From the Big House in Michigan to The Swamp in Florida, and from Husky Stadium in Washington to Death Valley in Louisiana, there is nothing quite like NCAA Football. Played at packed houses across the United States, primarily on Saturdays from August to November, this brand of pigskin is some of the best action on the planet. It is also a very popular betting option at top online sportsbooks.
NCAA Football Futures 2019-20
US College Football has adopted a playoff system to determine the National Champion. A work in progress - more games may be added down the road. This season, the semifinal playoffs are on December 28, 2019, prior to the NCAAF Championship match on January 13, 2020, at the Mercedes-Benz Super Dome in New Orleans, Louisiana. Canada Sports Betting NCAAF futures lines are obtained from the best online sportsbooks in the football betting business. Bet smart!
Please Note: All posted NCAAF Investements are One-Unit wagers - Unless otherwise noted.
CSB Free Pick Parlay: Returns in August 2019 - News and odds updates posted as warranted.
Previous NCAAF 2019 Championship Price Update: 3:00 AM ET on December 31, 2018.
US College Football CFP 2020 Opening Odds: From Bodog at 8:30 PM ET on January 9, 2019.
NCAAF Prediction Tracking: Game On - Fumble Lost - Match Winner
09/01/19 Opening Odds: 2020 CFP NCAAF National Championship
First out of the gate, amongst top four NCAA Football CSB recommended bookmakers, Canada’s own Bodog has posted 2020 College Football Playoff Championship betting lines. Though not very extensive yet, with just 18 contenders on the board, the field will grow as we move closer to the late August 2019 regular season start. Fresh off their 2018 title, Clemson opens as top chalk with a tiny +175 money line. Knocked off the top perch, for the first time in recent memory, Alabama drops to second favorite with a +250 price.
“Projected to play Act IV - Clemson and Alabama are 2020 opening chalk”
Georgia, who arguably could have given the Tigers a better NCAAF title tussle than the Crimson Tide, are the only other team with triple digits as the Bulldogs are third at +550 odds. Penn State (+1200) and Michigan (+1400) sit in the second tier and we don’t trust either of those squads at this early point. Auburn, Miami, Wisconsin and Texas are in a four-way +2500 tie. Of that group, the Longhorns were the only team to finish in the final 2018 AP Top 25 rankings. It’s way to early to put money on any club beyond Clemson.
“Aiming for a 3-Peat of winning seasons – CSB Free Picks return in August”
Listed in our opening odds above, four squads at +3000, plus another four at +4000, round out the current top 16 posted at Bodog. While most of the big name players have already committed, January 14th is an important US College Football date as that is the deadline to enter the 2019 NFL Draft which runs April 25 to 27, 2019. Player school transfers are still not complete yet either = another good reason to hold off on buying any 2020 National Championship tickets. This space updates as additional prices are posted.
2018-19 NCAA Football Parlay and Single Bet Free Pick Review
Congratulations to HC Dabo Swinney, QB Trevor Lawrence and the Clemson Crew as they crushed Alabama 44-16 to claim the 2019 National Championship. In a blowout, that was bigger than the College Football Playoff Committee wanted to see, the Tigers were full marks for rolling past the Crimson Tide. HC Nick Saban, QB Tua Tagovailoa & Crew played a decent first quarter, down 14-13, but were blown out by a 30-3 count over the final three frames. While we feel bad about our title game call – we finished in the green overall.
Our weekly Parlay Free Picks were the most productive portion as they went 7-8 and returned a +710.98 return. Single bet free picks, bet at online sportsbooks due to not being available with Canadian Sports Lottery schemes, went 14-8 but put a (-24.04) dent in our bankroll. NCAAF futures and miscellaneous wagers went 2-2, which netted a (-48.72) loss. Not as high as our first year total, we will take a second straight winning season and pocket the +638.22 net profit. Numbers are already up at Bodog for 2020.
Canadian Sportsbooks Are Top Wagering Options
Going strong since 1961, in a Nation populated by just 36 million people, U Sports Canada (previously Canadian Interuniversity Sport) pale to the huge USA college football programs. Reasonable comparisons, between USA and Canadian college ball, can be drawn with the NFL and CFL plus top Online Sportsbooks vs Provincial Sports Lottery betting platforms.
Actually, the latter comparison isn’t fair as both brands of ball are entertaining but there’s a huge gap between the two sports betting options. Avoid government controlled wagering schemes by checking out the top rated bookmakers in our table below. Bonus offers, fair odds and prices, plus single game bets, are all available to Canadian sports bettors 24/7 everyday!
NCAAF 2018-19 Futures & Free Pick Results
07/01/19 NCAAF National Championship Game Odds and Prediction
One match – for the all the marbles! The 2019 NCAA Football National Championship game is now just hours away from kickoff. Meeting for just the 18th time, over a 120 year span, #1 Alabama and #2 Clemson clash for the US College title at 8:00 PM ET on January 7, 2019, at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, CA. The best of the best, as it should be, meet in a contest that will produce the first ever 15-0 team in NCAAF history. College football fans can’t ask for much more than two undefeated teams fighting it out. Let's get to it!
“Tigers and Tide tussle in fourth straight College Football Playoff match”
Ancient history, these teams met in Week 1 of the 2008 season, the Tide upset the Tigers 34-10 at the Georgia Dome in Atlanta. The other three recent games were College Football Playoff fights with two of them being National Championship clashes. The first contest was #1 Clemson vs #2 Alabama in the 2015 title match at University of Phoenix Stadium in Glendale, AZ. The Tigers owned a 24-21 lead, after three quarters, but the Tide scored 24 fourth period points to post a 45-40 victory and claim their 16th National Championship.
Turning the table, during a 2016 thriller, QB Deshaun Watson led three fourth-quarter touchdown drives as the Tigers won 35-31 to claim their second National Championship. It was a long time coming as the Tigers first title was back in 1981. The fourth meeting was during the CFP Final Four semifinals last season as #4 Alabama posted a convincing 24-6 victory over #1 Clemson in the Sugar Bowl at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in New Orleans. The Tide went on to win the National Championship 26-23 in OT vs the Georgia Bulldogs.
“Alabama is 3-1 S/U 2-2 ATS and 2-2 Over/Under all-time vs Clemson”
Though largely against inferior talent - both teams posted rock solid numbers on both side of the ball this year. It can be argued that Alabama faced a tougher slate as the Crimson Tide faced five AP Top 25 teams while the Tigers tussled with three. During the regular season, the Tide rolled over #22 Texas A&M (45-23) and played lights out defense during wins at #3 LSU (29-0) and at home vs #16 Mississippi State (24-0). In an entertaining SEC Championship, Alabama was down 28-21 vs #4 Georgia before winning 35-28.
While ranked teams Alabama faced finished in the Top 25, Clemson had a slightly lighter path, as two of their three ranked teams did not end the season in the Top 25. The Tigers trashed #16 North Carolina State 41-17 in Week 8 and then sputtered on offense during a 27-7 Week 11 win over #17 Boston College. The Tigers topped unranked Pittsburgh Panthers 42-10 to win the ACC Championship. Clemson squeaked past Syracuse 27-23 in Week 5 as the Orange ended their season with a #20 ranking in the final poll.
“Clemson played three AP Top 25 Poll teams and Alabama played five”
Both teams were dominant in the CFP semifinal games as Clemson crushed #3 Notre Dame 30-3 in the Cotton Bowl and Alabama topped #4 Oklahoma 45-34 in the Orange Bowl. Following a 3-3 first quarter, the Tigers had a 23-2 halftime lead and shut out the Fighting Irish over the final three frames. The Clemson defence allowed Notre Dame just 248 yards on offense. The Tide vs Sooners score looks closer than it was as Alabama allowed a late TD - after an unsportsmanlike conduct extended the Sooners final drive.
These teams played two same squad matches during the regular season – one decent and one a cupcake. During the former, Clemson defeated Texas A&M 28-26 in Week 2 and Alabama ripped the Aggies 45-23 in Week 4. Both teams pasted cream puff Louisville as the Tide rolled 51-14 in their season opener and the Tigers trounced the Cardinals 77-16 in Week 10 action. Playing in a class of their own, Clemson contests averaged a 44.3 to 12.9 final count while Alabama outscored their opponents by a 47.7 to 16.2 average margin.
“Big Line Moves: Tide (-240 to -210) Bet365 Tigers (+300 to +175) Betway”
Our Semifinal picks went 1-1 last week – though we feel we deserved better. Playing in perfect conditions, at AT&T Stadium, experience showed as the Clemson vs Notre Dame played out as we envisioned it. Alabama vs Oklahoma went as we thought it would until late on the game as the Crimson Tide rolled out of the gate with touchdowns during their first four possessions. Alabama was up 45-27, with 6:08 left on the clock, but a selfish Tide player “look at me” penalty helped Oklahoma steal a backdoor cover.
Money has been flowing in on Clemson as the Tigers price lost value at the top four Canada Sports Betting recommended sportsbooks. SportsInteraction offers the best value on Clemson with a +180 money line title price. Posted with a negative number since Week 7, Alabama gained a little value across the board and the Crimson Tide best buy is -200 at Bodog. Top ranked online bookmakers are also offering big game prop bets including touchdown scorers, plus individual player rush, pass and receiving propositions.
First Quarter Propositon Wager: Crimson Tide -0.5 (-115)
National Championship Selection: Bet Alabama -4 (-130) over Clemson @ Bet365.
Final Scores: Clemson 14-13 first quarter - Clemson 44-16 over Alabama.
Bookmaker Note: Click on any logo for fantastic US College Football title match betting.
Prior NCAAF Championship Odds Refresh: At 1:00 AM ET on December 29, 2018.
07/01/19 College Football Playoff Contenders Odds @ Recommended Bookmakers
|#1 Alabama||-250 to -220||-200 to N/C
||-240 to -210||-250 to -220|
|#2 Clemson||+225 to +180||+280 to +170||+275 to +175|| +300 to +175
29/12/18 NCAAF Final Four National Championship Odds
Happy Holidays Everyone! Adding excitement to the season, NCAA Football Bowl games are in full swing as we inch closer to semifinal US College Football Playoff games. Both matches play out on December 29, 2108, as #2 Clemson clashes with #3 Notre Dame in the Cotton Bowl and then #1 Alabama battles #4 Oklahoma in the Orange Bowl. Winners receive a one-week break prior to the National Championship contest at Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara, CA, on Monday, January 7, 2019. Good Luck and Happy New Year!
“NCAA College Football Playoffs: Semifinals 29/12/18 Title Game 07/01/19”
Bookmakers, at respected NCAA football focused sportsbooks, are offering betting lines on the semifinal contests and have largely held their Final Four futures prices steady. First listed on 02/12/18, after the final College Football Playoff rankings were released, Bodog is the only sportsbook that has adjusted their National Championship lines. Alabama continues to lead as top chalk and they are only team with a negative number. Adding some value (-225 to -200) Bodog is offering the best price on the Crimson Tide.
Serving up quality sports betting options to Canadians for decades now, veteran UK based sportsbooks Bet365 and BetWay have posted the best lines on the remaining three squads. Well below Alabama, the Tigers remain as second favorite with a +300 best value at Betway. Longshots in their semifinal games, the Fighting Irish and Sooners are also heavy pups with a lofty +1400 NCAAF Championship price. Betting lines on the other four CFP Committee selected New Year’s Six Bowl battles are also available 24/7 online.
Non-Playoff Bowl Games: Visit our NCAAF Playoff page for previews and picks.
NCAAF 2018-19 College Football Playoffs - New Year's Six Bowl Games
|Date||Time||New Year's Six||Favorite||Underdog||Venue||Location|
|29/12/18||Noon||Peach Bowl||#7 Michigan||#10 Florida||Mercedes Benz Stadium||Atlanta, GA|
|29/12/18||4:00 PM||Cotton Bowl||#2 Clemson||#3 Notre Dame||AT&T Stadium||Arlington, TX|
|29/12/18||8:00 PM||Orange Bowl||#1 Alabama||#4 Oklahoma||Hard Rock Stadium||Miami, FL|
|01/01/19||1:00 PM||Fiesta Bowl||#11 LSU||#8 UCF||State Farm Stadium||Gendale, AZ|
|01/01/19||5:00 PM||Rose Bowl||#6 Ohio State||#9 Washington||Rose Bowl||Pasadena, CA|
|01/01/19||8:45 PM||Sugar Bowl||#5 Georgia||#15 Texas||Mercedes-Benz Superdome||New Orleans, LA|
|07/01/19||8:00 PM||Championship||TBD||TBD||Levi's Stadium||Santa Clara, CA|
2019 NCAA Football Final Four Semifinal Previews and Picks
#2 Clemson Tigers (13-0) vs #3 Notre Dame Fighting Irish (12-0)
Clemson and Notre Dame duel in the first CFP semifinal when they meet in the Goodyear Cotton Bowl Classic at 4:00 PM ET on December 29, 2018. After missing the inaugural National Championship Final Four dance in 2014, the Tigers are playing in a fourth straight College Football Playoff series. Clemson defeated Oklahoma in the Orange Bowl, then Ohio State in the Fiesta Bowl, prior to a loss versus Alabama in the Sugar Bowl last season. The Tigers biggest edge in this matchup is their abundance of playoff experience.
“Clemson is 53-4 last four seasons and 21 of 22 starters have playoff experience”
Notre Dame is making their first National Championship playoff appearance since getting rolled 42-14 by the Crimson Tide during the 2013 BCS National Championship game. While both teams are well rested, the Fighting Irish have been off an extra week as their FBS Independent status means they didn’t play during Conference Championship Weekend. The Irish defeated #14 Michigan, #7 Stanford, #24 Virginia Tech and #12 Syracuse during a perfect 12-0 season. None of those squads stack up with the Tigers though.
29/12/18 Update: Clemson took a hit leading up to this match as stud DT Dexter Lawrence is suspended for a failed drug test. The Tigers D-Line remains solid with Clelin Ferrell, Austin Bryant, Christian Wilkins, plus 3-year back-up DT Albert Huggins filling in for Lawrence and Xavier Thomas coming off the bench. Clemson has boatloads of playoff experienced and grade-out as the superior squad. Lay the line and take the Tigers.
Cotton Bowl Pick: Clemson Tigers -11.5 (-120) @ SportsInteraction
Final Score: Clemson Tigers 30-3 vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish = ATS Win
#1 Alabama Crimson Tide (13-0) vs #4 Oklahoma Sooners (12-1)
Running out of superlatives to describe the Alabama Football Factory, the Crimson Tide are playing in their fifth straight College Football Playoff series. With three victories during the final five years of the Bowl Championship Series, plus two more during the first four years of CFP series, Alabama has won the NCAAF National Championship during five of the past nine seasons. Showing no signs of slowing down, Nick Saban has guided the Tide to a 126-12 record over the past decade. That includes their 13-0 mark this season.
