Kansas City Chiefs vs San Francisco 49ers

49ers vs. Chiefs Game Preview

You have to go all the way back to 1982 to find the last time a road team won a game between these two franchises. That was back when Joe Montana was slinging the ball for the San Francisco 49ers. 

San Francisco 49ers Preview

Jimmy Garoppolo looked better in his second start this season, completing 69.2% of his passes and not turning the ball over. He still needs help on offence, as the San Francisco 49ers are lacking a true number one wide receiver.

Kansas City Chiefs Preview

Two games into the 2018 season and Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes is the leading candidate for league MVP. The sophomore signal caller has 10 passing touchdowns in his first two games this season and no turnovers.

Game Snippet

The 49ers will need another strong rushing performance to keep the Chiefs offence off the field. The 49ers ran for 190 yards in their Week 2 win over the Lions. The Chiefs defence has faced the fewest rushing attempts in the NFL but are allowing 4.5 yards per attempt (tenth most in the NFL). 

49ers vs. Chiefs Betting Tips

  • 1

    Chiefs 4-11 ATS since 2015 as 6.5 point or more favourites

  • 2

    49ers 3-1 on the road with Jimmy Garoppolo

  • 3

    49ers scored 30 points or more in three of their last four games

  • 4

    Chiefs 3-2 in home openers with Andy Reid as Head Coach

49ers vs. Chiefs Game Predictions

Against the Spread Prediction

As great as the Chiefs have looked in their first two games this season, you need to wonder if their current offensive production is sustainable. The Chiefs are on pace to score 640 points this season which would break the record of 606 points the Denver Broncos set in 2013.

While Mahomes looks to turn into a great NFL player, he is due for some hiccups. He should have another good day against the 49ers, but the Chiefs topping 38 points for a third straight week is a bit of a longshot.

The Chiefs record as 6.5 point or more favourites is something to consider seriously before betting on this game. Since 2015, they have only covered 27% (4-11) of spreads as a 6.5 point or more favourite, but they are 10-5 straight up in the same games.  

The 49ers quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo is 8-1 in his career as a starter, with his lone loss coming by eight points in Week 1 to the Vikings. You can argue the Vikings are a better team than the Chiefs (especially on the defensive side of the ball). The 49ers rushing attack looks good as well. They should use it to their advantage to cut down on the Chiefs offensive possessions and keep this game close.

Pick: San Francisco 49ers +5.5 (-110)

Over/Under Prediction

The 55.5 over/under is the highest game total line of the 2018 NFL season through Week 3.  These two teams combined to score 72 points last week. While expecting 72 points again is a bit much, this game has the makings of a 31-26 final score (which would result in an over).

Both offences can move the ball, and neither team has shown they are particularly good at forcing turnovers. Also, the Chiefs have allowed a touchdown every time their opponent reaches the red zone, while the 49ers have the eighth worst third-down defence in the NFL.

Pick: Over 55.5 (-110)