New England: SB XLIX Points to Ponder Before Pounding the Patriots
New England: Trending reason to dislike the Patriots
Trends in sports certainly have their place and, though they are not an “end all – be all” this one is a pretty big matzah ball. This trend, dating back to 1996, does not bode well for the Patriots; Teams that have scored 40 plus points in a playoff game are 3-22 ATS the following week and the Patriots scored 45 in their crushing of the Colts last week. Whether out of gas, over-confident, or just up against a better team in the next contest – that’s a pitiful cover percentage. New England has scored 40+ points in playoff contests during each of the last three years. They followed those point scoring explosions with a loss to Denver (2014) a loss to Baltimore (2013) and a non-cover win over the Ravens back in 2012. It’s a point worth pondering before backing the Patriots.
Sharps vs Squares, Scandals and perceived “better” QB’s having a losing Super Bowl record
Despite the fact that squares (public) are pounding the Patriots at most betting sites, at a torrid near 75% clip, the point spread for the Seahawks vs Patriots battle has barely budged. That’s because the books fear the dangerous money coming in from professional bettors (sharps) who are largely on Seattle. Though we feel deflategate was largely over-inflated (any publicity is good publicity for the NFL eh?) it has been a double edge sword for the Patriots. First, it took time away from the Pats game planning as defensive genius Bill Belichick was forced to become a PSI scientist of sorts. Second, it opened old wounds (spygate) and had players answering to whether they are cheaters or not. That said, when it comes to an “Us against the World” scenario, few teams go into “Screw You” mode better than New England so all the scandal talk may be motivational for the Brady Bunch. One final, somewhat arbitrary point, is the fact that teams with the perceived superior pivot are just 4-8 straight up when the scenario fits dating back to the 2000 Super Bowl.
Seattle Prop Betting Prediction: One other thing you can add to the list of what not to like about the Pats is the fact that they can be oblivious to the TE position. New England allowed 13 tight ends to catch at least three passes this season – including Owen Daniels (4) and Coby Fleener (3) in the playoffs. SportsInteraction bookmakers have posted Hawks TE Luke Willson with a 2.5 Over/Under reception line. We will take the OVER on the -150 ML price with a 150 unit wager.
SportsInteraction SB XLIX Prop Betting Lines – Seattle TE Luke Willson Total Receptions
Preparing to emerge from their “War Room” the CSB Crew will be back with our definitive call approximately two hours prior to the slated 6:30 PM ET Super Bowl XLIX kick off. In the meantime, you can access over 250 options on the SportsInteraction Super Bowl betting board by clicking on the image below. Bank a Bonus and get in the game at SIA – a Canadian sports betting legend.
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