“Alabama aims for 6th National Championship over 12 seasons under Nick Saban”
Oklahoma played a rather light schedule during a 12-1 regular season and reach the semifinals after a 39-27 Big 12 Championship win over #14 Texas. That was a rematch of the Longhorns 48-45 Week 6 victory and a key factor to the CFP Committee selecting Oklahoma over Ohio State as a Final Four participant. Powered by Heisman Trophy winner QB Kyler Murray, the Sooners led the Nation in scoring (49.5 PPG) but they have not faced a NFL style defense like the one Crimson Tide will roll out in the Orange Bowl.
29/12/18 Update: How many points will the high-octane Oklahoma offense score against Alabama who trot out the fourth ranked scoring defense in the Nation? If the Sooners score 17 above the 14.8 average the Tide allowed, they score 32 points. Alabama, who averaged 47.9 PPG on offense, face a defense that allowed 32.4 PPG. Better coaching, better stats plus lots of playoff experience, has us taking the Tide to roll over the Sooners.
Orange Bowl Pick: Alabama Crimson Tide -13.5 (-125) @ Bodog
Finals Score: Alabama Crimson Tide 45-35 vs Oklahoma Sooners = ATS Loss
Top Online Sportsbooks Offer A Wealth of Football Betting Options
In addition to their National Championship coverage, online bookmakers offer betting odds on the entire College Football Bowl season. That includes CFP Committee selected New Year’s Six Bowl games that we are covering in our College Football Playoff odds feature. Similar to the quality of Conference Championship Weekend action, teams that fell short of a Final Four ranking participate in matches under historic Big Six Bowl banners. Those contests play out before and after the Final Four CFP semifinal games.
Running with NCAA football playoff action, National Football League races are also decided during the Holiday Season. Week 17 will alter NFL playoff futures prices as New Orleans securing NFC home field advantage, plus Dallas owing the #4 seed, are the only positions that are locked up. Tennessee and Indianapolis play in the “win and you are in - lose and you are out” Sunday Night Football contest, meaning the 2018 campaign goes down to final regular season match. Wager smart at top rated online sportsbooks.
NCAAF National Championship Odds Refresh: 1:00 AM ET on December 29, 2018.
29/12/18 College Football Playoff Contenders Odds @ Recommended Bookmakers
07/12/18 NCAAF Final Four National Championship Odds
Welcome to the NCAA Football Final Four National Championship chase. Conference Championship weekend went largely according to plan and the College Football Playoff Committee have made their choices. Top two all season, Alabama and Clemson earned easy bids, Notre Dame was idle and retained the three seed and Oklahoma was selected over Ohio State as the four seed. An Alabama Crimson Tide versus Clemson Tigers showdown is looming on January 7, 2019, at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, California.
"Stick with us for in depth 2019 New Year's Six game previews and picks"
Rolling through perfect seasons, unchallenged along the way, Alabama and Clemson posted perfect 13-0 records. The numbers are staggering as the Crimson Tide took out their opponents by an average 49-15 count before coming from behind to beat Georgia 35-28 in the SEC Championship. Equally impressive the Tigers topped their competition by a 46-14 margin and then pounded an overmatched Pitt Panthers squad 42-10 in the ACC Championship. Both teams are worthy of their lofty ranking as cream of the NCAAF crop.
Notre Dame, the last independent to win a National Championship, watched from the sidelines during the Conference Championship clashes after cruising to a 12-0 regular season record. The Fighting Irish will face their biggest challenge of the year when they clash with Clemson in the Cotton Bowl on December 29, 2018. Brilliant on offense, though downright dismal on defense, Oklahoma (12-1) claimed the Big 12 Championship and the Sooners are now tasked with taking down Alabama in the Orange Bowl Classic.
CFP Selected Second Tier New Year’s Six Playoff Bowl Game Preview
Bubble teams, which were locked out of the NCAAF title hunt, have been awarded berths in the other four New Year’s Six Bowl games. Opening their year with a 24-17 loss to Notre Dame, and closing out with a crushing 62-39 defeat to Ohio State, #7 Michigan (10-2) will kickoff the NY6 clashes with a meeting vs #10 Florida (9-3) in the Peach Bowl on 29/12/18 at Noon ET at Mercedes Benz Stadium in Atlanta, Georgia. That match is followed by the two National Championship semifinal contests to close out the 29/12/18 slate
New Year’s Day action begins at 1:00 PM ET as #8 UCF faces #11 LSU in the Fiesta Bowl at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona. Despite being without star QB McKenzie Milton, who suffered a season-ending knee injury, the Knights ran their undefeated string to 25-0 as they defeated Memphis 56-41 to claim the American Athletic Conference Championship. A top CFP contender, despite losses to Florida and Alabama, plus a 74-72 season-ending 7 OT defeat vs Texas A&M, the Tigers will try to snap the UCF streak.
“Second straight year Big Ten Champion Ohio State misses Final Four"
Snubbed by the CFP Committee again, right or wrong, #6 Ohio State will play in the “Granddaddy of them All” when they battle #9 Washington in the Rose Bowl at 5:00 PM ET in Pasadena, CA. Closing strong, the Buckeyes (12-1) beat Michigan and then smothered Northwestern 45-25 to claim the Big 10 Championship, wasn't wasn’t enough to earn a Final Four Berth. The Huskies (9-3) capped a disappointing season by defeating rival Washington State and Utah to capture their second PAC-12 Championship title.
Closing out the New Year’s Six slate, #5 Georgia faces #15 Texas in the Sugar Bowl at 8:45 PM ET at the Mercedes-Benz Superdome in New Orleans, Louisiana. The Bulldogs (11-2) fell 36-16 in Death Valley to LSU during Week 7 and lost to Alabama in the SEC Championship game. With two 12-1 teams in the Top Ten rankings, the CFP Committee had to leave Georgia out of the Final Four. Texas upset Oklahoma in Week 6 but the Sooners bounced back and posted a 39-27 Big 12 Championship win over the Longhorns.
NCAAF National Championship Odds Refresh: 1:00 PM ET on Friday, December 7, 2018.
07/12/18 College Football Playoff Contenders Recommended Sportsbooks Odds
NCAAF 2018 Regular Season Pick Result Summary
Always fully transparent with our picks, selections and results are permanently imbedded in this NCAA futures feature, here is a nutshell regular season betting summary. Bad news first; Our futures picks did not fair well as calls for Wisconsin and Ohio State to win the 2019 National Championship crashed and we took a (-200) unit bankroll hit. Softening the futures blow some, we earned +151.28 units from preseason investments on Clemson (ACC) and Washington (Pac-12) who won their respective Conference Championships.
"Stay tuned for our Bowl Season and NCAAF Playoff previews and picks"
Going back-to-back, after earning a +966.08 return last season, our parlay picks started in the red briefly but moved into the green for good when we cashed the second of two Week 1 tickets. Overall, we went 7-8 and banked a +710.98 return on 15 accumulators. The top half of our tickets went 11-4 while the bottom was 8-7 earning a 19-11 record that returned +350.53 units as single bets. Across the USA map, Alabama to Wyoming, our accumulator selections covered a broad scope of matches - with ATS odds and prices to match.
|Week||Leg One / Odds||+/-||Leg Two / Odds||+/-||Record||Parlay|
|1||Wyoming Cowboys (-170)||58.82||Colorado State (-600)||(100.00)||1-1||(100.00)|
|1||UNLV +26.0 (-110)||90.91||Southern Carolina -29.5 (-110)||90.91||3-1||264.46|
|2||Mississippi St -6.5 (-115)||86.96||Stanford -5.5 (-110)||90.91||5-1||256.92|
|3||Penn State -35 (-110)||90.91||Wisconsin -23 (-110)||(100.00)||6-2||(100.00)|
|4||Georgia -13.5 (-132)||75.76||West Virginia -13.5 (-192)||52.08||8-2||167.30|
|5||Central Florida -13 (-110)||90.91||Michigan -13 (-143)||(100.00)||9-3||(100.00)|
|6||Florida State +14.5 (-125)||80.00||Hawaii -2 (-110)||90.91||11-3||243.64|
|7||Georgia -6.5 (-134)||(100.00)||Wisconsin +10.5 (-125)||(100.00)||11-5||(100.00)|
|8||Iowa -9 (-110)||90.91||UCF -21.5 (-110)||90.91||13-5||264.46|
|9||Texas A&M (-105)||(100.00)||Texas -2.5 (-157)||(100.00)||13-7||(100.00)|
|10||Ohio State -19 (-120)||(100.00)||Houston -13.5 (-120)||(100.00)||13-9||(100.00)|
|11||West Virginia -9.5 (-143)||69.93||Iowa State -13.5 (-175)||57.14||15-9||167.03|
|11||UCF -20.5 (-175)||(100.00)||Notre Dame -13.5 (-163)||61.35||16-10||(100.00)|
|12||Clemson -27.5 (-150)||66.67||Ohio State -13.5 (-125)||(100.00)||17-11||(100.00)|
|13||Oregon -16.5 (-163)||61.35||Alabama -20.5 (-188)||53.19||19-11||147.17|
Though some in the gambling game scoff at buying points, we always try to follow the most reasonable path with our parlay picks. As an example, shaving a point to get Georgia -13.5 (-132) was a winner when the Bulldogs beat Missouri by 14 points (43-29) during Week 4 action. Following three dismal early season bets, a (-300) unit hit, we rebounded with a +492.63 Conference Final Weekend profit that netted a +192.63 return on 18 regular season single bets. Quoting John Michael Montgomery; Life's a dance, you learn as you go.
|Week 1||#11 Michigan State||Utah State||MSS -23.5 (-110)||No Pick||No Pick||MSS 38-31|
|Week 4||#6 Wisconsin||BYU||WIS -23 (-110)||No Pick||No Pick||BYU 24-21|
|Week 4||#6 Wisconsin||Second Half||WIS -9.5 (-120)||No Pick||No Pick||BYU 10-3|
|PAC-12||#11 Washington||#17 Utah||WAS -5 (-110)||WAS (-220)||U 49 (-188)||WAS 10-3|
|Big 12||#5 Oklahoma||#13 Texas||OKU -6.5 (-150)||OKU (-330)||U 81 (-175)||OKU 39-27|
|SEC||#1 Alabama||#4 Georgia||ALB -9.5 (-163)||ALB (-510)||O 60 (-213)||ALA 35-28|
|ACC||#1 Clemson||Pittsburgh||CLE -27 (-110)||CLE (-4000)||O 53 (-110)||CLE 42-10|
|Big Ten||#6 Ohio State||#21 Northwestern||OSU -16.5 (-110)||OSU (-800)||O 62.5 (-110)||OSU 45-24|
30/11/18 NCAAF Conference Finals Update and Picks
Getting down to brass tacks, 2018 NCAAF Conference Championship clashes are upon us. With the US College Football regular season largely complete, apart from a sprinkling of “make up” matches, Week 14 is all about conference title clashes. While those are big games onto themselves, a few of them will also have an affect on the College Football Playoff rankings. Six squads are making a final push, to secure a Final Four postseason berth, so let’s have a look at the remaining National Championship contenders.
Perfectly aligned, the College Football Playoff committee, plus the AP Top 25 and Coaches polls, all agree on the top six teams in the Nation. Four of them will go on to battle for the NCAAF National Championship and playoff semifinal squads will be announced during Selection Sunday on December 2, 2018. While the pollsters are all in line, top rated online bookmakers have varying degrees of prices and opinions on the remaining contenders. At this point, it is difficult to look past an Alabama vs Clemson title match.
“Alabama and Clemson remain as overall NCAAF National Championship chalk”
As was the case, when we posted Week 1 NCAA Football Championship odds back on 24/08/18, Alabama and Clemson are consensus one-two favorites heading into Conference Championship Weekend. The Crimson Tide (12-0) had a +225 best price back in August but that line as shrunk to -250 at Bet365 and Betway. Alabama rolled their competition by an average 49-15 final count and are very worthy of their overall chalk status. Tide HC Nick Saban & Crew are aiming for a sixth title in ten years.
Clemson has been equally hot as the Tigers posted a perfect 12-0 regular season mark and trounced their opponents by a 46-14 average margin of victory. Clemson had a +600 preseason best price but that number has been reduced to +350 across the board. Ranked #3, Notre Dame joined the AP Top Ten with a +2500 best price at Bet365 prior to the start of Week 3 action. As a FBS Independent, the Fighting Irish (12-0) don’t play in Conference Championship game and their top line is +1200 at most sportsbooks.
“A SEC Championship win vs Alabama will earn Georgia a Final Four berth”
Rising as high as #2, with +500 NCAAF title odds prior to Week 4, Georgia posted an 11-1 record and moved to the #4 ranking after Michigan lost to Ohio State during Week 13 action. The Bulldogs, who lost 36-16 to LSU in Week 7, are looking for a rematch with Alabama after they lost 26-23 in OT to the Tide during the 2018 Championship. Opening the season ranked #4, with a +800 money line, Georgia has +1400 playoff price. Before a possible CFP battle, the Bulldogs and Tide meet in the SEC Championship.
One year after losing 52-48 in double overtime to Georgia, during the CFP semifinals game, Oklahoma entered the season ranked #7 with a +2600 price. Rising to their current #5 ranking, with a +2500 Bodog best value, the Sooners need to defeat Texas in the Big 12 Championship and hope the CFB Committee finds them worthy of a Final Four berth. Ranked as preseason #3, Ohio State (11-1) suffered an ugly 49-20 loss to unranked Purdue in Week 8 and sit #6 prior to their Big Ten battle vs the Northwestern Wildcats.
NCAA Football Power Five Conference Championship Contests
Odds Source: Canada Sports Betting top rated football betting online sportsbooks.
|PAC-12||#11 Washington||#17 Utah||WAS -5 (-110)||WAS (-220)||U 49 (-188)||WAS 10-3|
|Big 12||#5 Oklahoma||#13 Texas||OKU -6.5 (-150)||OKU (-330)||U 81 (-175)||OKU 39-27|
|SEC||#1 Alabama||#4 Georgia||ALB -9.5 (-163)||ALB (-510)||O 60 (-213)||ALA 35-28|
|ACC||#1 Clemson||Pittsburgh||CLE -27 (-110)||CLE (-4000)||O 53 (-110)||CLE 42-10|
|Big Ten||#6 Ohio State||#21 Northwestern||OSU -16.5 (-110)||OSU (-800)||O 62.5 (-110)||OSU 45-24|
PAC-12 Championship: #11 Washington Huskies vs #17 Utah Utes
What's At Stake: New Year's Six Rose Bowl berth on 01/01/19 in Pasadena, CA.
Caution For Washington Bettors: Huskies rank #98 worst in Special Teams efficiency.
Caution For Utah Bettors: Utes ranks #72 worst allowing 27 quarterback sacks.
Both Teams Are: Really good on defense allowing Huskies 16.5 PPG Utes 19.3 PPG.
