Golden State Warriors vs Cleveland Cavaliers Odds

Warriors vs Cavaliers NBA Finals 2018 - Game 4

It's go-hard-or-go-home time for Cleveland who enters game four on the verge of elimination. They are +4.5 point spread underdogs and +140 straight-up to survive and force a game five. Golden State can clinch their second straight title and are -4.5 point spread favourites and -170 on the money line to do it.

When he needed them the most, he delivered. Kevin Durant, who has been quietly averaging 26 points the last two games exploded for a career-high 43 points on 15-for-23 shooting, which included six three-pointers, 13 boards, seven assists, and a game-high +15 plus/minus rating.

You can't fault James or the Cavaliers for this one. The team captain dropped another triple-double with 33 points, 10 rebounds, and 11 assists while Kevin Love chipped in with 20 points and 13 rebounds and even the much-maligned J.R. Smith contributed 13 points with three treys. 

Golden State just played more efficiently. They shot 51.9 per cent compared to Cleveland's 43.5 and was +16 on assist-turnover while Cleveland was only +6. If Cleveland didn't outrebound Golden State, it could've been a blowout.

Curry, who was on fire in game two was shut down and hit only three of his 16 field goal attempts including going one-for-10 from three. But Durant was unstoppable and was draining almost everything he took including the game-clincher in the final minute of the fourth quarter. 

Cleveland will have to play better defence on Durant and the Warriors if they hope to force a game five. It's clear they can't outshoot or outscore Golden State but stopping both Curry and Durant has looked next to impossible. Either player can get hot and that's all it takes for the Warriors to win offensively.

James has looked tired. He has played close to 40 minutes over 21 games, which included two gruelling seven-game series. His fatigue makes him ineffective on defence and there isn't anyone in Cleveland who can hope to slow down Durant. 

It's tough for Cleveland to find the will to fight back and at least win a game. They caught fire last year and forced a game five but they had Kyrie Irving and were a better team overall. Facing a 3-0 deficit with James being tired is a recipe for disaster. 

Golden State should win and cover to complete the series sweep.

NBA Championship Odds Update

With a 3-0 series lead, the Warriors are now off the board. Cleveland is +2500 to mount an unprecedented comeback. This is a lowball offer for what seems like an impossibility but oddsmakers are more cautious now thanks to their 3-1 comeback from two years ago though these are two different teams.

The series handicap is at -2.5 for Golden State at a whopping -5000. Oddsmakers are signifying that there is little to no chance Golden State doesn't wrap up the series within the next three games. Cleveland at +2.5 is at +1200 and holds no value as they need to win the next three games. Highly unlikely.

Thanks to a monster game, Durant's Finals MVP odds shot up from +260 to -250. Curry, who was looking like the runaway favourite is suddenly an underdog at +200 and James is still third at +1000. If you bet Durant earlier, you guarantee a profit by betting Curry as the Finals MVP will be between the two. 

Warriors vs Cavaliers NBA Finals Betting Tips

  • 1

    Warriors are 7-2-1 ATS in its last ten games at Cleveland

  • 2

    Cavaliers are 8-1 in its last nine games at home

  • 3

    Warriors are 5-4 on the road during the 2018 NBA Playoffs

  • 4

    Cavaliers have 1-9 in its last ten games versus Golden State

  • 5

    The total have gone OVER in six of the last nine games when Cleveland plays Golden State

Warriors vs Cavaliers Head to Head Record

Warriors vs Cavs All-Time Record

The Warriors and Cavs have met 111 times in the regular season with Golden State holding the edge: 59-52. Since the 2013-14 season, the Warriors have won seven of their last ten meetings and have won the last three. 

Golden State is outscoring Cleveland on average 114.8 to 106.7 during this span. The Warriors have the edge in most major statistical category including field goal percentage (47 per cent to 42.3 per cent), rebounding average (46.3 to 43.8), and three-pointers made (132 to 115).

Overall, the Warriors have a slight edge as a franchise in terms of their win-loss record. Golden State has an all-time regular season record of 1,827-1979 (.480) compared to Cleveland's all-time record of 1,829-2059 (.470). 

Both franchises have been similar in its history. Before this current dynasty that began around the 2012-13 season, the Warriors were a sorry franchise having only made one playoff appearance in almost two decades prior. This was an incredible playoff run as they upset the top-seeded Dallas Mavericks though they lost the following round. 

The Cavaliers have been just as inept especially without James. While the King flourished in Miami, Cleveland tanked and finished in the bottom-four of the NBA for four straight seasons. And before drafting him, the Cavs had four consecutive seasons where they lost over 50 games. 

