Ray McLachlan |  Sat 09/09/2017 - 12:58 EDT

San Marino MotoGP 2017 Predictions

San Marino MotoGP 2017 Predictions
Moto GP action returns to San Marino for the 13th race of the season and the championship is still wide open with just six events to go. We preview the race, the track, and predict who we think will take line honours in the 2017 edition.

San Marino MotoGP

The San Marino MotoGP has been part of the World Racing calendar since 1981, although it has been taken away and re-introduced a few times throughout history. It has currently been an annual feature since the 2007 season. The race technically isn’t held on the small principality, however is named as such due to it’s proximity to San Marino as there is already an Italian Moto GP.

2017 promises to throw up an exciting race as the honours have been evenly shared between several of the racers in the field. The most successful in the history of the race are Valentino Rossi and Jorge Lorenzo, who have each won the race in the MotoGP class on three occasions, while Marc Marquez and Lorenzo hold the honour of the most wins across all classes with four in total.

Pedrosa and Rossi managed a one-two finish in the 2016 event, with Lorenzo and Marquez in third and fourth respectively, so you know it is going to be a tight race with the four competing in this year’s GP. Add in Spain’s Maverick Vinales and Italy’s Andrea Dovizioso (who finished fifth and sixth in the 2016 race) and you have a field of amazing riders who are all capable of finishing on the podium. Check out the 2016 highlights, featuring a great win by Dani Pedrosa.

2016 San Marino MotoGP Highlights

San Marino Moto GP Outright Market

This year’s event is set to be one of the most highly anticipated in recent memory, as with six races to go the championship is still on a knife’s edge. Spain’s Marc Marquez was looking to surge ahead in the riders’ standings, although his retirement in the British Moto GP allowed Italy’s Andrea Dovizioso the chance to record his second consecutive win and jump ahead in the standings.

Dovizioso now enters his ‘home’ race as the man to beat, with both Marquez and Maverick Vinales within 13 points and Valentino Rossi and Dani Pedrosa still in contention as well. Marquez will go into this race as the favourite once more, although compatriot Vinales is very close behind according to Bet365. This will be a fascinating race, and we preview the leading contenders.

San Marino MotoGP 2017 Predictions

The Favourite

Marc Marquez will be kicking himself after his retirement in the British MotoGP allowed his closest rivals to make up considerable ground (and in the case of Dovizioso, overtake him in the 2017 championship standings). He is still the man to beat in this race, coming off five consecutive podium finishes prior to Silverstone, and his odds of +125 are extremely short. He is almost un-backable at that price! As stated above, Marquez has won at San Marino a record four times (across all levels of competition) and will be vying to become the only rider in history to win five times at the circuit. As long as his engine holds up he will be tough to overcome.

The Contenders

Maverick Vinales is listed as the second favourite on the list above, which is an interesting choice by the bookies. You cannot say that Vinales is the form rider of the competition – his last win came way back in the French MotoGP in May – and he has never won the San Marino event, so it is hard to see him beating a field that contains so many former winners. At +300, he is probably a bit too short, but then there is a first time for everything so he could be a surprise victor here.

A man whose win would not be a surprise is current riders’ championship leader Andrea Dovizioso, who has won the most races out of anyone in the field in 2017. Two of his four victories have come in the last two races, and while some may argue that the result at Silverstone was made easier by the retirement of Marquez, there is no denying that he raced well to hold off the Spaniard in the Austrian MotoGP. Dovizioso is third favourite with odds of +400, and appears to be good value, especially considering he is racing close to home.

But like Vinales, the Italian has never won in the feature race at San Marino; This will be his tenth attempt in the Moto GP class and surprisingly he has not even finished on the podium at the event. While he is the form rider, it will be interesting to see if he can reverse his fortunes at the track.

Dani Pedrosa won the 2016 event and is next on the list at +750. He is at extremely long odds to record back-to-back victories at the circuit, which is interesting considering he has just as many podium finishes as the leader in that category, Marc Marquez, and two more than Dovizioso. However, it is the win column that Pedrosa has struggled to fill, winning only his home MotoGP in 2017 so far. His experience makes him a chance here and would be worth a small bet considering the potential return!

The Outsiders

Jorge Lorenzo is a heavy outsdider, and while his pedigree is fantastic, it is hard to see him adding to his solo podium appearance in 2017 (that came at the Spanish event). He has won the race three times at MotoGP level, four times in total, although he appears at long odds (+12000) to do so again. At that price you might as well put on a dollar or two!

Similarly, Italy’s Valentino Rossi has won the event three times at MotoGP level, with his last win coming in 2014. Rossi’s experience is second-to-none when it comes to racing, and his second-placed finish in last year’s event proves he can still match it with the best. He has only had one win this season, coming in the Netherlands MotoGP, although he will be pushing hard to obtain a victory in front of mostly Italian fans. His odds could make him a better value pick than Lorenzo.

Our Pick

While we picked Marquez at Silverstone and his engine made a mockery of our choice, we are sticking with the Spaniard and don’t believe that lightning will strike twice.

While this pick unfortunately doesn’t offer much value, you can certainly parlay the bet or find a bookmaker who will allow a bet on the podium finish – this market offers a much larger selection of odds, especially with six riders in contention for the three places.

What are your thoughts? Do you agree with our selection or would you go with one of the outsiders? Make sure you join the conversation on Facebook and have your say. You can catch all the action from 1:00pm (GMT), Sunday September 10th. Don’t miss a moment!

 

Category : Betting Picks

Tag : MotoGP , Motor Sports

Join The Conversation
More articles...
Betting Picks - 23/11/17
F1 Odds: Bet365 Predicts An Epic Season Final in Abu Dhabi 
After a gruelling year of F1 action we're down to the final race, and it will present Driver's Championship winner Lewis Hamilton with the chance to finish the season with yet another win. We discuss the top markets and provide our fearless pre-race and race day predictions.
Read this article 
Betting Picks - 23/11/17
Sports Interaction Rooting France To Win The Davis Cup 
The 'world cup of tennis' has reached it's final round and it's neighbours France and Belgium who will be contesting the Davis Cup Final in 2017. We take a look at both sides and provide all the top betting picks for this matchup.
Read this article 
Betting Picks - 23/11/17
Chicaco Cubs MLB Futures 2018 Opening Lines 
Recently unseated as defending World Series champions, the Chicago Cubs had a fairly lackluster 2017, but still managed a respectable postseason run. Unfortunately, 2018 looks to be even more uncertain, as they might lose some starters to free agency. Are they worth their opening futures price?
Read this article 
Betting Picks - 23/11/17
Washington Nationals MLB Futures 2018 Opening Lines 
Always a threat in the National League, the Washington Nationals will be our focus today. Next season will be the teams' 50th, going back to their Montreal Expo days, but are they in for a golden anniversary gift in the form of the Commissioner's Trophy? We'll take a look at the Nats' chances in 2018 behind new manager Dave Martinez.
Read this article