Meeting for the first time, in the eight year PAC-12 Championship history, #11 Washington battles #17 Utah at 8:00 PM ET on 30/11/18 at Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara, California. The Huskies (9-3) have won the last three meetings vs the Utes (9-3) including a 21-7 victory at Rice-Eccles Stadium in Salt Lake City during Week 3 action. Washington is coming off a big 28-15 win over #8 Washington State. The Utes lost to both Washington State teams and they are in tough here. The Huskies defense is the difference in this contest.
Big 12 Championship: #13 Texas Longhorns vs #6 Oklahoma Sooners
What's At Stake: New Year's Six Sugar Bowl berth on 01/01/19 in New Orleans, CA
Caution For Oklahoma Bettors: Sooners allowed 47.2 PPG in last four contests.
Caution For Texas Bettors: Sooners are Nation’s top offense scoring 50.3 PPG.
Both Teams Are: Better on one side of the ball = Sooners OFF and Texas DEF.
Featuring one of the most heated rivalries in College football, the Big 12 Championship kicks off at 12:00 PM ET on 01/01/18 at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, TX. Established in 1996, this is the first ever Oklahoma vs Texas Big 12 title game clash. Understanding player’s change, the Sooners are an impressive 8-1 while the Longhorns are 3-2 during conference final matches. Following a six-year hiatus, the Big 12 title game was revived in 2017 as QB Baker Mayfield and the Sooners thumped the undermanned TCU Horned Frogs 41-17.
Oklahoma (10-1) is looking for revenge after Texas (9-3) posted a 48-45 win during the 113th Red River Showdown at venerable Cotton Bowl Stadium in Week 6. The Longhorns led 45-24 after three quarters but the Sooners scored 21 unanswered points to tie the match. True freshman PK Cameron Dicker drilled a 40-yard field goal, with nine seconds left, to seal the Horns upset. The last three meetings were decided by five points or less with the Sooners scoring 2-1 straight up edge but they were 0-3 against the spread.
SEC Championship: #1 Alabama Crimson Tide vs #4 Georgia Bulldogs
What's At Stake: College Football Final Four Playoff berth on 29/12/18
Caution For Alabama Backers: Bulldogs #4 ranked defensive efficiency.
Caution For Georgia Backers: Alabama #1 ranked offensive efficiency.
Both Teams Are: Really good at scoring = Tide 49.0 PPG Dawgs 40.1 PPG.
A rematch of the thrilling 2018 National Championship clash, the SEC Championship game goes at 4:00 PM ET on December 1, 2018, at Mercedes Benz Stadium in Atlanta, GA. Alabama (12-0) is looking to fortify their #1 CFP ranking while Georgia (11-1) would earn a Final Four berth with an upset win. In their battle 326 days ago, QB Tua Tagovailoa replaced Jalen Hurts in the second half and tossed three TD passes. The Crimson Tide erased a 20-7 deficit and ‘Bama beat the Bulldogs 26-23 in OT. This is a classic matchup.
During “same team” games, both teams defeated Missouri, Tennessee and Auburn. The Tide rolled to a 149-52 combined final score while the Dawgs won their contests by a 108-51 margin. Both squads also faced LSU, on the road in Death Valley, as Alabama blanked the Tigers 29-0 three weeks after LSU gashed Georgia 36-16. The Bulldogs need a flawless performance from QB Jake Fromm, and their defense, to take down Nick Saban & Crew. Alabama covered ATS lines of -14 or more points in five of their last six games.
ACC Championship: #2 Clemson Tigers vs Pittsburgh Panthers (N/R)
What's At Stake: College Football Final Four Playoff berth on 29/12/18
Caution For Clemson Bettors: Panther are 6-1 last seven against the spread.
Caution For Pittsburgh Bettors: Tigers #2 ranked run defense = 81.3 YPG.
Both Teams Are: At opposite ends of the top-end caliber football spectrum.
As the biggest Conference Final Saturday mismatch, the ACC Championship is slated for 9:00 PM ET on 01/01/18 at Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte, NC. Representing the Atlantic Division, who have won the last seven games in this series, Clemson is aiming for a fourth straight ACC title. After Miami, Virginia, North Carolina and Georgia Tech lost the last four contests, Pittsburgh is the Coastal Division squad that will give it go this year. This contest shouldn’t be close as the Tigers have several major edges across the board.
Based on 35 stat categories, Clemson ranks #9 or better 17 times while Pitt hits the board twice at #9 in rush yards per attempt and #8 in kick off return yards. A big problem here is the Pitt “heart and soul” rushing attack (232.7 YPG) facing the Tigers defence that leads the Nation allowing just 2.23 yards per attempt. When the run game gets shut down, Pitt’s pass offense (#120) won’t upset the Tigers like they did with five TD as -21 point pups back in 2016. Clemson will pummel Pittsburgh and win the Atlantic Coast Conference title.
Big Ten Championship: #6 Ohio State vs #21 Northwestern Wildcats
What's At Stake: College Football Final Four Playoff berth on 29/12/18
Caution For Ohio State Bettors: Wildcats 34 penalties vs Buckeyes 98.
Caution For Northwestern Bettors: Buckeyes #2 offense = 43.3 PPG.
Both Teams Are: 5-1 versus same team opponents during the 2018 season.
Closing out the slate, Ohio State (11-1) battles Northwestern (8-4) at 8:00 PM ET at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, IN. The Buckeyes are defending Big Ten Champs after they defeated Wisconsin 27-21 last season. This is the third Big Ten Championship appearance for Ohio State (2-1) while the Wildcats are playing in their first. East Division winners, Ohio State has looked ordinary in many matches this season. Northwestern claimed the West Division as the Wildcats battled hard while going 3-2 against AP Top 25 teams.
With the combined win margin in brackets Ohio State (144-54) and Northwestern (105-79) defeated Rutgers, Minnesota, Nebraska and Michigan State this season. In two more “same team” tussles, Wildcats defeated Purdue 31-27 in Week 1 prior to the Boilermakers bashing the Buckeyes 42-20 in Week 8. Ohio State looked very good as they mauled #4 Michigan 62-39 last week while Northwestern stayed close but lost 20-17 to the Wolverines in Week 4 action. An explosive Ohio State offense is the difference in this match.
NCAAF National Championship Odds Refresh: 1:00 AM ET on Friday, November 30, 2018.
30/11/18 College Football Playoff Contenders Recommended Sportsbooks Odds
Please Note: # Indicates current AP Poll position. Numbers in brackets are Coaches Poll Top 25 rankings at 1:00 AM ET on 30/11/18.
23/11/18 Week 13 NCAAF Update and Parlay Pick
Happy Thanksgiving as the USA Holiday brings us football, football and more football. A three-game NFL Thursday feast has ended and action picks up again during NCAA Football Rivalry Weekend with 15 contests on Friday and another 45 on Saturday. Holding firm (again), the College Football Playoff Committee released their fourth of six rankings lists on 20/11/18. The top eight went unchanged, UCF finally received some props, as the Knights replaced West Virginia and Ohio State retained the final position.
“Current Final Four Matchups: Alabama vs Michigan + Clemson vs Notre Dame”
Pollsters are largely in line with the CFP Committee as the AP Top 25 and Coaches polls match the top seven. LSU and UCF swap the eight and nine slots and Ohio State remains tenth. Bet365 is offering the best value on #1 Alabama (-275) and SportsInteraction joins them with a +450 NCAA title line on #2 Clemson. The Crimson Tide have Auburn and Georgia (SEC Championship) left on their slate while the Tigers will cruise during a soft finish vs South Carolina before playing Pittsburgh in the ACC Championship.
“Georgia controls their own destiny but must defeat Georgia Tech and Alabama”
With one game remaining vs USC, #3 Notre Dame (+1200) is in a “win and you are in” situation. The Fighting Irish should easily tackle the Trojans in SoCal. Matching the Notre Dame line at Betway, #4 Michigan closes on the road versus Ohio State. A win sends the Wolverines to the Big Ten Championship vs Northwestern while a loss would be a fatal blow to their CFP Final Four hopes. Needing wins moving forward, #5 Georgia (+1800) and #6 Oklahoma (+400) who need help, round out the US College Football Playoff top six.
“Bottom five squads need wins and complete chaos to secure a Final Four Bid”
It is tough to envision Oklahoma earning a Final Four bid, as the Sooners need to defeat West Virginia, win the Big 12 Championship, and have Michigan or Notre Dame lose once. With so many different things needing to fall into place, including chaos in games involving Top Five teams, the road to the CFP Final Four seems impossible for LSU, Washington State and UCF. Ohio State (+2200) needs to take out Michigan, plus Northwestern in the Big Ten Championship, and hope the Committee finds them worthy.
"US College Football Rivalry Weekend - Big matches close out the regular season"
Civil War: Oregon Ducks @ Oregon State Beavers
Over one hundred years old, Oregon and Oregon State met in their first “Civil War” back in 1894 and it has been played continuously since 1945. The Ducks owns a 64-47-10 edge in the series and Oregon is 9-1 over the last ten meetings – including a 69-10 blowout win in Eugene last year. Though not ranked, the Ducks (7-4) are Bowl eligible while the Beavers (2-9) are playing their final match of the year. The Civil War plays out at Reser Stadium in Corvallis at 4:00 PM ET on 23/11/18 and the Ducks will soar on the road.
Apple Cup: #16 Washington Huskies @ #8 Washington State Cougars
Washington and Washington State will battle in the Apple Cup at 8:30 PM ET on Friday, 23/11/18. First played in 1900, consecutively since 1945, the Huskies own a 72-32-6 series advantage. Washington has won the last five meetings by a combined 159-71 count. Heading into this match, the Cougars (7-1) have a better record than the Huskies (6-2) for the first time since 2015 and the winner will face Utah in the Pac-12 Championship. We are leaning Cougars in a close contest at Martin Stadium in Pullman, WA.
The Game: #4 Michigan Wolverines @ #10 Ohio State Buckeyes
Simply known as “The Game” Michigan and Ohio State first met in 1867 and have played every year since 1918. The stakes are often high when these teams clash, and that’s the case here. A spot in the Big Ten Championship, plus a possible CFP Final Four berth, is on the line when the Wolverines visit the Buckeyes at Noon ET on 24/11/18. Michigan is fielding a Championship caliber #1 ranked defense while Ohio State is well off the pace with a #73 ranking. This is the best offense the Wolverines have faced in 2018.
Iron Bowl: Auburn Tigers @ #1 Alabama Crimson Tide
First played in 1893, Auburn HC Ralph Jordan is credited with coining the Iron Bowl name in 1964 and it pays homage to the historic Alabama steel industry. CFP bound, the Tide (11-0) has rolled over every team by a 536-144 margin. The Tigers (7-4) dropped out of the Top 25 in Week 8 and will be headed to mid range Bowl game. Kickoff is at 3:30 PM ET on 24/11/18 in Tuscaloosa. While Alabama may save some juice, for the SEC Championship vs Georgia next week, we can’t see the Tigers offense keeping pace here.
Week 13 Parlay: Oregon -16.5 (-163) + Alabama -20.5 (-188)
Final Scores: Oregon 55-15 + Alabama 52-21 NET: +141.17
NCAAF National Championship Odds Refresh: 9:00 PM ET on November 22, 2018.
22/11/18 College Football Playoff Contenders Recommended Sportsbooks Odds
Bookmakers Note: West Virginia replaces LSU on NCAAF Championship futures boards.
Please Note: # Indicates AP Poll position. Numbers in brackets are Coaches Poll Top 25 rankings at 9:00 PM ET on 22/11/18. New IN: UCF Knights New OUT: West Virginia.
16/11/18 Week 12 NCAAF Update and Parlay Pick
Halfway home, the third edition of the 2019 College Football Playoff (CFP) rankings has been posted. With each team winning in Week 11, the CFP committee left their Top Ten unchanged. The Tigers (8-2) holding seventh, ahead of three teams at 9-1, is surprising. UCF, 9-0 and winners of 22 straight, were snubbed again. AP Top 25 and Coaches polls didn’t change much either as the top six stayed in place. LSU was dropped from #7 to #10 and West Virginia, Washington State and Ohio State all moved up one spot.
Alabama is now to 10-0 after 24-0 Week 11 win over #16 Mississippi State. With back-to-back shutouts, the Crimson Tide defense has not allowed any points since Tennessee posted a TD late in the first half three weeks ago. Alabama has outscored the Volunteers, Tigers and Bulldogs by a combined 69-7 count over their last ten quarters of play. A Tennessee INT return TD is the only blemish. With The Citadel Bulldogs up next - the run could hit 14. Buy Alabama’s (-265) best line at Bodog – a Canuck original.
“Alabama and Clemson would need massive stumbles to fall out the Final Four”
Clemson, who coincidentally beat up on Division 1-AA The Citadel 61-3 one year ago, remains as consensus (+450) second chalk at football focused sportsbooks. The Tigers (10-2) senior players wrapped up their fourth straight ACC Atlantic Division title and, if Pittsburgh beats Wake Forest in Week 12, will play the Panthers in the ACC Championship. Prior to that, Clemson will cruise as they host Duke for the first time since 2012 and South Carolina who the Cats have clawed a 162-66 in games over the last four seasons.
Michigan flexed their muscles, on both sides of the ball; as they rolled to a 42-7 road win vs Rutgers who are one of the worst teams in NCAA Division 1 US College Football. Almost as weak as the Scarlet Knights, the Wolverines will feast on the Indiana Hoosiers at the Big House prior to their battle with the Buckeyes on the road in Ohio next week. If Michigan wins out they will make the Final Four. Bodog see’s that happening as they kept the Maize & Blue at +650 as compared to the Wolverines +1000 best line at Betway.
In advance of their Week 12 showdown with #12 Syracuse, on the big stage at Yankee Stadium, Notre Dame (9-1) rolled to a 42-13 home win over Florida State. The weather was miserable and, leading 32-6 at halftime, the Fighting Irish put the contest away early. Not part of the Power Five, Notre Dame needs to keep impressing, as they are the lone contender that won’t play a Championship game. The Orange, who battled hard during a 27-23 Week 5 road loss in Clemson, will test the Irish who are fourth favorites.
"Winning out will earn Michigan and Notre Dame a College Football Playoff position”
Georgia is the “bubble team” as their +1600 line is well clear of the +4000 price tag on Oklahoma. The Bulldogs face UMass (4-7) and Georgia Tech (6-4) prior to the their SEC Championship game showdown vs Alabama. While the Tide would still earn a CFP berth with a loss – UGA is toast if (when) they lose the SEC title game. Anticipating they meet in the Big 12 Championship, the #6 Sooners need to beat #7 West Virginia twice, in back-to-back games, and hope Michigan or Notre Dame, plus Georgia suffer a loss.
While they are following guidelines, criteria that seemingly supersede reality, the CFP Committee left #7 LSU unchanged. The Tigers best hope is for a New Year’s Six Bowl Game berth. It’s first things first for Washington State, West Virginia and Ohio State as they need to win out. If the Cougars capture the Pac-12, the Mountaineers claim the Big 12, and the Buckeyes win the Big Ten Championship, a CFP Big Four berth may follow if three of the four #3 through #6 squads all lose. That’s tough to envision.
