betting Tips

  • 1

    Anytime Goalscorer - Robert Lewandowski @ +103

  • 2

    Half-time/Full-time - Draw-Draw @ +382

  • 3

    1st Half Winner - Draw @ -103

  • 4

    Correct Score - 1-1 Draw @ +450

Poland vs Senegal Preview

We have already indicated the threat that Robert Lewandowski poses, and we believe that he is your best bet for the player markets that will be available throughout the World Cup. While he may not present much value in the any time goal scorer market seeing as he is more than likely to score in every match, you will certainly obtain good odds if you select him in the first goal scorer market.

Arkadiusz Milik is the other threat up front, and with 12 goals already at national level he could be a worthy pick in either of the above markets. Lewandowski is good at scoring but is equally good at creating space and/or assisting his teammates, and Milik is normally first on the scene to feed off the scraps.

If you're looking for someone in the player markets from the Senegalese team, it almost has to be Sadio Mane. The Liverpool winger is just about at the top of his game at present, and is a nightmare for opposing defenders. While he won't have the luxury of playing alongside Roberto Firmino and Mohamed Salah, the Senegalese team love to play in the same style, and we should see him in plenty of space in this match.

Both these teams had a similar trend during qualifying - late goals. Senegal were particularly potent, managing nearly 50% of their goals in the final fifteen minutes, so this is definitely something to consider when contemplating the result, especially if your preference is to bet live.

Regardless of how you like to bet, be sure to await the final lineups before attempting your wager - you never know what surprises may appear when the manager announces their squad, and this can drastically change the way the match unfolds.

Head to Head Alternatives

This match presents great odds for all three options in the head to head market, although it may be too close to call and therefore too risky to take the most basic line here. Thankfully, there are several alternatives.

We don't mind the half-time/full-time option, which will offer even better odds due to the risk associated. We have noticed that both teams tend to score goals late, so this match has a good chance of being locked at 0-0 at half-time. Therefore, any of the picks that begin with the draw would be a good option here. Our favourite is the draw - draw which is paying +382, while you could also see a big payday if the match is level at the break and one side goes on to win.

Similarly, the first half winner line is another option here. Poland are +197, Senegal are +289, while the draw is -103. This is a great bet if you agree that the score will be even at half-time although you're not willing to commit to picking the winning team.

Finally, the correct score market is a great way to make quick money. The favourite is our pick in this match - 1-1 - which appears at +452.

Group H Betting Odds