Since starting as a franchise in 1970-71, the Cavaliers only enjoyed moderate success. They qualified for the NBA playoffs repeatedly but only made it past the first round three times. They were best known for consistently losing to the Michael Jordan-era Chicago Bulls from 1988 to 1994.

Warriors vs Cavs NBA Playoffs Record

Golden State finished with a 12-5 record to win their fourth consecutive Western Conference title. They ran through San Antonio and New Orleans defeating each in five games but struggled against the top-seeded Houston Rockets in the Conference Finals.

It took a historically bad shooting night for Houston for Golden State to manage a nine-point victory. Houston missed an NBA-record 27 straight three-pointers as the Warriors overcame an 11-point deficit at halftime. Golden State was held to under 100 points in two of the final four games.

Cleveland also struggled before winning their fourth straight Eastern Conference title. They finished with a 12-6 record including having two seven-game series against the Boston Celtics in the Conference Finals and against the Indiana Pacers in the first-round. 

The Cavaliers swept the top-seeded Toronto Raptors in the semifinals but barely got by the young Celtics and Pacers squads. Like Golden State, Cleveland benefited from Boston shooting horribly by missing 32 of their 39 three-pointers.

All-time, Golden State has a 171-151 (.531) playoffs record thanks to their budding dynasty. But they also won the NBA Championship back in 1974-75 in their fourth year in Oakland. Cleveland has a better playoffs record at 119-97 (.551) thanks primarily to James.

Warriors vs Cavs NBA Finals Record

This is the fourth time the Warriors and Cavs meet in the NBA Finals. Golden State holds the edge winning two of the three Finals. Overall, they are 11-7 versus Cleveland in the NBA Finals.

Golden State defeated Cleveland 4-2 in their first meeting in 2015. Cleveland retaliated and won 4-3 the following year in 2016. Golden State won the rubber match easily with a 4-1 victory in 2017.

The Cavs and Warriors are now the fourth and fifth franchises to reach four straight NBA Finals, joining the Boston Celtics, Los Angeles Lakers and Miami Heat.






Boston Celtics



Golden State Warriors



Cleveland Cavaliers



Miami Heat



Boston Celtics



Los Angeles Lakers

2017 - Cavaliers 1-4 Warriors 

The most lopsided NBA Finals since the San Antonio Spurs took out LeBron James's Miami Heat in five games in the 2014 Finals. Following their 2016 meltdown, the Warriors acquired Kevin Durant and laid waste to the NBA becoming the first team to go 12-0 to reach the NBA Finals. 

Golden State went 3-0 to start the series (15-0 overall) blowing out Cleveland by over 20 points for the first two games then edging them in game three. Cleveland caught fire in game four and blew out Golden State but there was no comeback this year as the Warriors wrapped up the series back in Oakland.

Durant won Finals MVP averaging 35.2 points on 55.6 per cent shooting (47.4 from three) to go with 8.4 rebounds and 5.4 assists. James averaged a triple-double: 33.6 points, 12 rebounds, and 10 assists but it wasn't enough as Golden State won their second title in three years.

2016 - Cavaliers 4-3 Warriors

This was the NBA Finals that cemented James's legacy as the greatest player of his generation. James captured his third Finals MVP by leading the Cavaliers past the Warriors in seven games becoming the first team to overcome a 3-1 series deficit in an NBA Finals. 

This series wasn't without controversy as Draymond Green was suspended for game five back in Oakland, which could have sealed the title for Golden State. They blew out Cleveland in the first two games by a margin of 48 points but just couldn't put Cleveland away. 

James put up the greatest stat line with 29.7 points, 11.3 rebounds, 8.9 assists, 2.6 steals, and 2.3 blocks becoming the first and only player to lead all players in all stats. His incredible performance included a late block on Andre Iguodala to help seal the city of Cleveland's first major title making it one of the all-time best NBA Finals.

2015 - Cavaliers 2-4 Warriors

Golden State completed their dream season with a little luck. The Cavaliers lost Kevin Love for the entire series and Kyrie Irving after the first. Despite being undermanned, James took over averaging 35.8 points, 13.3 rebounds, and 8.8 assists to lead Cleveland to a 2-1 series lead after three games.

Coach Kerr shuffled the Warriors lineup bringing sixth man Andre Iguodala to the starting lineup and it was all she wrote as the Warriors took the final three games en route to their first title in over 40 years. Iguodala won Finals MVP after leading the Warriors in scoring (tied with Curry) in two of the final three games and helped contain James.

James shot only 39.8 per cent for the series. Despite starting the series strong, the Cavaliers couldn't overcome the Warriors' depth and firepower. Had the Cavaliers been fully healthy, it would've been a different series as the following year proved.