Not pulling teams out of a hat, our weekly parlay pick is the result of looking at every Saturday game, picking out four we like and then digging deeper into those contests to end up with two. Occasionally, the “Big Four” all appear solid and that was the case last week. Iowa State and West Virginia cashed +167.03 on our top ticket but UCF failed to cover the first half of our accumulator with Notre Dame, which was a (-100) hit. Our record moves to 6-7 and 13 parlay bets have produced a +663.81 return to date.
Week 12 Parlay: Clemson -27.5 (-150) vs Duke + Ohio State -13.5 (-125) vs Maryland
Final Scores: Clemson 35-6 + Ohio State 52-51 NET: (-100)
NCAAF National Championship Odds Refresh: 6:30 PM ET on Friday, November 16, 2018.
16/11/18 College Football Playoff Contenders Recommended Sportsbooks Odds
Bookmakers Note: UCF Knights replace LSU on NCAAF Championship futures boards.
Please Note: # Indicates current AP Poll position. Numbers in brackets are Coaches Poll Top 25 rankings at 6:30 PM ET on 16/11/18. New IN: None New OUT: None.
09/11/18 Week 11 NCAAF Update and Parlay Pick
Following the second of six official College Football Playoff (CFP) ranking lists being posted - some interesting dynamics kicked into gear. First, and most noticeable, top NCAAF online sportsbooks cut their boards down to just ten teams. While we don’t suggest looking past Alabama and Clemson, as the 2019 National Championship winner, Bet365 bookmakers are offering other teams by request. Beyond that, the CFP Committee and US College football focused betting sites are fairly in step with each other.
Posting impressive victories, the Crimson Tide remains on a powerful roll while the Tigers continue to trash everyone who crosses their path. Justified, when you post 54 PPG during your first eight matches, the Alabama offense has been getting a lot of attention. The defense said don’t forget about us as they shutout the LSU offense last week. Alabama has now won eight straight over LSU and they left Death Valley with a 10-0 shutout in 2016 plus a 29-0 blanking in 2018. The Tigers title hopes have vanished.
“Odds and rankings suggest Clemson vs Alabama Act Two is on the horizon”
Clemson crushed another cupcake opponent as they posted a 77-16 home win over Louisville. The Tigers racked up 492 rushing yards, plus five TD via the run and pass, to match Alabama with a perfect 9-0 record. Visiting #19 Boston College (7-2) this weekend is the last “tough” contest for the Cats as they close with home games vs Duke and South Carolina. The road trip to face a decent Eagles defense may be a stiffer test than the one Clemson gets in the ACC Championship, most likely versus Pittsburgh, on 01/12/18.
If the Final Four playoff games were this weekend, Alabama would face Michigan and Notre Dame would clash with Clemson. That is due in part to LSU losing as the Wolverines and Fighting Irish both moved up one slot in the CFP rankings. Michigan faces monster pups, Rutgers and Indiana, prior to heading to the Horseshoe to face #10 Ohio State to close out their regular season. Notre Dame hosts Florida State, then meets #13 Syracuse at Yankee Stadium, before a cross-county trip to face the mediocre USC Trojans in California.
“Michigan -41.5 (+155) at Bet365 is tempting - Rutgers may get shutout”
Michigan and Notre Dame have both had a nice season and winning out would most likely earn them a Final Four berth. Smothering defense is leading the Wolverines (13.6) journey, as they are a close second behind Clemson (13.3) with the stingiest scoring defense of the remaining contenders. Alabama (14.1) is right in the mix sitting third, while Notre Dame (19.3) has a decent number but is well off the pace. That’s said, beyond the Tide and Tigers earning CFP berths, the last two participants are still to be determined.
Feeling Ohio State would put up some “style points” to impress the CFP Committee proved to be wishful thinking, as the Buckeyes defense buckled during the second and fourth quarter of their 36-31 home win over Nebraska. Although our parlay was already busted, Houston losing 45-31 straight up to SMU at -13.5 humbled us a little further. Giving back to the books the last two weeks, we look to regain our winning ways with West Virginia -9.5 (-143) over TCU + Iowa State -13.5 (-175) over Baylor online at Bet365.
Final Scores: West Virginia 47-10 + Iowa State 28-14 NET: +167.03
“Playoffs are a longshot – A New Year’s Day Six Bowl berth is not for UCF”
Bonus Parlay Pick: Making it 21 straight, UCF won 52-40 on the road vs a decent Temple team last week. Navy, who have lost six straight including a 42-0 clubbing in Cincinnati last week, is next up and the Midshipmen are playing a third straight road game. Prior to facing #13 Syracuse at Yankee Stadium next weekend, and then on the road vs USC, Notre Dame plays their final home game against a sinking Florida State squad. We are backing UCF -20.5 (-175) + Notre Dame -13.5 (-163) at the world famous Bet365 online sportsbook.
Final Scores: UCF 35-24 + Notre Dame 42-13 NET: (-100)
NCAAF National Championship Odds Refresh: 9:00 PM ET on Friday, November 9, 2018.
09/11/18 College Football Playoff Contenders Recommended Sportsbooks Odds
Bookmakers Note: UCF Knights replace LSU on NCAAF Championship futures boards.
Please Note: # Indicates current AP Poll position. Numbers in brackets are Coaches Poll Top 25 rankings at 9:00 PM ET on 09/11/18. New IN: West Virginia New OUT: Kentucky
02/11/18 Week 10 NCAAF Update and Parlay Pick
Largely instep, with the top 16 teams in the top 25 Associated Press and Coaches polls, the first official rankings were released by the College Football Playoff Committee on 30/10/18. Similarities end after though as the bottom of the CPF rankings include teams that are not even on futures boards at many top online sportsbooks anymore. There will be five more chances, for teams to sway the judges, as a new poll will be posted every Tuesday until Selection Sunday (02/12/18) when the Final Four will be announced.
Locked in, barring a disaster, Alabama continues to lead the way as the Crimson Tide top all polls and are runaway chalk at NCAAF focused sportsbooks. Alabama faces a test in Death Valley this weekend – though we’re not sure how big it will be as Tua Tagovailoa & Crew are -14 point chalk vs #3 LSU. The Tigers are 7-1, while playing five Top 25 teams, but none of them compare to Alabama. The only team they have both played was Ole Miss and the Tide won 62-7 on the road while the Tigers won 45-16 at home.
“Initial College Football Playoff rankings point to Alabama vs Clemson rematch”
Clemson sits as second favorites across the board and a repeat of the 2018 National Championship, won 24-6 by the Tide, appears to be looming. QB Trevor Lawrence and the Tigers host Louisville, who have lost five straight, before visiting #22 Boston College and then closing out vs Duke and South Carolina at home. Clemson has ripped off three wins, by a 163-2 count, their next three matches won’t be much of an issue and no squads in the Coastal Conference will challenge them in the ACC Championship.
LSU is third ranked by the committee, but online bookmakers don’t see much of a future for the Tigers as they are forecasting a loss vs Alabama which would mean Louisiana, who have quad digit prices, would need to win out and get a ton of help to make the final four. We are with the books that LSU won’t make the playoff party. Bodog is showing a lot of respect towards Notre Dame as they have the current #4 playoff ranked Fighting Irish at +500 while everyone else has them at a +1000 money line.
“High priced Kentucky and Washington State do not deserve any CFP betting bucks”
Just outside the official top four rankings, the Committee and online bookmakers closely rank Michigan and Georgia. With their prices hovering around +1400 the Wolverines and Bulldogs are joined by Ohio State, even though the Buckeyes sit tenth in the playoff poll. With their best value in brackets, Oklahoma (+2200) Washington State (+10000) and Kentucky (15000) also made the top ten. The Sooners may make the Final Four, if they win out, but we wouldn’t buy in on the Cougars or Wildcats.
In addition to the #1 Crimson Tide vs #3 LSU tussle; #5 Michigan comes off a BYE and hosts #14 Penn State in a Big Ten East showdown at the Big House in Ann Arbor. The Wolverines need a win to keep their Final Four hopes alive – plus they still have to get past Ohio State in Columbus during their regular season ending match. We should get a clearer picture of how good #9 Kentucky is as the Wildcats host #6 Georgia in Lexington with the winner most likely meeting Alabama in the SEC championship.
Texas and Texas A&M let us down last week as our parlay record fell back to even at 5-5 and dropped the return on our accumulators to +696.78 this season. Backing a pair decent but not great squads, who were both playing in hostile territory, was not a good plan. Our Week 10 parlay pick features Ohio State -19 (-120) over Nebraska and Houston -13.5 (-120) over SMU. The Buckeyes need impressive wins down the stretch and the Cougars have corralled the Mustangs by a 39-19 average final during four straight wins.
Final Scores: Ohio State 36-31+ SMU 45-31 NET: (-100)
NCAAF National Championship Odds Refresh: 7:30 PM ET on Friday, November 2, 2018.
USA College Football Playoff Top Ten Contenders Recommended Sportsbooks Odds
Please Note: Teams listed by College Football Playoff rankings. # Indicates current AP Poll position. Brackets are Coaches Poll Top 25 rankings at 7:30 PM ET on 02/11/18. New IN: Kentucky, Washington State, Ohio State. New OUT: Texas, Florida, and UCF.
26/10/18 Week 9 NCAAF Update and Parlay Pick
Welcome to Week 9 of the 2018-18 NCAA football season as there is palpable excitement in the air. That is primarily due to the first official College Football Playoff rankings now just four days away from being released on October 30, 2018. That, plus the fact that top online bookmakers have pared down their National Championship contender lists, signals the start of what should be a crazy five weeks of football prior to the Conference Championship clashes. Those contests play out 30/11/18 and 01/12/18.
Remaining far and away ahead of the pack, Alabama crushed Tennessee 58-21 on the road during Week 8 action. Facing their final test, prior to the SEC Championship game, the Crimson Tide roll into Death Valley to battle LSU next Saturday. After that, eventual Heisman Trophy winner QB Tua Tagovailoa & Crew face a sinking Mississippi State squad, The Citadel (why?) and Auburn. The Tide have trailed for just three plays this season as Ole Miss lead 7-0 after their first drive before getting crushed 62-7 in Week 3.
“Chalk lines may shrink when the NCAAF playoff rankings are released on 30/10/18”
Priced at (-200) across the board, at our four NCAAF focused sportsbooks, Alabama is well clear of Clemson who are second chalk with odds between +500 and +600. Since their close call vs Syracuse, a wobbly 27-23 Week 5 victory, the Tigers whacked Wake Forest (63-3) and then posted an impressive 41-7 win over previously unbeaten #16 North Carolina State. The Clemson schedule has been just as easy as Alabama’s and a repeat of the 2018 NCAAF Championship clash is certainly possible at this point.
Rankings are muddled after that as Notre Dame, Michigan, LSU and Georgia are all priced fairly close with lines ranging from +1100 to +1600. Part of the reason those teams are bunched is due to Ohio State getting shocked by unranked Purdue as the Boilermakers rolled the Buckeyes 49-20 in West Lafayette. Our NCAAF title calls of Wisconsin and Ohio State are both in serious trouble now. While our Badgers ticket is basically trash – should the Buckeyes win the Big Ten Championship we still have some hope.
“Notre Dame is now +650 at Bodog – We continue to avoid the Fighting Irish”
While big guns like Alabama, Michigan and LSU are on a BYE, there are a few “big” games on the Week 9 NCAAF schedule. After a much needed BYE, #7 Georgia looks to rebound from their dismal 36-16 Week 8 loss, on the road to LSU, as the Bulldogs return home to host #9 Florida. The winner will still have SEC Championship game hopes. Looking to keep their PAC-12 Championship hopes alive, #14 Washington State visits #24 Sanford and, in another high profile contest, #18 Iowa visits #17 Penn State.
Our Week 8 parlay pick cashed with UCF (-21.5) and Iowa (-9) who covered their ATS lines vs East Carolina and Maryland. The Knights cover was “lucky” but that helped offset on Week 7 NFL bad beat during the Giants @ Falcons contest. Pushing our record to 5-4, our nine parlay picks have produced a +768.78 return and, with five weeks to go, guarantees a profitable 2018 regular season. On our Week 9 parlay we are backing Texas A&M (-105) over Mississippi State plus Texas -2.5 (-157) over Oklahoma State.
Final Scores: Mississippi State 28-13 + Oklahoma State 38-35 NET: (-100)
26/10/18 NCAAF AP Poll Top Ten Contenders Odds At CSB Recommended Sportsbooks
NCAAF National Championship Odds Refresh: 3:30 PM ET on Friday, October 26, 2018.
Please Note: Brackets Numbers are Coaches Poll Top 25 rankings at 3:30 PM ET on 26/10/18. New IN: Florida. New OUT: Ohio State = Buckeyes remain in Coaches Poll with #9 ranking.
19/10/18 Week 8 NCAAF Update and Parlay Pick
Plates shifted, following Week 7 NCAAF action, as highly rated teams stumbled during what was a crazy segment in US College football. With several AP Top Ten teams losing outright, including #2 Georgia, #6 West Virginia, #7 Washington and #8 Penn State, we have changes in the all-important top four rankings. Continuing to lead the way, #1 Alabama posted their lowest point total of the season as the Crimson Tide defeated Missouri 39-10 in Tuscaloosa. The defending Champs remain well ahead of the pack.
Heading into Week 7 with the #2 ranking, Georgia wilted as the Bulldogs dropped to #8 after the LSU Tigers overwhelmed them during a 36-16 loss in Death Valley. Ohio State started slow but then pulled away as the Buckeyes shutout Minnesota in the second half and posted 30-14 victory. That was enough to move Ohio State into the second slot in the AP and Coaches Top 25 polls. Clemson faced another cupcake squad as they whacked Wake Forest, 63-3 in North Carolina, and the Tigers moved up one spot into third.
“Alabama vs Ohio State is our National Championship call heading into Week 8"
Far from impressive, Notre Dame survived a scare at home as the Fighting Irish posted lackluster 19-14 win over the Pittsburgh Panthers. The Irish round out the coveted Top Four, but one has to wonder how the Playoff Committee will view their Week 7 performance when they post their first official rankings on October 30, 2018. With the dust settled, Alabama remains as clear-cut National Championship chalk with tiny (-138) line at Bet365. Ohio State and Clemson are tied (+600) as second favorites. Believers in Notre Dame, we are not in that crowd, can buy the Irish at a (+1400) best price at Bet365.
After the top four, there is a logjam of five one-loss teams and any of them can still earn a playoff berth – should they run the table. While we still view them as suspect, Michigan holds the best hope of getting into the Final Four as the Wolverines would get serious consideration if they win out. That run would include defeating #24 Michigan State this weekend and upending Ohio State on the road in Week 12. A win over the Spartans is certainly plausible but we can’t see Michigan beating the Buckeyes in Columbus.
