Iceland vs Croatia Odds

Iceland vs Croatia World Cup 2018

Surprise 2018 participants Iceland will play their third ever World Cup match against a familiar face in Croatia, a team they have faced on six prior occasions in qualification. A breakthrough first win over the Croatians at their home ground helped secure first place in their group and automatic progression at their European rivals' expense, and they will come into this match looking for another crucial victory.

Iceland's loss against Nigeria exposed their naivety on the big stage, although to be fair they managed a 1-1 draw with Group favourites Argentina in the first round of matches which is a great achievement. They are still alive, but will need a win against Croatia to have any hope.

Croatia have been excellent. They brushed Nigeria aside with a clinical win and then destroyed Argentina. The South Americans were blown away by Croatia's superb midfield, and Luka Modric's solo strike was one of the highlights of the tournament so far.

This is an intriguing matchup simply because both teams have very recent history, a rare commodity in international soccer. Each team recorded a win over the other in qualifying; both keeping a clean sheet on their home turf. On a neutral venue, the logical outcome is a draw, although Croatia boast a far more accomplished squad and should really be winning this matchup.

Context is always a factor in the third group stage matches. Croatia are home and hosed as winners of Group D and will not need to field their strongest lineup at all. After a brutal match against an unsportsmanlike Argentinian team, there is a slim possibility that they will allow Iceland to play football - If Iceland win it will potentially knock out Argentina, which is a result I'm sure the Croatians would love.

For this reason, we recommend waiting for the lineups before placing a bet here. We're going to stick with our original pick (Croatia 1-0), although concede this match could finish in a win for Iceland.

Croatia start as favourites, paying +108, while the draw is quite low at +248. Iceland are the outsiders, although not miles out of contention at +242.

Iceland vs Croatia Betting Tips

  • 1

    Over/Under - Under +2.5 @ -164

  • 2

    Will Both Teams Score? - No @ -133

  • 3

    Matchbet and Totals - Croatia and Under 2.5 goals @ +296

  • 4

    Correct Score - Croatia 1-0 @ +507

Iceland vs Croatia Preview

Croatia are the leaders in the head to head market, although their price definitely makes a wager more than worth your while. There is also plenty of value in the draw. If you would prefer to pick one of the other markets available, our tips should help you on the way to a winning wager.

We've already mentioned that Croatia and Iceland are likely to play out a low-scoring match, and it's also probable that only one team will score (we're tipping Croatia). This opens up two markets.

The most obvious pick is the over/under market. If you agree that there will be less than the +2.5 goal split, you will receive odds of -164, which is the favoured result. The other option is the 'will both teams score?' market, which is offering -133 for the 'no'. 

If you're convinced that Croatia will do enough to get the victory, then you may as well combine your over/under bet with the result of the match. In the matchbet and totals market, you can do just that. If you were to bet on Croatia and under +2.5 goals for the match, you would be rewarded with +296.

The great thing about this market is that it allows you to be as conservative or aggressive as you want. If you want to give a bit of breathing room to your bet, you could choose Croatia and under +3.5 goals at +157 - this is perhaps the best compromise between risk and reward as it is very unlikely there will be more than 3 goals in this matchup.

Finally, it's never a bad idea to place a wager on the correct score. Croatia 1-0 is paying +507.