Week 7 Parlay Free Pick Review and Week 8 Selections
We took a tumble of our own in Week 7, as we were way off base with our Georgia and Wisconsin calls. Not sure which selection was worse; the Bulldogs lost outright as -6.5 favorites against the Tigers while the Badgers couldn’t stay within the +10.5 spread versus the Wolverines. Although the loss drops our parlay picks to a 4-4 mark – our selections are still sitting with a +232.32 overall profit during the 2018 NCAAF season. Looking to get back on a winning track - the Week 8 slate is packed with tons of intriguing matchups.
"Wager on all sports >>> Check out Canada Sports Betting free expert picks"
Our Week 8 accumulator opens with the Maryland at Iowa matchup. The numbers are lopsided here as the Terrapins are 4-10 ATS on the road while the Hawkeyes are 7-1 ATS over their last eight games anywhere. Lay the -9 (-110) and back Bowl bound Iowa. Central Florida over East Carolina is the second leg of our parlay. The Knights have won 19 straight while the Pirates have lost two in a row by an average 45-13 final score – which seems about right here as well. We are laying the -21.5 (-110) and backing the Knights.
Final Scores: Iowa Hawkeyes 23-0 + UCF Knights 37-10 NET: +264.46
NCAAF National Championship Odds Refresh: 9:00 PM ET on Friday, October 19, 2018.
19/10/18 NCAAF AP Poll Top Ten Contenders Odds At CSB Recommended Sportsbooks
Please Note: Numbers in brackets are Coaches Poll Top 25 rankings at 9:00 PM ET on 19/10/18. New IN: Michigan, LSU, Oklahoma. New OUT: West Virginia, Washington, Penn State.
12/10/18 Week 7 NCAAF Update and Parlay Pick
Heading into the second half of the 2018 NCAAF season, and nearing the first official playoff rankings release, welcome to Week 7 of the US College Football campaign. As has been the case, throughout the first half, top NCAAF bookmakers have Alabama and then everyone else on their National Championship betting boards. The Crimson Tide (6-0) have rolled through the first six contests, largely against inferior teams, with a perfect record and have outscored their opponents by a ridiculous 336-96 combined final count.
Perhaps due to allowing 31 points to Arkansas, which is 27 above their 13 PPG season average, Bet365 bookmakers left the Alabama price (-138) unchanged on their futures board. That line matches the Betway odds while SportsInteraction (-250) and Bodog (-185) both lowered their odds on the Crimson Tide. Beyond the prohibitive chalk, Clemson fell a little further behind as the Tigers line (+550 to +650) was bumped up a Benjamin. Clemson faces a litmus test this weekend as they host #20 NC State Wolfpack.
"If you like Alabama (-138) as National Champs >>> Purchase them now at Bet365"
Holding steady, Ohio State and Georgia remain tied as third chalk with a +700 money line. Already with two wins vs Top 15 teams, the Buckeyes (6-0) have bashed their opponents by a 49-20 average final score. Heisman Trophy longshot QB Dwayne Haskins & Crew don't face a Top 25 team until their regular season finale vs #12 Michigan on 24/11/18. Opening a challenging run, beginning in Death Valley with a match vs #13 LSU, the Bulldogs next four contests are against teams that are AP ranked #21 or better. A brutal run indeed.
Notre Dame (+2500 to +1800) and Michigan (N/C +2000) are battling for the fifth favorite spot at Bet365 as both squads attempt to claw their way into one of the four College Football Playoff positions. The Fighting Irish posted a 45-23 road win over #24 Virginia Tech while the Wolverines defeated unranked Maryland 42-21 at the Big House during Week 6 action. Notre Dame doesn't face a ranked opponent the rest of the way. Michigan, in addition to Ohio State, still has #15 Wisconsin and #8 Penn State left on their slate.
We pushed our weekly parlay record to 4-3 during Week 6 as we posted a ATS cover win by Florida State plus a win and cover by Hawaii. The Seminoles lost by one point as +14.5 dogs while the Rainbow Warriors scored a late TD to cover their -2 ATS line. The second-leg victory was good for our bankroll though rough on the heart. While not as far into the green as we should be, due to some embarrassing single bets, we sit with a +332.32 balance heading into Week 7. We are swearing off single match bets the rest of the way.
Checking the Week 7 offerings, we find some big games on the slate as #2 Georgia @ #13 LSU, #7 Washington @ #17 Oregon, plus #15 Wisconsin @ #12 Michigan are heavyweight fights. We are jumping in on two of those games as we like Bulldogs -6.5 (-134) taking a bite out of the Tigers in their showdown at Death Valley. After losing to #22 Florida, 27-19 last week, LSU plummeted from #5 to #13 leaving the Cats playoff hopes at slim to none. The second leg of our accumulator is the Badgers +10.5 (-125) vs the Wolverines.
Final Scores: LSU Tigers 36-16 + Michigan Wolverines 38-13 Net: (-100)
NCAAF National Championship Odds Refresh: 7:30 PM ET on Friday, October 12, 2018.
12/10/18 NCAAF AP Poll Top Ten Contenders Odds At CSB Recommended Sportsbooks
Please Note: Numbers in brackets are official Coaches Poll Top 25 rankings at 7:30 PM ET on October 12, 2018. New IN: Penn State, Texas, UCF. New OUT: Oklahoma, Auburn, LSU.
05/10/18 Week 6 NCAAF Update and Parlay Pick
Nearing the half-mile pole, of the 2018 NCAA Football season, we feel like “tapping on the glass” to see if top ranked US College football bookmakers are OK. That is especially true at Bet365 as 18 of their Top 25 teams went without a price move week over week. Alabama retains overall chalk status as the Crimson Tide (-138) line held firm. Despite struggling in Week 5, barley sneaking past unranked Syracuse 27-23, Clemson remains as the second favorite though the Tigers price (+500 to +550) was inflated slightly.
Following a come from behind win, over then #8 Penn State, we are surprised that Ohio State didn’t experience a price change. That’s especially true when one considers that the Nittany Lions price plummeted from +2800 to +6600. Instead, the Buckeyes (+700) stay in a third favorite tie with Georgia after the Bulldogs trounced Tennessee 38-12. Michigan (+2000) plus Notre Dame and Oklahoma (+2500) Washington (+2800) Miami (+4000) and LSU (+5000) round out the current top ten contenders at the Bet365 sportsbook.
"Avoid the Michigan Wolverines as a 2019 NCAAF National Championship choice"
Michigan losing value (+2500 to +2000) is peculiar as the Wolverines barely slipped past Northwestern 20-17 on 29/09/18. We would avoid backing the Maize & Blue on National Championship futures bets – especially since they dropped their Week 1 clash versus then #12 Notre Dame 24-17. We should have stayed away from Michigan on the road last week as they failed to cover the -13.5 spread against the Wildcats. That loss sent our parlay ticket to the trash can – after we bagged the UCF Knights 45-14 pummelling of Pitt.
Week 6 features three matches involving squads currently ranked in the Top 25 as #19 Texas @ #7 Oklahoma, #5 LSU @ #22 Florida, plus #6 Notre Dame @ #24 Virginia Tech, help spice up the Saturday NCAAF action. We are going to stay away from those battles as we open our Week 6 parlay ticket with Florida State +14.5 (-125) vs Miami at 3:30 PM ET at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, FL. We are going way off the map for our second leg as we like Hawaii -2 (-110) over Wyoming in their clash at Aloha Stadium at 10:00 PM MT.
Final Scores: Miami Hurricanes 28-27 + Hawaii Rainbow Warriors 17-13 Net: +243.64
Bonus Single Bet: Syracuse Orange -3 (-110) over Pittsburgh Panthers (12:20 PM ET)
Final Score: Panthers 44-37 (OT) Net: (-100)
NCAAF National Championship Odds: Updated at 8:30 PM ET on 05/10/18.
05/10/18 NCAAF AP Poll Top Ten Contenders Odds @ Betway Sportsbook
- #1 Alabama (1) +137 to +110
- #2 Georgia (2) +500 to +600
- #3 Ohio State (3) +600 to +600
- #4 Clemson (4) +400 to +600
- #5 LSU (6) +3300 to N/C
- #6 Notre Dame (7) +2000 to +1800
- #7 Oklahoma (5) +2000 to +1600
- #8 Auburn (9) +4000 to +4000
- #9 West Virginia (8) New +4000
- #10 Washington (10) New +2500
Please Note: # in brackets are official Coaches Poll Top 25 rankings at 8:30 PM ET on 05/10/18. OUT: Penn State + Stanford IN: West Virginia + Washington. Betway, who are top providers of exciting LIVE sports betting options daily, supply our Week 6 odds.
28/09/18 Week 5 NCAAF Update and Parlay Pick
LSU jumping over Oklahoma, from sixth to fifth place, plus Penn State switching the nine and ten spots with Auburn, are the only changes on our Top Ten list below. That said, US College Football bookmakers have moved the lines considerably at the sportsbooks we recommend here at Canada Sports Betting. Continuing to resemble the CFL Stampeders, Alabama moved further away from the field as their title line (+137 to -138) fell back into negative territory at the Bet365 sportsbook. It is difficult to find faults in the Heart of Dixie.
Yours truly still believes a team is going to give the Crimson Tide a run - though that likely won't happen until QB Tua Tagovailoa & Crew play in the SEC Championship game on Saturday, December 1, 2018, at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Prior to that, Alabama will face the LSU Tigers in Death Valley (01/11/18) plus Auburn at home in Tuscaloosa (24/11/18) to close out their regular season. At the rate they are rolling, though still a ways off in the distance, we don't see the Tide getting turned away in either of those SEC battles.
Back on track, we cashed in with our West Virginia + Georgia Week 4 parlay ticket. While the Mountaineers mashed Kansas State (35-6) we are more proud of our savvy -13.5 (-132) alternate spread price purchase at SportsInteraction as our line on the Bulldogs. Had we used the standard -14.5 (-110) ATS price - we would have lost our parlay by a half-point as Georgia defeated Missouri (43-29) by just 14 points. Looking at the Week 5 slate, we are backing Central Florida -13 (-110) vs Pitt and Michigan -13.5 (-143) @ Northwestern.
Final Scores: Central Florida Knights 45-14 + Michigan Wolverines 20-17 Net: (-100)
National Championship Odds: From 6:00 PM ET on 21/09/18 to 4:00 PM ET on 28/09/18.
05/10/18 NCAAF AP Poll Top Ten Contenders Odds At CSB Recommended Sportsbooks
Numbers in brackets are Coaches Poll Top 25 rankings at 3:30 PM ET on 28/09/18.
21/09/18 Week 4 NCAAF Update and Parlay Pick
Steady as she goes was the mantra following Week 3 NCAA Football action. Wisconsin, our preseason National Championship pick (gulp) and Florida are the most notable changes, as both teams have suffered embarrassing losses to unranked teams - at home no less. Following their Week 3 wilting, 24-21 vs BYU, the Badgers (+2000 to +3300) fell from fifth to ninth favorites at Bet365. It took few days, after they lost 27-16 to visiting Kentucky in Week 2, but the Gators have fallen off both Top 25 polls and the Bet365 futures board.
University of Central Florida (UCF) makes their first ever appearance on the Canada Sports Betting Top 25 futures table. Residing in the American Athletic Conference, a Division I Football Bowl Subdivision, the Knights don't play a Power Five type schedule but UCF has now won 18 straight games. That includes a 62-55 OT mash-up vs #20 Memphis in the ACC Championship and a 34-27 victory over #7 Auburn in the 2018 Peach Bowl. Stay away from the Knights as NCAA National Champs as they won't be a Final Four articipant.
We are still 39 days away from the first "official" College Football Playoff rankings being released. A textbook "Good Old Boys Club" example is alive here as Rob Mullens leads a Crew of twelve individuals, with experience as student-athletes, coaches, administrators or journalism, who will determine the four playoff squads. Those teams will square off in the Orange and Cotton Bowl games on December 29, 2018, and the winners will advance to the National Championship on January 8, 2019, at Levis Stadium in Santa Clara, CA.
National Championship Add: Ohio State Buckeyes (+700) at Betway Sportsbook.
We took a step back as our numbers deflated following Week 3 action. We won the first half of our parlay comfortably, Penn State crushed Kent State 63-10 as -35 point chalk, but we stumbled badly with the Badgers as our second leg. To make matters worse, we doubled down at halftime and lost that wager as well. Hindsight is 20/20 but we should have gone the other way and accepted the push. Sports betting lessons can be expensive - we have banked the reminder that stubborn fishing expeditions rarely end well.
Being as just nine of 62 NCAAF Top 25 matches have featured teams that were both ranked at the time, it is still difficult to separate the National Championship contenders and pretenders. While our parlay picks always feature Saturday games - we are disappointed that missed out on two key Friday contests. Our Week 4 parlay is the #12 West Virginia Mountaineers -13.5 (-192) vs Kansas State Wildcats and #2 Georgia Bulldogs -13.5 (-132) over the Missouri Tigers with the alternate prices posted at SportsInteraction.
Final Scores: Georgia Bulldogs 43-29 + West Virginia Mountaineers 35-6 Net: +167.30
21/09/18 NCAAF AP Poll Top Ten Contenders At CSB Recommended Bookmakers
National Championship Odds: From 2:30 PM ET on 14/09/18 to 6:00 PM ET on 21/09/18.
Numbers in brackets are Coaches Poll Top 25 rankings at 6:30 PM ET on 21/09/18.
14/09/18 Week 3 NCAAF Update and Parlay Pick
Heading into Week 3, of the 2018-19 US College Football Season, the Bet365 National Championship futures board did not lose any squads from our last update on 08/09/18. Price changes were prevalent though as Alabama has moved further away from the pack. With another cupcake contest under their belt, a 57-7 mauling of the Arkansas State Red Wolves, the Crimson Tide (+190 to +125) lost value at Bet365. Bettors believing Alabama will win the 2019 NCAAF title, can roll with the Tide at a (+210) best value at the Bodog sportsbook.
Teams staying steady, plus others gaining value, is the mantra after that as Clemson (+450 to +550) had a price increase while Ohio State and Georgia (+800) retained third chalk status at Bet365. Despite a pair of blowouts, by a combined 79-17 count vs non-conference foes, Wisconsin (+1600 to +2000) saw their title line balloon. Rounding out the top five, Oklahoma held steady with a (+2200) NCAAF Championship futures price. We don't see much changing in those rankings as each team gets another unranked opponent this weekend.
Our Week 2 parlay was on point as we laid reasonable ATS lines and bagged wins with Mississippi State and Stanford. Neither game was all that close after Kansas State and USC entered Week 2 action as slightly over-rated squads. Looking at the Week 3 slate, Penn State -35 (-110) at SportsInteraction, will roll against Kent State in a Noon EDT contest at Beaver Stadium. Back Wisconsin, over BYU, as the second leg as the Badgers -23 (-110) price at Bodog looks a little short in their clash with the Cougars at Camp Randall Stadium in Madison, WI.
BYU vs Wisconsin Halftime Wager: Badgers -9.5 (-120) @ Betway (5:00 PM EDT 15/09/18)
Week 3 Final Scores: Penn State 63-10 + BYU 24-21 Net (-200)
14/09/18 NCAAF Top Ten Contenders At CSB Recommended Bookmakers
Numbers in brackets are Coaches Poll Top 25 rankings on September 14, 2018.
08/09/18 Week 2 NCAAF Update and Parlay Pick
US College Football is in full swing as each team has now played at least one game. Price changes were prevalent, following the Week 1 action, though 24 of the top 25 contenders stayed on the Bet365 NCAAF Championship board. The lone team getting dumped was UCLA has the Bruins lost at home 26-17 to the unranked Cincinnati Bearcats who are carrying a (+100K) NCAAF title price. Mississippi State moves into the Bet365 Top 25 as the Bulldogs are in a group of seven teams at the bottom of with a (+6600) money line.
Alabama, who opened their season by rolling past Louisville 51-14, remain as top chalk as the Crimson Tide experienced a price drop (+225 to +190) at Bet365. Alabama doesn't face a "contender" until they head into Death Valley to face the current #11 LSU Tigers on November 3, 2018. If you like Nick Saban & Crew, to win it all in January, buy the Tide now as they are headed to a negative number very soon. Clemson (+450) plus Ohio State and Georgia, who both have a +800 line, round out the "Big Four" who are still priced in triple digits.
Rushing into our first two selections this season (apologies for that) we opened with a single bet and parlay loss. We came back strong, and moved the bankroll back into positive territory, with our UNLV + South Carolina winning parlay ticket. Our lone play this week is a parlay that features Mississippi State -6.5 (-115) over Kansas State (08/09/18 @ Noon ET) as the first leg of our ticket. Heading out west, we are betting against USC again as we are taking Stanford -5.5 (-110) at home in contest that goes at 8:30 PM ET in Palo Alta.
Week 2 Final Scores: Mississippi State 31-10 + Stanford 17-3 Net: +256.92
31/08/18 Week 1 NCAAF Update and Parlay Pick
6:30 PM ET: Already out of the gate, with four games last week plus a thick 30/08/18 slate, the race to the 2019 NCAAF National Championship is on. Of matches already played, #21 UCF picked up where they off last year (13-0) as the Knights crushed the UConn Huskies 56-17. A second Top 25 squad gets rolling tonight as #11 Michigan State opens at home vs Utah State at 7:00 PM ET. While we won't include them in our parlay this week, due to time constraints, we are backing the Spartans at -23.5 (-110) over the Aggies at Bet365.
9:30 AM EDT: Welcome to the first full Saturday of US College Football, which is arguably the best pigskin action on the Planet. Future NFL stars play full throttle from start to finish during every regular season match. That's fantastic from a bettor's perspective as monster spreads are often covered by teams that "pile on" to impress the NCAAF Playoff Selection Committee. That played out in the Knights vs Huskies contest as UCF scored twice in the fourth quarter, pushing the score to 56-10, while cruising to a -24 point cover.
As will be the case each week this season - today we deliver a Free Pick parlay on games carefully selected as the best of the bunch. In order to set up possible hedge opportunities, our selection will usually feature an early and late game from the full Saturday slate. Kicking off at Noon EDT, we see South Carolina (-29.5 -110 at SIA) cruising past Coastal Carolina as the first leg of our ticket. While an outright win is a longshot, we like the UNLV Running Rebels (+26 -110 at Bodog) to stay within the line vs the USC Trojans at 4:00 PM EDT on 01/09/18.
Week 1 Final Scores: Michigan State 38-31 / South Carolina 49-15 + USC 43-21 Net: +164.46
24/08/18 Opening NCAAF National Championship Odds
Welcome to the official start of the 2018-19 NCAA US College Football season. While the heavyweights won't invade stadiums across America for another week - the race to the 2019 National Championship Playoffs begins with four low level contests on Saturday, August 25, 2018. Five FSB 1-A squads, though not very highly ranked, are part of the "First Saturday" as 1-A Subdivision squads Duquesne and Prairie View visit UMass (107) and Rice (128) at 5:30 PM and 7:00 PM ET respectively. Prices are off the board on both of those contests.
Up next, Hawaii (121) rolls into the Rocky Mountains to face Colorado State (91) and Wyoming (83) wanders straight south to battle New Mexico State (114) at Aggie Memorial Stadium. While we don't like jumping on donkeys, tying the Cowboys (-170) and Rams (-600) together is our first parlay of the new NCAAF campaign. Those not prepared to jump in just yet - this is your last chance to get in on the richest National Championship odds. Bodog is rather radical when it comes to prices as their bookmakers are offering generous lines on several Top Ten contenders.
Canuck 'Capers can also wager on which teams will win the 28 Divisional Championships. The Power Five Conferences feature some clear cut favorites but there also a couple tight races projected. Not surprising, Alabama (-120) is ahead of Georgia (+295) to claim the SEC, Washington (EVEN) tops USC (+400) as the Pac-12 leader and Clemson (-195) owns a huge gap on Miami Florida (+550) in the ACC. Ohio State (-105) is top chalk over Wisconsin (+225) in the Big Ten while Oklahoma (+130) and Texas (+325) are the Big 12 top two.
Final Scores: Wyoming Cowboys 29-7 + Hawaii Rainbow Warriors 43-34 Net: (-100)
Conference Title Results: Huskies win Pac-12 + Tigers win ACC = NET: +151.28
24/08/18 NCAAF Top Ten Contenders At CSB Recommended Bookmakers
18/08/18 Final NCAF Preseason Futures Update
Feeling like yesterday, when Nick Saban and the Alabama Crimson Tide hoisted the 2017-18 National Championship Trophy, 222 days have passed since our last taste of US College Football action. That drought ends soon as the 2019 title game race begins on August 25, 2018. Though lacking Top 25 contenders - there are four contests on the NCAAF Opening Saturday slate. Still researching the matches, like the Hawai'i Rainbows Warriors vs Colorado State Rams game, we will be back with our first wagers of the new season on 24/08/10.
In the meantime, checking Bet365 NCAAF 2019 National Championship futures odds, we see the Champs remain as top chalk. Despite losing a Southeastern Conference record 12 players, including DB Minkah Fitzpatrick who went 11th OA to Miami, Alabama (+225) are favorites to go back-to-back after the Tide rolled to a 26-23 OT victory vs the Georgia Bulldogs on February 8, 2018. A football factory, Alabama has now lost all 11 defensive starters from their 2016 opening game roster during the last two NFL Entry Drafts.
Early in the season, we are taking a wait and see approach on the new look Saban Crew. Clemson has moved up to second chalk as the 2017 Champion Tigers Bet365 line (+800 to +600) lost one-quarter of its value. Despite the Urban Meyer scandal hovering overhead, Ohio State's third favorite line (+700) remains unchanged since the opening odds were posted on 15/01/18. Georgia's line (+800) also held steady while Michigan gained some value (+1000 to +1100) to round out the Top Five preseason contenders. Next Update: 24/08/18.
Final Preseason NCAAF Championship Thoughts: We still like our Wisconsin call.
15/01/18 National Championship Opening Odds
Congratulations to Nick Saban and the Alabama Crimson Tide who claimed their fifth US College Football Championship in nine years. Duly noting that Tide legend Paul Bryant won his record six titles in Tuscaloosa, Saban joins Bear thanks to five titles with Alabama and one with the LSU Tigers. Similar to the Titans NFL Wild Card win over the Chiefs, it was a tale of two halves as Alabama fought back from a 13-0 halftime deficit. We've seen this act before.
Rolling to a 20-7 margin in the second half, Tide WR DeVonta Smith caught a 41-tard pass from backup QB Tua Tagovailoa to earn the Crimson Tide a 26-23 OT victory. Georgia stalled after a decent first half, and settled for a field goal in OT, but the Dawgs stayed under the -4 (-110) ATS price at SportsInteraction. With the score 20-20 after four quarters, the 45.5 O/U line was pushed OVER by the TD in OT. Are Saban and Bill Belichick the same person?
With champagne spray settled, from New Year's Eve and the 2018 National Championship match, it's time to look towards the 2019 title fight, on January 7, at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, CA. Led by the Champs (+225), plenty of usual suspects grace the Bet365 NCAAF futures board. Ohio State (+700) Georgia and Clemson (+800) plus Michigan (+1000) round out the Top Five opening odds list. Check back in mid-August for weekly NCAAF updates.
Opening Odds Advice: Our first investment is on the Wisconsin (+2500) price @ Bet365.
NCAAF 2017-18 Futures & Free Pick Results
03/01/18 National Championship Odds Update
One final fight, this one for all the marbles, remains on the 2017 USA College Football slate. Following their respective Rose Bowl and Sugar Bowl victories, #3 Georgia will battle #4 Alabama in the NCAAF National Championship game on January 8, 2018. Mercedes-Benz Stadium, in Atlanta, GA, hosts the title match and kickoff is scheduled for 8:00 PM ET. The Bulldogs posted a massive comeback during their 54-48 (2OT) victory over the #2 ranked Oklahoma Sooners and the Crimson Tide rolled over the #1 ranked Clemson Tigers 24-6.
Happy we backed up our Oklahoma National Championship ticket, which is now trash, we are not very excited about the Dawgs chances. If you have been following our advice, you have a shot at a 1400 unit return if Georgia wins and a -600 loss if Alabama takes the title. Being as the Tide are -185 money line chalk at Bet365, there isn't much room to guarantee a profit. If you want to eliminate the loss risk, like we are doing, backing Alabama with 1200 units will earn a 48.65 return on 'Bama and a 200 unit profit if the Dawgs roll past the Tide.
Final Score: Alabama Crimson Tide 26-23 (OT)
Bankers Note: This hedge saved the investments in Oklahoma (200) and Georgia (400).
30/12/17 NCAA Football Semi-Final Playoff Update
NCAA College Football Bowl season is winding down and the playoffs are about to hit center stage. The 104th Rose Bowl hosts the first semi-final clash featuring #2 Oklahoma Sooners vs #3 Georgia Bulldogs at 5:00 PM ET on January 1, 2018. That is followed by #1 Clemson and #4 Alabama playing in a trilogy tussle when the Tigers and Crimson Tide meet in the 84th Sugar Bowl at 6:45 PM ET. Bet365 bookmakers have left their title odds unchanged as Alabama continues to lead the way as top chalk - despite key injuries.
As mentioned a few times this season - the Crimson Tide rolled through a largely cream-puff filled schedule that included the likes of Mercer, Vanderbilt, Tennessee and Arkansas who had a combined 18-29 record this season. Plus, the Tide have key injuries on defense and they get a red-hot Clemson Crew in the semi-finals. We understand the experience and skill 'Bama head coach Nick Saban brings to the table but we don't see that being enough to get Alabama their fourth National Championship in seven years. View our semi-final picks here.
National Championship Hedge Bet: Georgia Bulldogs (+400) 4-Units at Bet365
09/12/17 NCAAF Heisman Trophy Presentation Update
Except for the Army vs Navy clash, a rivalry battle that began way back in 1890, all is quiet on the NCAAF front for the first time since the season opened on August 26, 2017. Apart from that, the other big US College football event today is the announcement of the Heisman Trophy winner in New York. Forecast to be one of the biggest landslide wins ever, Oklahoma Sooners QB Baker Mayfield is expected to take home the hardware. Mayfield, who we selected as a +701 underdog in the preseason, is now a monster -3300 favorite at Bet365.
Louisville QB Lamar Jackson, who won the award last season, and Stanford RB Bryce Love are the other two finalist and they both have a gaudy +1400 money line price at Bet365. Taking a quick look back on the 2017 regular season, we are proud of our numbers as our two team parlays finished with a profit taking 7-8 mark. We also posted a 21-10-2 ATS record and went 31-2-0 on our 33 straight up selections. Additionally, our Oklahoma (+1400) NCAAF National Championship call is still alive and the Final Four Playoffs begin on January 1, 2018.
Breaking 9:00 PM ET: Congratulations QB Baker Mayfield 2017 Heisman Trophy Winner.
01/12/17 NCAAF Conference Championship Weekend Predictions
Conference Final Weekend is upon us and the Power Five title games could all have an affect on the Final Four NCAAF Playoff rankings. Being as no school that plays outside of the SEC, Big 12, ACC, Big Ten or, to a lessor degree the Pac-12, will get to the National Championship Dance - let's focus in on those five battles. The action begins tonight as Levi's Stadium hosts the #10 USC Trojans versus #12 Stanford Cardinal in the Pac-12 Championship title clash.
Pac-12 Championship: USC Trojans over Standford Cardinal -4 (-110) at Bet365
Clashing for the second this season, Stanford looks to avenge their 42-24 loss to USC back on 9/9/17, at the LA Memorial Coliseum. Cardinal RB Bryce Love had 160 rushing yards and one TD while Trojan RB Ronald Jones II showed signs of things to come with 126 total yards and two scores. Stanford (9-3) closed their season with a 38-20 win over Notre Damn while USC (10-2) held off UCLA 28-23. The Trojans need a win and help to make the Final Four.
Final Score: USC Trojans 31-28
Big 12 Championship: Oklahoma Sooners over TCU Horned Frogs -7 (-110) at William Hill
Another match that features a regular season rematch has Oklahoma facing TCU in the Big 12 Championship that goes at 12:30 PM ET at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, TX. The Sooners jumped out to a 31-14 halftime lead and were never challenged by the Horned Frogs during their 38-20 win back on 11/11/17. Leading Heisman Trophy candidate QB Baker Mayfield has never lost to TCU over three games as a Sooner. We see that trend continuing in this match.
Final Score: Oklahoma Sooners 41-17
SEC Championship: Georgia Bulldogs over Auburn Tigers -1 (-105) at SportsInteraction
Meeting for the second time in 22 days, and first time ever in the SEC Championship game, Georgia looks to make up for their only loss of the season - a 40-17 drubbing by Auburn at Jordan–Hare Stadium in Week 11. That loss stymied the Bulldogs National Championship hopes but a win here would put them back on track. A win by Auburn would keep the Tigers in the Final Four. This contest goes at 4:00 PM ET at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, GA.
Final Score: Georgia Bulldogs 28-7
Big Ten Championship: Ohio State Buckeyes over Wisconsin Badgers -6 (-110) at Betway
As the lone undefeated Power Five team, Wisconsin (12-0) can punch their ticket to the Final Four with a win over Ohio State (10-2) in the Big Ten Championship that kicks off at 8:00 PM ET at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, IN. While it does not need to be an overwhelming victory, the Badgers fairly soft regular season schedule means they must win to get into the playoffs while the two-loss Buckeyes need a win and help to get a nod from the Committee.
Final Score: Ohio State 27-21 (PUSH)
ACC Championship: Clemson Tigers over Miami Hurricanes -10 (-110) at Bodog
Feeling pretty good about their season, including their flashy golden Turnover Chain and all, Miami (10-1) fell back to earth with a thud after the Hurricanes lost 24-14 to Pitt last week. Now the 'Canes have to get up off the mat and face defending National Champion Clemson (11-1) in the ACC title contest at 8:00 PM ET on Saturday at Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte, NC. The Tigers lone loss was an ugly one as well as they fell 27-24 in Syracuse.
Final Score: Clemson Tigers 38-3
Best Bet Two-Team Parlay: Oklahoma Sooners (-7) + Clemson Tigers (-10)
30/11/17 Week 14 NCAAF National Championship Futures Odds Update
Welcome to Conference Final Weekend! Quoting Keith Jackson, the voice of US College Football, Whoa, Nellie! Rivalry Week rocked the NCAAF Championship picture right off the wall. We aren't going to spend a lot of time highlighting the changes as the numbers in our futures table above speak for themselves. Following losses by #1 Alabama and #2 Miami last week - the Week 13 rankings from the Playoff Committee has Clemson vs Wisconsin and Auburn vs Oklahoma as the projected Sugar Bowl and Rose Bowl playoff matchups.
Tumbling down the Committee's board, the Crimson Tide (#1 to #5) and Hurricanes (#2 to #7) both need help during Conference Final Saturday to earn a Final Four berth. If they don't get help, we can't see the Committee changing their Week 13 rankings. After three SEC Championship wins, by a combined 125-44 margin, Alabama is on the sidelines cheering for Georgia first and then Ohio State and/or TCU to win their respective games this weekend. A lot would have to happen to get Miami to the Big Dance so it's best to avoid the 'Canes.
It's a muddled mess as illustrated at the top four Canada Sports Betting NCAAF bookmakers. Understanding all of the variances is a difficult task as we have never seen anything quite like this. From the sportsbooks perspective, Auburn is top chalk at Bet3565 and Betway, while Alabama and Oklahoma have the top perch at SIA and Bodog respectively. That in itself is crazy. Wisconsin, the lone undefeated "Power Five" team, is seventh across the board in our image below. We are content with our preseason Oklahoma Sooners prediction at this point.
24/11/17 Week 13 NCAAF National Championship Futures Odds Update
Wishing a very Happy Thanksgiving to our Friends in the United States - we are thankful that NCAAF Rivalry Weekend has arrived! Following a rather dull Week 12 slate, #24 Michigan vs #5 Wisconsin was the lone Top 25 battle, the National Championship Playoff Committee left their postseason rankings pretty much intact. Alabama (10-0) is still on top, Miami (9-0) and Clemson (9-1) flipped the second and third positions, while Oklahoma (10-1) retained the fourth seed. Led by Wisconsin (10-0) the five through ten positions went unchanged.
Bookmakers at SIA didn't move their top three favorites as Alabama (-200) Oklahoma (+500) and Clemson (+800) outscored their highly inferior opponents by a 158-6 final count. Ohio State, priced at +8500 two weeks ago, moves into the fourth favorite slot. That price plunge (+1500 to +800) suggests the Buckeyes will beat the Badgers in the Big Ten Championship and someone in the top four playoff list will stumble. After struggling some versus Virginia, the Cavaliers held a 28-14 third quarter lead, Miami (+800 to +1000) had their line inflated.
CSB Futures Picks Update & NCAAF Week 13 Parlay
Strong out of the gate, our parlay picks continue to be dogged by close non-covers. Colorado State had a 606 to 339 yards edge on offence but the Rams 42-14 win over the San Jose Stats Spartans failed to cover the -32 ATS line. Working both ways at times, we had a close cover as Oklahoma scored 34 unanswered points during their 41-3 win over the Kansas Jayhawks to cover the -37.5 spread by a half point. Oklahoma State losing 45-40 to Kansas Sate crushed our Cowboys title ticket though Oklahoma and TCU (just barley) are still alive.
Positive news shows our parlay bankroll is up 788 units while single bet wagers are 17-8-1 ATS and 24-2-0 S/U. The Cowboys loss was offset when the Sooners went OVER 9.5 regular season wins. If Baker Mayfield doesn't get sacked, for grabbing his sack, we are in solid shape on our preseason Heisman pick as Bet365 currently has Mayfield (-700) as runaway chalk over Lamar Jackson (+500) in that race. Florida Atlantic -21.5 (-110) over Charlotte and Georgia -11 (-110) over Georgia Tech, a pair of road warriors, is our Week 13 parlay.
Final Scores: Florida Atlantic Owls 31-12 + Georgia Bulldogs 38-8
17/11/17 Week 12 NCAAF National Championship Futures Odds Update
Once crowded, with sixty plus teams, the SportsInteraction US College Football futures board has been reduced to just 14 hopefuls. Although upsets can still happen, we suggest looking past the top six squads is probably not wise at this point. Alabama, who rallied late to get past Mississippi State 31-24 last week, retain top chalk status as the Crimson Tide (-200) line went unchanged. After that though, paraphrasing Nobel Laureate Bob Dylan, “the lines they are a-changing” on the third of five NCAAF National Championship playoff ranking lists.
Oklahoma, who were tagged at a monster +4000 NCAAF title line just two weeks ago, have moved into the second favorite position as the Sooners (+1000 to +500) lost half their value. Clemson (+800) held steady but the Miami Hurricanes joined the Tigers in the third chalk spot. After pounding #1 Georgia 40-17 Auburn’s title line fell (+5000 to +1000) while the Bulldogs price (+500 to +1200) was jacked up. Sitting at 10-0 Wisconsin dropped (+2000 to +1200) and the Badgers are on course to meet Ohio State in the Big Ten Championship.
We suffered our first 0-2 ATS mark of the season as Georgia lost outright and Alabama won but failed to cover. While never happy with losses, our ledger is still in the green and our five NCAAF futures wagers are still alive - though the Oklahoma State Cowboys and TCU Horned Frogs picks are barely breathing. Looking at the prices at Bet365, we are laying a couple very thick lines on our Week 12 parlay ticket. We are backing Colorado State -32 (-110) at home over San Jose State and Oklahoma -37.5 (-110) to roll over Kansas on the road in Lawrence.
Final Scores: Colorado State Rams 42-14 + Oklahoma Sooners 41-3
10/11/17 Week 11 NCAAF National Championship Futures Odds Update
How was your weekend last week? We are betting it was better than the one endured by a couple of teams in the Big Ten Conference as Ohio State and Penn State lost to perceived "inferior opponents". Those losses sent the Buckeyes (#6 to #13) and Nittany Lions (#7 to #14) tumbling down the College Football Playoff Rankings list and crushed their National Championship hopes. However, the more things change - the more they stay the same as Alabama (-125 to -200) retained their overall favorite status on our NCAAF futures board.
Georgia, 9-0 in the SEC East, replaces Ohio State as the second seed and the Bulldogs (+900 to +500) lost almost half their value. Notre Dame fended off a late charge by Wake Forest, during a 48-37 home win, and the Fighting Irish (+1800 to +800) moved into the third chalk spot at SportsInteraction. Defending Champion Clemson trailed NC State at halftime but posted a 38-31 win and the Tigers (+1200 to +800) round out the top four contenders. As far as our Week 10 picks go; a backdoor cover stung us for the second time in three weeks.
Futures Betting Update + Bet365 Parlay Pick
Checking our futures tickets, with the Oklahoma vs TCU monster match on tap Saturday, we are riding a fine line. A Sooners win improves the stock of our National Championship call, QB Baker Mayfield Heisman Trophy pick, and the Sooners would be one win from surpassing their 9.5 total line. If the Horned Frogs leap over the Sooners, on the road in Norman, two of the three picks take a hit but TCU (+4000) is revived - somewhat. Oklahoma State still has a razor thin Championship chance but that ticket is teetering on the edge of the trash can rim.
Notre Dame gave up an average of 7.1 second half points during their first eight games but the Demon Deacons scored 27 points over the final 30 minutes and the Irish failed to cover. Oklahoma won a 62-52 thriller vs rival Oklahoma State but it wasn't enough as our parlay record fell to 5-5-1. Still showing a solid profit - we are sporting 16-5-1 ATS and 21-1 S/U marks. Our Week 11 parlay, played at Bet365, has Georgia -2 (-110) taking out Auburn on the road at Jordan–Hare Stadium and Alabama -13.5 (-110) covering at Mississippi State.
Final Scores: Auburn Tigers 40-17 + Alabama Crimson Tide 31-24
03/11/17 Week 10 NCAAF National Championship Futures Odds Update
Currently on a collision course to meet on January 8, 2018, there is Alabama (-120 to -125) Ohio State (+500 to +350) and everyone else on our National Championship betting board. Despite being on a BYE, the Crimson Tide price shrunk ever so slightly heading into Week 10 action. Following their thrilling 39-38 win, vs Big Ten rival Penn State, SportsInteraction bookmakers cut the Buckeyes second favorite odds almost in half. Though it was a tight loss, to a top NCAAF team, the Nittany Lions (+700 to +2500) dropped from third to sixth chalk.
Georgia continues to shine, on both sides of the ball, and their 42-7 gashing of the Florida Gators moved the Bulldogs (+1000 to +900) into third overall. Clemson's pedestrian 24-10 win over the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets raised the Tigers (+1000 to +1200) fourth favorite line. Surprisingly, despite pummelling NC State 35-14, Notre Dame odds went unchanged as the Fighting Irish (+1800) move into the fifth favorite slot. The NCAAF Playoff Committee see things differently however, as they released their first batch of rankings on Halloween night.
Those rankings will determine the Final Four squads and they have Georgia on top followed by Alabama, Notre Dame, Clemson, Oklahoma and Ohio State. Our Week 9 picks called the winning teams (Georgia/Wisconsin) but we lost our parlay wager when the Badgers failed to cover the -27 spread during a 24-10 win against Illinois. The Week 10 slate is huge as seven games feature top-25 squads battling each other. We are taking Oklahoma +1.5 (-110) over Oklahoma State and Notre Dame -14.5 (-110) to roll at home vs Wake Forest.
Final Scores: Oklahoma Sooners 62-52 + Notre Dame Fighting Irish 48-37
27/10/17 Week 9 NCAAF National Championship Futures Odds Update
Anticipating the first of six College Football Playoff rankings, that will come out on October 31, 2017, Week 9 of the NCAAF season is upon us. SportsInteraction have been posting their list since the preseason and their numbers are posted above. As it's been since June, Alabama (-111 to -120) continues to lead the way as the Crimson Tide have rolled through a very simple schedule. Ohio State, who have outscored their last five opponents by a 266-56 margin, retains the second chalk position as the Buckeyes (+500) price went unchanged.
Fresh off a 42-13 mashing of Big Ten rival Michigan, Penn State leaked value as the Nittany Lions third favorite line (+800 to +700) dropped a dime. Licking their wounds during a BYE, after a 27-24 loss to Syracuse in Week 7, Clemson saw their National Championship price (+900 to +1000) increase slightly. Georgia (+1000) held firm and the Bulldogs are tied with the Tigers as fifth favorites. Notre Dame (+1800) who were off our board last week, charged all the way up to the sixth chalk slot. We don’t recommend buying the Fighting Irish odds.
CSB Week 8 picks both won but the South Florida Bulls (-11.5) were outscored 14-0 in the fourth quarter and they failed to cover during a 34-28 win over Tulane. Our other selection, Central Florida, posted a 31-21 victory against Navy. Our parlay picks are up 1179 units as we look at Week 9 action at the Bet365 sportsbook. Solid on both sides of the ball, we see the Georgia Bulldogs rolling as -13.5 chalk vs the Florida Gators. The second half of our parlay has the Wisconsin Badgers covering the -27 (-110) line in Illinois versus the Fighting Illini.
Final Scores: Georgia Bulldogs 42-7 + Wisconsin Badgers 24-10
20/10/17 Week 8 NCAAF National Championship Futures Odds Update
Tagged as ho-hum by some, with no top-25 teams facing each other, Week 7 of the NCAAF season was loaded with upsets. #2 Clemson and #8 Washington State were the first to fall as they lost to unranked Syracuse and California respectively on Friday night. Saturday saw #5 Washington, #10 Auburn and #19 San Diego State crash as chalk. With the dust now settled, Alabama has moved (+120 to -111) into negative price territory and they widened the gap on the rest of the field. Simply stated, the Crimson Tide continue to feast on cream puffs.
Ohio State is also in the pastry section, as they haven't faced a ranked team since they lost to Oklahoma 31-16 in Week 2. The Buckeyes are now second National Championship chalk (+750 to +500) after they crushed Nebraska 56-14. Penn State is up a notch (+1000 to +800) but, after enjoying cupcakes of their own, the Nittany Lions begin a Big Ten run vs Michigan, Ohio State and Michigan State. Clemson lost starting QB Kelly Bryant, during a upset 27-24 loss to the Orange, and the Tigers tumbled (+375 to +900) from second to fourth favorite.
NC State winning, Michigan pushing and Washington State losing, resulted in a Week 7 push after we backed up the Cougars crash with a Wolfpack plus Wolverines ticket on Saturday. Michigan letting Indiana hang around, and giving up points for the first time in Q4 all season, meant our parlay was reduced to a single bet which covered our loss on Friday. With our parlay picks up 1279 units, we are playing with house money the rest of the way. Our Week 8 two-team ticket is Central Florida -7.5 over Navy plus South Florida -11.5 over Tulane.
Final Scores: UCF Golden Knights 31-21 + South Florida Bulls 34-28
12/10/17 Week 7 NCAAF National Championship Futures Odds Update
Checking our NCAAF playoff futures board, Alabama (+125 to +120) is still prohibitive chalk. The Crimson Tide (6-0) continues to roll - winning by a 258-52 margin. That said, after facing then #3 Florida in Week 1, Nick Saban’s Crew will not meet a ranked team until they visit current #10 Auburn in Week 12. Clemson retains second favorite status but the defending Champs (+350 to +375) gained value. Ohio State (+750) Penn State (+1000) USC (+1600) round out the top five. Largely unchallenged, during a 5-0 run, TCU is an add this week.
NCAAF Championship Add: TCU Horned Frogs (+4000) One-Unit at SportsInteraction
Snapping a sweet run, country music superstar Garth Brooks sums it up best; It was bound to happen and one night it did. We endured a bleak Week 6 NCAAF Saturday, as our 5-0 parlay streak ended. Our National Championship call also took a hit as Oklahoma mystifyingly lost 38-31 at home to Iowa State. The loss as (-30) chalk, to an unranked team with a backup QB, is not the end of the world but it won't sit well with the selection committee. If Baker Mayfield & Co. sweep a brutally tough Week 9 to 11 slate – our playoff hopes remain alive.
First intuition is an underrated key to successful handicapping. As an example, following our comprehensive research journey through the NCAAF Week 5 maze, we filtered our choices down to six teams. After selecting the Miami Hurricanes and San Diego State Aztecs, as our first choices at Bet365, we totally changed it up. We bagged winning teams with Wisconsin and Virginia Tech but the Hokies offense sputtered and we lost our ATS wager. Moving on, we like Washington State (-14) vs California on Friday + NC State (-11) over Pittsburgh.
Please Note: We normally stick to Saturday contests. If you miss the WSC vs CAL contest, we suggest adding Michigan (-7) to win versus Indiana to the NC State Wolfpack selection.
Final Scores: Washington State Cougars 3-37 + NC State Wolfpack 35-17
Final Scores: NC State Wolfpack 35-17 + Michigan Wolverines 27-20 (OT) PUSH
6/10/17 Week 6 NCAAF National Championship Futures Odds Update
Sneaking one past us, the NCAAF Week 6 slate opened on Wednesday. Full disclosure, we were pretty busy welcoming the start of MLB World Series chase, the dawn of a new NHL season, plus the playoff chase in the CFL. With all that under control, our focus turns back to US College football action. Our National Championship futures board changed significantly, and shrunk week over week, as the cream is rapidly rising to the top. Alabama continues to lead the parade as the Crimson Tide (+175 to +125) are closing in on an negative line.
Cutting our futures board down to 16 contenders, defending Champion Clemson (+500 to +350) lost value and kept their grip on the second spot. Ohio State (+1000 to +800) moved from fifth to third while Oklahoma (+800 to +1000) gained value but retained the fourth favorite slot. Following their 30-27 loss to Washington State, USC (+800 to +1600) tumbled from second to ninth. We are now just three weeks from the College Football Playoff Selection Committee announcing their first of six weekly rankings on October 31, 2017.
Sitting with a 5-0 parlay mark, after we banked wins with Georgia and Clemson, let's keep the good times rolling. After wagering against them last week, we feel Virginia Tech will rebound against Boston College. Bet365 has the Hokies posted as -16.5 (-110) chalk on the road in Chestnut Hill against an injury riddled Eagles squad. As was the case three weeks ago, we are tying Wisconsin to our Virginia Tech selection. After Northwestern made things interesting late last week, expect the Badgers to make a statement versus the Cornhuskers. Wisconsin is -10.5 (-110) point favorites as they head into Lincoln to battle Nebraska.
Final Scores: Virginia Tech 23-10 + Wisconsin Badgers 38-17
29/09/17 Week 5 NCAAF National Championship Futures Odds Update
Important contests get the NCAAF week off to an early start as #14 Miami duels Duke at 7:00 PM ET and then #16 Washington State hosts #5 USC in Pullman, WA, at 10:30 PM ET for an epic Pac-12 clash tonight. Shake it up was the mantra following the fifth Saturday of US College football as several teams had position and/or price moves. Alabama is still top chalk at SportsInteraction but the Crimson Tide (+150 to +175) had a minor price gain. Clemson moved into the second chalk spot as the Tigers price (+900 to +500) dropped again.
Unchanged price wise, with a +800 NCAAF Championship line, Oklahoma is third favorite while USC (+650 to +800) dropped two spots to fourth overall. Ohio State (+1200 to +1000) is just ahead of Georgia as the Bulldogs (+1200) moved into a three-way tie with Penn State and Michigan to round out the Elite Eight. Following an impressive 44-31 win in Stillwater, over Oklahoma State, the TCU Horned Frogs leaped onto our NCAAF futures board with a 13th OA +3300 line. The Cowboys odds (+1200 to +2200) and title hopes both took a hit.
Trailblazing a winning parlay path, our record moved to 4-0 after Cal got in under the -17 spread vs USC and Washington State whacked Nevada last Saturday. After examining the Bet365 odds offerings this weekend, we like Georgia and Clemson who are both thick road chalk. The Bulldogs head into Neyland Stadium in Tennessee to face the Volunteers as -8 (-110) favorites while the Tigers will tangle with the Virginia Tech Hokies as -7 (-110) chalk at Lane Stadium in Blacksburg, VA. Bet a Bulldogs + Tigers parlay at the Bet365 sportsbook.
Final Scores: Georgia Bulldogs 41-0 + Clemson Tigers 31-17
22/09/17 Week 4 NCAAF National Championship Futures Odds Update
Heading into the fifth Saturday of thrilling NCAA US College football action one could argue, with full merits, that the future NFL players are putting on a better show than their current big league counterparts. High stakes battles have been plentiful during the first four weeks and our NCAAF National Championship futures board is reflective of that as the numbers are constantly changing. Though their price remained unchanged, Alabama (+150) still pulled away some as USC (+600 to +650) and Oklahoma (+700 to +800) both had price gains.
Struggling and banged up, during their 27-24 OT win vs Texas last week, we can understand the Trojans price inflating but Oklahoma rolled lowly Tulane 56-14 so we feel they should have passed USC on our futures board. Following an impressive 47-21 lashing of Louisville, Clemson (+1400 to +900) has moved into the fourth favorite position while the Cardinals (+2500 to +8000) National Championship hopes took a huge hit and they are toast. Ohio State and Oklahoma State are tied as fifth chalk with a +1200 ML. We still love the Sooners.
Three full Saturday’s in, we are pleased with our parlay picks that moved to 3-0 thanks to easy wins by Wisconsin and Virginia Tech last week. USC is hurting after barely beating Texas and we feel -17 (-110) is too many points against a rising Cal Crew. Following losses to teams ranked 50, 51, 64, the Nevada Wolf Pack head north to face #18 Washington State as -28 (-110) pups. We are tying the Bears +17 (-110) and Cougars -28 (-110) together as we aim to earn an extra 5% parlay bonus by placing our bet at the Bet365 online sportsbook.
Final Scores: USC Trojans 30-20 (Bears Cover) + Washington State Cougars 45-7
15/09/17 Week 3 NCAAF National Championship Futures Odds Update
Another exciting slate of US College football has arrived as we hit Week 4 of the NCAAF season. As the CSB futures board illustrates, teams have moved all over the map through three weeks of play. Despite a 41-10 non-cover win (vs Fresno State) Alabama saw their line drop from +260 to +150 as the Crimson Tide retained the top National Championship perch. After a 42-24 stifling of #14 Stanford, USC (+600) is back in the second chalk spot.
Oklahoma went into the Horseshoe and bashed Ohio State 31-16 last week. The Sooners (+1400 to +700) are now third favorites while the Buckeyes (+575 to +900) tumbled from second to fourth chalk. Michigan, Penn State and Clemson are all tied as fifth favs with a +1400 money line. After a dismal day on offense, during a 14-6 loss to Clemson, Auburn suffered the biggest fall as they plummeted from +1800 to +7500 at SportsInteraction.
Our parlay picks moved to 2-0 after Michigan State and Oklahoma rolled to easy wins last week. A pair of big road favorites have caught our eye as #10 Wisconsin and #16 Virginia Tech face BYU and East Carolina. The Badgers are -16.5 chalk over the Cougars and the Hokies are -23 favorites vs the Pirates. Both lines are substantial but this is College football and style points count. Back the Badgers and Hokies on a two-team parlay ticket.
Final Scores: Wisconsin Badgers 40-6 + Virginia Tech Hokies 64-17
09/09/17 Week 2 NCAAF National Championship Futures Odds Update
After the first full week of NCAA College football action, there were some fairly substantial moves on our National Championship futures board. The biggest mover was Florida State who where manhandled by Alabama and lost star QB Deondre Francois for the season in the process. The Seminoles price went from +750 all the way up to +2500 and, although they have a decent defense, we feel you can put a fork in the 'Noles 2017 season - they are done.
Following a solid 49-21 dousing of Indiana, plus a lacklustre 49-31 USC win over Western Michigan, Ohio State moved past the Trojans (+750) as the Buckeyes (+575) are now second chalk on the CSB futures board. Michigan, Penn State, and our preseason favorite Oklahoma, all had price reductions and sit in the three-way tie as third chalk at +1400. Clemson, Auburn and Oklahoma State round out the top seven with a +1800 NCAA Championship price.
We got off to a hot start with our parlay picks as Alabama and Michigan both won easily. After leaving it all on the field last week versus USC, we see Western Michigan coming up flat against Michigan State -7.5 (-110) today. We'll take the lofty +7.5 SportsInteraction line and back Oklahoma as they visit Ohio State to battle the Buckeyes in the biggest game on the Week 3 NCAAF slate. Bet the Spartans and Sooners on a two-team parlay ticket.
Final Scores: Michigan State Spartans 28-14 + Oklahoma Sooners 31-16
02/09/17 Week 1 NCAAF National Championship Futures Odds Update
On the heels of a five-game NCAAF Division 1 slate of games last Saturday, the US College Football Saturday Express rolls out of the station fully loaded for Week 2 on September 2, 2017. Before we get to the games, regular readers will notice that our NCAAF futures board has shrunk some since our Week 1 update. For practicality sake, we could drop this to a Top 12 list but we will watch how the season opens prior to knocking off any more pretenders.
Alabama gained a dime to their line (+240 to +250) but the Crimson Tide remain as runaway chalk – similar to the NFL New England Patriots. A notable mover, Oklahoma State (+2800 to +2500) stock is still shrinking and we are pleased that we caught their +2800 price last week. Clemson enters the season with a cupcake contest against Kent State as the Golden Flashes will tangle with Tigers as -40 point underdogs at Memorial Stadium in South Carolina.
Although #11 Michigan facing #17 Florida (in Jerry Land at AT&T Stadium) will be a huge fight, nationally televised #1 Alabama vs #3 Florida State is the epic battle during Week 2. Bodog bookmakers have the Wolverines (-5.5) as favorites over the Gators while the Tide (-7.5) are home chalk at Bryant–Denny Stadium over the Seminoles. Laying both lines and tying the Tide to the Maze & Blue is our top parlay bet this week. Stay tuned for updates!
Final Scores: Michigan Wolverines 33-17 + Alabama Crimson Tide 24-7
24/08/17 Week 1A NCAAF National Championship Futures Odds Update
Splitting the halfway point of the 2017 CFL campaign, and the start of NFL Week 1 action, the race to the NCAA Football National Championship Playoff Party begins this weekend. While it’s a fairly quiet Opening Day, with just five contests on the slate, #14 Stanford and #19 South Florida both begin their season as they face Rice and San José State respectively. The Cardinal (-31) and Bulls (-22) should both roll as thick chalk over the Owls and Spartans. NCAAF Week 1 odds can be found at any of the CSB top recommended sportsbooks.
While position changes were few, price changes were plentiful since our last update. Most of that comes from the top 16 separating some from the next 16 on our futures table above. Oklahoma State was a big mover as the Cowboys price dropped from +4000 to +2800. We still like our Oklahoma Sooners (+1400) NCAAF Championship call but the Cowboys riding into the season on an upward rise is a little concerning though. Feeling a Oklahoma team will claim the Big 12 title, add a 100-unit wager on the Oklahoma State (+2800) money line.
05/8/17 NCAAF Preseason National Championship Futures Odds Update
Sprinting through summer - we are now just three weeks away from the start of the 2017 USA NCAA football season. While it doesn’t receive the same hype generated by the NFL, the 130 teams that make up the Division I Football Bowl Subdivision are hard at work prepping for the upcoming season. Bookmakers at SportsInteraction are following the progress, as their NCAAF National Championship odds will change throughout the course of the season. The action gets rolling with the Oregon State @ Colorado State clash on August 26, 2017.
Since our last update (27/06/17) the numbers have remained steady at the top as Alabama, Ohio State, Florida State and USC remain as the top four 2018 NCAA Playoff contenders. In the middle of the pack, Clemson and Washington University both saw their lines grow from +2500 to +2800 while Florida (+4000 to +3300) and Oklahoma (+5000 to +4000) both saw their prices shrink. The biggest mover was Stanford as the Cardinal odds plummeted from +3000 to +8000 . Four "hopeful" underdog squads were bumped out of our Top 34 list.
When the US College action kicks off, the CFL will be into Week 11 and the NFL will be five days away from the Opening Night fight that features New England hosting Kansas City. MLB and MLS playoff races will also be hot tickets as the baseball and soccer regular season slates will be entering their final weeks. We still like our Oklahoma (+1400) Championship call and the Sooners winning more than 9.5 contests. If you want to place an NCCAF futures bet – the bookmakers in our Top Five list below are the best in the online betting business.
27/6/17 NCAAF Preseason National Championship Futures Odds Update
As our NCAA Football futures odds illustrate - Alabama enters the 2017 College Football season as favorites to claim the National Championship with a meager +350 ML. Similar to the NFL New England Patriots, the Crimson Tide never rebuild - they just reload. That is especially true in the Nick Saban era as The Tide have rolled to four titles since he took over as head coach in 2007. Ignoring the somewhat silly practice of taking wins away from teams, due to rule violations, Alabama has a sparkling 893-317-44 record dating back to 1892.
Perennial contenders, Ohio State is posted as second chalk on the preseason NCAAF title futures board at SportsInteraction. The Buckeyes (+600) last won NCAAF Championship in 2015 during the first year of the current playoff format. Not far behind "The U" the Florida State Seminoles and USC Trojans or tied as third favorites with a +700 money line. The drop off is fairly steep after that as the Oklahoma Sooners and Penn State Nittany Lions round out the Top Five choices with a (+1400) line prior to the start of the season on August 26, 2017.
Looking at underdog squads - defending Champion Clemson University has fallen out of the top ten on our NCAAF futures board as they head into the season with a (+2500) money line. Led by QB Deshaun Watson, now with NFL Houston Texans, the Tigers claimed the 2016 Championship thanks to a thrilling 35-31 victory over Alabama on January 9, 2017. Notre Dame, another regular upper echelon favorite - though we rarely understand why, has fallen to 18th overall as the Fighting Irish are currently tagged with a huge (+5000) ML price.
CSB Preseason 2018 NCAAF Championship Pick: Two-Units Oklahoma Sooners (+1400)
Additional NCAAF Futures Betting Options
There are tons of additional futures lines available prior to the start of every new college football season. Checking out the current offerings, posted at SportsInteraction, the "Total Team Wins" wagering lines have caught our attention. In particular Oklahoma, with a 9.5 Over/Under win total, is a super solid bet to go OVER with a (-137) price. The Sooners went 11-1 in 2015 and 10-2 last season. A game at The Horseshoe, versus the Buckeyes in Ohio, appears to be one of few major hurdles Oklahoma will face during the 2017 regular season.
Early Heisman Trophy MVP odds are also posted at SIA and USC QB Sam Darnold is currently runaway top chalk with a +275 ML. Darnold had a hand in 33 touchdowns during ten starts as a freshman last year. Taking over as the starter in Week 4, Darnold guided the Trojans to a 9-1 record - including a five TD performance against Penn State during the world-famous Rose Bowl game. Sticking with our Oklahoma path, we like QB Baker Mayfield (+701) to win the equivalent of the NFL MVP award during his final season in the Sooner State.
Congrats to 12-1 Oklahoma and 2017 Heisman Trophy Winner QB Baker Mayfield.